Fiorentina 1:1 Juventus: xG & match report · Serie A

Saturday, 22/11/2025 at 18:00

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Fiorentina Home 0.58 xG · 11 shots

Juventus Away 1.50 xG · 17 shots

11 Juventus had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

45' Filip Kostić Juventus · 0.02 xG chance 0–1
48' Rolando Mandragora Fiorentina · 0.01 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Fiorentina Juventus

Shots: 11; 17
On target: 2; 4
Inside the box: 6; 10
xG per shot: 0.05; 0.09
Open play xG: 0.43; 1.40
Set-piece xG: 0.15; 0.11
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.50 for Juventus.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

28 shots · 2.09 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Fiorentina
Juventus
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Fiorentina

1.61 xG created 1.54 xGA

L 1.10 created, 1.35 conceded against Roma
L 1.08 created, 1.98 conceded against Milan
D 3.72 created, 0.55 conceded against Bologna
L 0.72 created, 2.63 conceded against Inter
L 1.46 created, 1.15 conceded against Lecce
D 1.56 created, 1.58 conceded against Genoa

Juventus

1.65 xG created 0.93 xGA

D 1.13 created, 1.74 conceded against Milan
L 0.88 created, 1.46 conceded against Como
L 1.49 created, 0.78 conceded against Lazio
W 3.17 created, 0.54 conceded against Udinese
W 2.03 created, 0.54 conceded against Cremonese
D 1.21 created, 0.54 conceded against Torino

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.