Lazio 1:0 Juventus: xG & match report · Serie A

Sunday, 26/10/2025 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Lazio Home 0.78 xG · 13 shots

Juventus Away 1.49 xG · 14 shots

10 The result went against the chances

Goals

9' Toma Bašić Lazio · 0.02 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

Lazio Juventus

Shots: 13; 14
On target: 3; 5
Inside the box: 9; 11
xG per shot: 0.06; 0.11
Open play xG: 0.75; 1.36
Set-piece xG: 0.04; 0.14
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.82 for Lazio and 1.49 for Juventus.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

27 shots · 2.29 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Lazio
Juventus
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Lazio

1.39 xG created 1.44 xGA

W 3.85 created, 0.77 conceded against Hellas Verona
L 0.76 created, 1.16 conceded against Sassuolo
L 1.04 created, 1.16 conceded against Roma
W 1.07 created, 1.63 conceded against Genoa
D 1.35 created, 1.76 conceded against Torino
D 0.25 created, 2.18 conceded against Atalanta

Juventus

0.96 xG created 1.16 xGA

W 1.03 created, 0.55 conceded against Genoa
W 0.68 created, 0.96 conceded against Inter
D 0.47 created, 1.53 conceded against Hellas Verona
D 1.59 created, 0.73 conceded against Atalanta
D 1.13 created, 1.74 conceded against Milan
L 0.88 created, 1.46 conceded against Como

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.