xgEdge

Monday, 29/09/2025 at 20:45

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Match report · Serie A

Genoa 0:3 Lazio

Genoa Home 1.63 xG · 17 shots
Lazio Away 1.07 xG · 9 shots
03 The result went against the chances

Goals

  1. 4' Matteo Cancellieri Lazio · 0.28 xG chance 0–1
  2. 30' Valentín Castellanos Lazio · 0.42 xG chance 0–2
  3. 63' Mattia Zaccagni Lazio · 0.00 xG chance 0–3

The shots behind it

Genoa Lazio
Shots
17
9
On target
5
6
Inside the box
10
8
xG per shot
0.09
0.13
Open play xG
1.13
1.20
Set-piece xG
0.48
0.01
Penalties
—
—

Genoa's shots add up to 1.61 xG and Lazio's to 1.21; the published figures are 1.63 and 1.07.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Genoa · Mikael Ellertsson · 41' · No goal · 12 m · 0.47 xG Lazio · Valentín Castellanos · 30' · Goal · 12 m · 0.42 xG Genoa · Lorenzo Colombo · 44' · No goal · 10 m · 0.38 xG Genoa · Jeff Ekhator · 81' · No goal · 1 m · 0.30 xG Lazio · Matteo Cancellieri · 4' · Goal · 10 m · 0.28 xG Lazio · Matteo Cancellieri · 72' · No goal · 12 m · 0.25 xG Lazio · Mattia Zaccagni · 73' · No goal · 5 m · 0.20 xG Genoa · Lorenzo Colombo · 24' · No goal · 9 m · 0.12 xG Genoa · Vitinha · 22' · No goal · 10 m · 0.05 xG Genoa · Ruslan Malinovskyi · 37' · No goal · 23 m · 0.04 xG Genoa · Patrizio Masini · 49' · No goal · 23 m · 0.04 xG Lazio · Pedro · 85' · No goal · 14 m · 0.04 xG Genoa · Johan Vásquez · 33' · No goal · 25 m · 0.03 xG Genoa · Vitinha · 49' · No goal · 17 m · 0.03 xG Genoa · Jeff Ekhator · 75' · No goal · 10 m · 0.03 xG Genoa · Valentín Carboni · 90' · No goal · 25 m · 0.03 xG Genoa · Vitinha · 20' · No goal · 20 m · 0.02 xG Genoa · Johan Vásquez · 57' · No goal · 6 m · 0.02 xG Genoa · Lorenzo Colombo · 57' · No goal · 13 m · 0.02 xG Lazio · Matteo Cancellieri · 16' · No goal · 29 m · 0.01 xG Genoa · Ruslan Malinovskyi · 44' · No goal · 22 m · 0.01 xG Lazio · Boulaye Dia · 63' · No goal · 2 m · 0.01 xG Genoa · Caleb Ekuban · 81' · No goal · 9 m · 0.01 xG Genoa · Lorenzo Venturino · 90' · No goal · 27 m · 0.01 xG Lazio · Mattia Zaccagni · 63' · Goal · 1 m · 0.00 xG Lazio · Matteo Cancellieri · 63' · No goal · 9 m · 0.00 xG

All shots

26 shots · 2.82 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Genoa
  • Lazio
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Genoa

0.98 xG created 1.21 xGA

  • D 0.50 created, 0.37 conceded against Lecce
  • L 0.55 created, 1.03 conceded against Juventus
  • D 2.34 created, 1.83 conceded against Como
  • L 0.53 created, 1.59 conceded against Bologna
Lazio

1.47 xG created 1.16 xGA

  • L 0.21 created, 1.54 conceded against Como
  • W 3.85 created, 0.77 conceded against Hellas Verona
  • L 0.76 created, 1.16 conceded against Sassuolo
  • L 1.04 created, 1.16 conceded against Roma

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.