Fiorentina 0:1 Lecce: xG & match report · Serie A

Sunday, 02/11/2025 at 15:00

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Fiorentina Home 1.46 xG · 15 shots

Lecce Away 1.15 xG · 11 shots

01 The result went against the chances

Goals

23' Medon Berisha Lecce · 0.42 xG chance 0–1

The shots behind it

Fiorentina Lecce

Shots: 15; 11
On target: 4; 4
Inside the box: 11; 5
xG per shot: 0.10; 0.11
Open play xG: 0.42; 0.58
Set-piece xG: 1.08; 0.63
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.47 for Fiorentina and 1.19 for Lecce.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

26 shots · 2.71 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Fiorentina
Lecce
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Fiorentina

1.33 xG created 1.43 xGA

L 0.49 created, 1.25 conceded against Como
D 0.89 created, 0.80 conceded against Pisa
L 1.10 created, 1.35 conceded against Roma
L 1.08 created, 1.98 conceded against Milan
D 3.72 created, 0.55 conceded against Bologna
L 0.72 created, 2.63 conceded against Inter

Lecce

0.92 xG created 1.08 xGA

L 0.99 created, 2.24 conceded against Cagliari
D 1.80 created, 1.37 conceded against Bologna
W 0.50 created, 0.59 conceded against Parma
D 0.70 created, 0.39 conceded against Sassuolo
L 0.38 created, 1.03 conceded against Udinese
L 1.16 created, 0.83 conceded against Napoli

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.