Lecce 2:2 Bologna: xG & match report · Serie A

Sunday, 28/09/2025 at 18:00

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Lecce Home 1.80 xG · 12 shots

Bologna Away 1.37 xG · 14 shots

22 Lecce had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

13' Lassana Coulibaly Lecce · 0.79 xG chance 1–0
45' Riccardo Orsolini (pen.) Bologna · 0.82 xG chance 1–1
71' Jens Odgaard Bologna · 0.11 xG chance 1–2
90' Francesco Camarda Lecce · 0.20 xG chance 2–2

The shots behind it

Lecce Bologna

Shots: 12; 14
On target: 4; 5
Inside the box: 10; 9
xG per shot: 0.16; 0.10
Open play xG: 1.34; 0.29
Set-piece xG: 0.52; 0.27
Penalties: 0; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.81 for Lecce and 0.58 for Bologna.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

26 shots · 3.24 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Lecce
Bologna
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Lecce

0.53 xG created 1.68 xGA

D 0.37 created, 0.50 conceded against Genoa
L 0.30 created, 1.85 conceded against Milan
L 0.46 created, 2.12 conceded against Atalanta
L 0.99 created, 2.24 conceded against Cagliari

Bologna

0.86 xG created 0.95 xGA

L 0.58 created, 1.56 conceded against Roma
W 1.10 created, 0.69 conceded against Como
L 0.17 created, 1.00 conceded against Milan
W 1.59 created, 0.53 conceded against Genoa

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.