Fiorentina 1:2 Roma: xG & match report · Serie A

Sunday, 05/10/2025 at 15:00

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Fiorentina Home 1.10 xG · 11 shots

Roma Away 1.35 xG · 8 shots

12 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

14' Moise Kean Fiorentina · 0.06 xG chance 1–0
22' Matías Soulé Roma · 0.07 xG chance 1–1
30' Bryan Cristante Roma · 0.01 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

Fiorentina Roma

Shots: 11; 8
On target: 3; 3
Inside the box: 4; 5
xG per shot: 0.10; 0.17
Open play xG: 0.71; 1.25
Set-piece xG: 0.40; 0.13
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.10 for Fiorentina and 1.42 for Roma.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

19 shots · 2.49 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Fiorentina
Roma
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Fiorentina

1.15 xG created 1.50 xGA

D 0.98 created, 1.13 conceded against Cagliari
D 1.74 created, 1.02 conceded against Torino
L 1.65 created, 3.29 conceded against Napoli
L 0.49 created, 1.25 conceded against Como
D 0.89 created, 0.80 conceded against Pisa

Roma

1.12 xG created 0.84 xGA

W 1.56 created, 0.58 conceded against Bologna
W 0.78 created, 0.56 conceded against Pisa
L 1.14 created, 0.65 conceded against Torino
W 1.16 created, 1.04 conceded against Lazio
W 0.95 created, 1.38 conceded against Hellas Verona

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.