Fiorentina 1:3 Napoli: xG & match report · Serie A

Saturday, 13/09/2025 at 20:45

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Match report · Serie A

Fiorentina Home 1.65 xG · 19 shots

Napoli Away 3.29 xG · 14 shots

13 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

6' Kevin De Bruyne (pen.) Napoli · 0.82 xG chance 0–1
14' Rasmus Højlund Napoli · 0.40 xG chance 0–2
51' Sam Beukema Napoli · 0.74 xG chance 0–3
79' Luca Ranieri Fiorentina · 0.04 xG chance 1–3

The shots behind it

Fiorentina Napoli

Shots: 19; 14
On target: 3; 9
Inside the box: 14; 11
xG per shot: 0.09; 0.24
Open play xG: 1.35; 1.02
Set-piece xG: 0.33; 1.49
Penalties: 0; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.65 for Fiorentina and 2.55 for Napoli.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

33 shots · 5.01 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Fiorentina
Napoli
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Fiorentina

1.36 xG created 1.08 xGA

D 0.98 created, 1.13 conceded against Cagliari
D 1.74 created, 1.02 conceded against Torino

Napoli

1.39 xG created 0.46 xGA

W 1.19 created, 0.38 conceded against Sassuolo
W 1.58 created, 0.53 conceded against Cagliari

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.