Cagliari 2:0 Parma: xG & match report · Serie A

Saturday, 13/09/2025 at 15:00

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Match report · Serie A

Cagliari Home 1.13 xG · 12 shots

Parma Away 1.96 xG · 17 shots

20 The result went against the chances

Goals

33' Yerry Mina Cagliari · 0.59 xG chance 1–0
77' Mattia Felici Cagliari · 0.14 xG chance 2–0

The shots behind it

Cagliari Parma

Shots: 12; 17
On target: 5; 5
Inside the box: 8; 11
xG per shot: 0.11; 0.12
Open play xG: 0.48; 1.59
Set-piece xG: 0.79; 0.37
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.25 for Cagliari.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

29 shots · 3.23 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Cagliari
Parma
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Cagliari

0.83 xG created 1.28 xGA

D 1.13 created, 0.98 conceded against Fiorentina
L 0.53 created, 1.58 conceded against Napoli

Parma

0.65 xG created 1.58 xGA

L 0.62 created, 2.35 conceded against Juventus
D 0.68 created, 0.81 conceded against Atalanta

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.