Cremonese 1:1 Atalanta: xG & match report · Serie A

Saturday, 25/10/2025 at 20:45

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Match report · Serie A

Cremonese Home 1.12 xG · 9 shots

Atalanta Away 1.15 xG · 20 shots

11 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

78' Jamie Vardy Cremonese · 0.44 xG chance 1–0
84' Marco Brescianini Atalanta · 0.04 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Cremonese Atalanta

Shots: 9; 20
On target: 5; 6
Inside the box: 4; 12
xG per shot: 0.13; 0.06
Open play xG: 0.89; 1.00
Set-piece xG: 0.25; 0.16
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.15 for Cremonese and 1.15 for Atalanta.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

29 shots · 2.30 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Cremonese
Atalanta
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Cremonese

0.97 xG created 1.52 xGA

W 3.32 created, 1.32 conceded against Sassuolo
D 0.24 created, 1.52 conceded against Hellas Verona
D 0.12 created, 0.84 conceded against Parma
D 0.45 created, 1.30 conceded against Como
L 0.64 created, 3.57 conceded against Inter
D 1.07 created, 0.55 conceded against Udinese

Atalanta

1.48 xG created 0.92 xGA

D 0.81 created, 0.68 conceded against Parma
W 2.12 created, 0.46 conceded against Lecce
W 1.64 created, 1.20 conceded against Torino
D 0.73 created, 1.59 conceded against Juventus
D 1.40 created, 1.32 conceded against Como
D 2.18 created, 0.25 conceded against Lazio

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.