Inter 2:0 Genoa: xG & match report · Serie A

Saturday, 28/02/2026 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Inter Home 1.54 xG · 14 shots

Genoa Away 0.21 xG · 6 shots

20 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

31' Federico Dimarco Inter · 0.05 xG chance 1–0
70' Hakan Çalhanoğlu (pen.) Inter · 0.82 xG chance 2–0

The shots behind it

Inter Genoa

Shots: 14; 6
On target: 6; 2
Inside the box: 12; 3
xG per shot: 0.11; 0.03
Open play xG: 0.63; 0.18
Set-piece xG: 0.14; 0.02
Penalties: 1; 0

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.75 for Inter and 0.19 for Genoa.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

20 shots · 1.79 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Inter
Genoa
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Inter

2.42 xG created 0.50 xGA

W 1.59 created, 0.22 conceded against Udinese
W 4.99 created, 0.34 conceded against Pisa
W 1.34 created, 0.60 conceded against Cremonese
W 2.59 created, 0.78 conceded against Sassuolo
W 1.88 created, 0.92 conceded against Juventus
W 2.15 created, 0.12 conceded against Lecce

Genoa

1.26 xG created 1.36 xGA

D 1.04 created, 0.41 conceded against Parma
W 0.54 created, 0.50 conceded against Bologna
L 1.58 created, 2.00 conceded against Lazio
L 1.32 created, 2.30 conceded against Napoli
D 1.25 created, 2.36 conceded against Cremonese
W 1.80 created, 0.57 conceded against Torino

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Inter: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Genoa 1:2 Inter 14/12/2025 xG 0.97 – 1.27

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.