Pisa 1:1 Atalanta: xG & match report · Serie A

Friday, 16/01/2026 at 20:45

Full time

Match report · Serie A

Pisa Home 1.19 xG · 14 shots

Atalanta Away 1.15 xG · 9 shots

11 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

83' Nikola Krstović Atalanta · 0.28 xG chance 0–1
87' Rafiu Durosinmi Pisa · 0.12 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Pisa Atalanta

Shots: 14; 9
On target: 6; 4
Inside the box: 13; 8
xG per shot: 0.09; 0.13
Open play xG: 0.86; 1.13
Set-piece xG: 0.34; 0.00
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.20 for Pisa and 1.15 for Atalanta.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

23 shots · 2.33 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Pisa
Atalanta
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Pisa

1.18 xG created 1.65 xGA

L 0.22 created, 2.20 conceded against Lecce
D 2.54 created, 1.43 conceded against Cagliari
L 0.65 created, 1.74 conceded against Juventus
D 0.62 created, 0.54 conceded against Genoa
L 1.56 created, 1.73 conceded against Como
D 1.48 created, 2.23 conceded against Udinese

Atalanta

1.78 xG created 0.86 xGA

W 2.60 created, 0.54 conceded against Cagliari
W 1.44 created, 0.81 conceded against Genoa
L 0.78 created, 1.16 conceded against Inter
W 1.88 created, 0.78 conceded against Roma
W 1.38 created, 1.10 conceded against Bologna
W 2.61 created, 0.75 conceded against Torino

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Pisa: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Atalanta 1:1 Pisa 24/08/2025 xG 1.92 – 0.63

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.