AE Larisa 1:0 Aris Thessaloniki: xG & match report · Super League Greece

Sunday, 18/01/2026 at 16:00

Full time

Match report · Super League Greece

AE Larisa Home 0.63 xG

Aris Thessaloniki Away 0.55 xG

10 The chances were evenly matched

The shots behind it

AE Larisa Aris Thessaloniki

Shots: 12; 7
On target: 5; 1
Inside the box: 9; 5
xG per shot: 0.05; 0.08

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

AE Larisa

1.01 xG created 1.95 xGA

L 1.38 created, 1.18 conceded against OFI Crete
L 0.82 created, 2.82 conceded against Aris Thessaloniki
D 2.20 created, 1.72 conceded against Panathinaikos
L 0.06 created, 3.08 conceded against APO Levadiakos
D 0.19 created, 0.34 conceded against Atromitos Athens
D 1.41 created, 2.54 conceded against AE Kifisia

Aris Thessaloniki

1.00 xG created 1.69 xGA

L 0.50 created, 2.51 conceded against AEK Athens
W 2.82 created, 0.82 conceded against AE Larisa
L 0.55 created, 3.31 conceded against PAOK
D 0.88 created, 1.25 conceded against Olympiacos FC
W 0.66 created, 0.73 conceded against Asteras Aktor
D 0.59 created, 1.50 conceded against AEK Athens

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

AE Larisa: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Aris Thessaloniki 2:1 AE Larisa 29/11/2025 xG 2.82 – 0.82

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.