AE Larisa 1:1 Asteras Aktor: xG & match report · Super League Greece

Saturday, 14/03/2026 at 19:00

Full time

Match report · Super League Greece

AE Larisa Home 1.44 xG

Asteras Aktor Away 0.92 xG

11 AE Larisa had the better chances, but it finished level

The shots behind it

AE Larisa Asteras Aktor

Shots: 15; 15
On target: 4; 3
Inside the box: 9; 8
xG per shot: 0.10; 0.06

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

AE Larisa

1.06 xG created 1.38 xGA

W 2.52 created, 0.76 conceded against NPS Volos
L 1.24 created, 0.48 conceded against Panetolikos
D 0.66 created, 0.87 conceded against Panathinaikos
D 0.88 created, 2.17 conceded against PAOK
L 0.55 created, 1.02 conceded against OFI Crete
L 0.53 created, 3.00 conceded against AEK Athens

Asteras Aktor

0.73 xG created 1.40 xGA

L 0.14 created, 2.54 conceded against Olympiacos FC
W 1.80 created, 0.51 conceded against NPS Volos
L 1.17 created, 1.59 conceded against Panetolikos
L 0.88 created, 0.76 conceded against Atromitos Athens
L 0.10 created, 2.33 conceded against PAOK
L 0.29 created, 0.66 conceded against MGS Panserraikos

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

AE Larisa: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Asteras Aktor 2:2 AE Larisa 14/09/2025 xG 0.75 – 1.64

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.