xgEdge

Saturday, 24/01/2026 at 19:00

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Match report · Super League Greece

AE Larisa 1:0 MGS Panserraikos

AE Larisa Home 1.55 xG
MGS Panserraikos Away 0.72 xG
10 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

AE Larisa MGS Panserraikos
Shots
16
3
On target
8
1
Inside the box
8
2
xG per shot
0.10
0.24

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
AE Larisa

0.89 xG created 1.84 xGA

  • L 0.82 created, 2.82 conceded against Aris Thessaloniki
  • D 2.20 created, 1.72 conceded against Panathinaikos
  • L 0.06 created, 3.08 conceded against APO Levadiakos
  • D 0.19 created, 0.34 conceded against Atromitos Athens
  • D 1.41 created, 2.54 conceded against AE Kifisia
  • W 0.63 created, 0.55 conceded against Aris Thessaloniki
MGS Panserraikos

0.78 xG created 1.68 xGA

  • L 0.29 created, 1.37 conceded against AE Kifisia
  • L 0.80 created, 0.36 conceded against Panetolikos
  • L 1.06 created, 2.71 conceded against OFI Crete
  • L 0.78 created, 2.27 conceded against APO Levadiakos
  • L 0.13 created, 2.95 conceded against Panathinaikos
  • W 1.59 created, 0.45 conceded against AE Kifisia

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

AE Larisa: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.