xgEdge

Sunday, 01/02/2026 at 20:00

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Match report · Super League Greece

AEK Athens 1:1 Olympiacos FC

AEK Athens Home 0.99 xG
Olympiacos FC Away 1.57 xG
11 Olympiacos FC had the better chances, but it finished level

The shots behind it

AEK Athens Olympiacos FC
Shots
9
11
On target
4
6
Inside the box
7
8
xG per shot
0.11
0.14

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
AEK Athens

2.04 xG created 0.85 xGA

  • W 2.54 created, 0.92 conceded against Atromitos Athens
  • W 2.24 created, 0.16 conceded against Panetolikos
  • W 2.32 created, 1.47 conceded against OFI Crete
  • D 1.50 created, 0.59 conceded against Aris Thessaloniki
  • W 2.27 created, 0.75 conceded against Panathinaikos
  • W 1.38 created, 1.21 conceded against Asteras Aktor
Olympiacos FC

1.72 xG created 0.48 xGA

  • W 1.48 created, 0.91 conceded against Panetolikos
  • W 2.65 created, 0.43 conceded against OFI Crete
  • D 1.25 created, 0.88 conceded against Aris Thessaloniki
  • D 2.97 created, 0.29 conceded against AE Kifisia
  • W 0.99 created, 0.20 conceded against Atromitos Athens
  • W 0.99 created, 0.16 conceded against NPS Volos

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

AEK Athens: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.