xgEdge

Sunday, 17/05/2026 at 18:30

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Match report · Super League Greece

AEK Athens 1:1 Olympiacos FC

AEK Athens Home 0.78 xG
Olympiacos FC Away 0.62 xG
11 The chances were evenly matched

The shots behind it

AEK Athens Olympiacos FC
Shots
11
13
On target
4
5
Inside the box
6
7
xG per shot
0.07
0.05

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
AEK Athens

1.71 xG created 0.82 xGA

  • W 2.30 created, 1.12 conceded against AE Kifisia
  • W 0.32 created, 0.22 conceded against Olympiacos FC
  • W 2.29 created, 0.57 conceded against PAOK
  • D 2.19 created, 1.21 conceded against Panathinaikos
  • W 2.16 created, 0.45 conceded against Panathinaikos
  • D 1.02 created, 1.35 conceded against PAOK
Olympiacos FC

1.79 xG created 0.73 xGA

  • D 2.46 created, 0.29 conceded against AE Larisa
  • L 0.22 created, 0.32 conceded against AEK Athens
  • W 1.54 created, 0.87 conceded against Panathinaikos
  • L 2.28 created, 1.95 conceded against PAOK
  • D 2.19 created, 0.73 conceded against PAOK
  • W 2.07 created, 0.22 conceded against Panathinaikos

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.