xgEdge

PS Kalamata's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 5 of 5 matching results

5 played this season

5 available results · Last 10 requested

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Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
1 win, 1 draw, 3 losses

4 pts 6–8 goals −2 GD

Chances

Provider xG / xGA
6.30 – 7.87
1.26 – 1.57 per match
xGD
-1.57
-0.31 per match
xG record
1 with the chances, 1 with even chances, 3 against them

Comparable xG: 5 of 5 completed results.

Points vs xPts Model

4 pts 6.0 xPts

−2.0 vs xPts

Matched xPts: 5 of 5 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Last 10 · All competitions · All venues

PS Kalamata's poor return follows chances that have gone against them at both ends. They out-created the opponent in 2 of 5 matches, for −1.57 xG difference overall on 6.30–7.87. Their points total of 4 sits 2.0 below the model's 6.0 xPts, so the chances have clearly outrun the results.

Points minus xPts, match by match

Over these 5 results PS Kalamata are 2.00 points below their xPts.

Points
4
xPts
6.00
Gap
-2.00
Sat 22/08 Sat 29/08 Sun 06/09 Sun 13/09 Sun 20/09 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -0.60 -1.07 -1.64 -1.07 -2.00 -0.60 -0.47 -0.57 +0.57 -0.93 Running gap points − xPts Each match points − xPts
PS Kalamata: Points vs xPts, the gap after every selected result
Date Opponent Points xPts Match gap Running gap
Sat 22/08 Aris Thessaloniki 0 0.60 -0.60 -0.60
Sat 29/08 Panetolikos 0 0.47 -0.47 -1.07
Sun 06/09 Atromitos Athens 1 1.57 -0.57 -1.64
Sun 13/09 NPS Volos 3 2.43 +0.57 -1.07
Sun 20/09 Panathinaikos 0 0.93 -0.93 -2.00

Scores and xG

PS Kalamata first

  • Home Super League Greece Loss backed by the chances

    xG 1.16

    xGA 1.72

    xGD -0.56

    0:1 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Panathinaikos, Sun 20/09

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.93
    Points minus xPts
    -0.93

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Super League Greece Win backed by the chances

    xG 2.25

    xGA 0.76

    xGD +1.49

    3:1 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · NPS Volos, Sun 13/09

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    2.43
    Points minus xPts
    +0.57

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Super League Greece Draw with even chances

    xG 0.46

    xGA 0.24

    xGD +0.22

    1:1 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Atromitos Athens, Sun 06/09

    The match was drawn and the chance difference was approximately even. The two readings broadly align.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    1.57
    Points minus xPts
    -0.57

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Super League Greece Loss backed by the chances

    xG 1.02

    xGA 2.46

    xGD -1.44

    0:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Panetolikos, Sat 29/08

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.47
    Points minus xPts
    -0.47

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Super League Greece Loss backed by the chances

    xG 1.41

    xGA 2.69

    xGD -1.28

    2:3 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Aris Thessaloniki, Sat 22/08

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.60
    Points minus xPts
    -0.60

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

How the model works →