Kasımpaşa 3:2 Fatih Karagümrük: xG & match report · Süper Lig

Monday, 16/02/2026 at 18:00

Full time

Match report · Süper Lig

Kasımpaşa Home 1.75 xG

Fatih Karagümrük Away 1.21 xG

32 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

Kasımpaşa Fatih Karagümrük

Shots: 12; 11
On target: 6; 4
Inside the box: 7; 8
xG per shot: 0.15; 0.11

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Kasımpaşa

0.69 xG created 1.01 xGA

D 0.69 created, 0.40 conceded against Gençlerbirliği
L 0.03 created, 2.67 conceded against Galatasaray
D 1.16 created, 0.76 conceded against Antalyaspor
L 0.52 created, 0.65 conceded against Trabzonspor
L 1.17 created, 0.72 conceded against Samsunspor
L 0.56 created, 0.84 conceded against Gaziantep FK

Fatih Karagümrük

1.00 xG created 1.10 xGA

D 0.99 created, 1.15 conceded against Kocaelispor
L 0.25 created, 0.82 conceded against Alanyaspor
L 0.65 created, 2.00 conceded against Başakşehir FK
L 0.53 created, 1.40 conceded against Galatasaray
L 1.14 created, 0.85 conceded against Göztepe
W 2.45 created, 0.39 conceded against Antalyaspor

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Kasımpaşa: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Fatih Karagümrük 0:1 Kasımpaşa 13/09/2025 xG 0.83 – 0.62

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.