Süper Lig expected points table 2026/2027
Every Süper Lig club ranked on the points its match-by-match chances were worth, with the position the real table gives it and the distance between the two.
Beşiktaş lead on expected points with 13.40 over 6 matches with xG. That is 0.70 clear of Galatasaray. Kocaelispor sit 9 places higher in the table than their chances place them: 4 against 13 on expected points. Göztepe sit 11 places lower in the table than their chances place them: 17 against 6 on expected points.
Table against xPts
- Higher in the table than on xPts
- Lower in the table than on xPts
- Fewer than 3 places apart
Ranked on expected points
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | Pts vs xPts | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Beşiktaş BEŞ | 6 | 12 | 13.40 | −1.40 | 3 | 2 places below its expected-points rank |
| 2 | Galatasaray GAL | 6 | 13 | 12.70 | +0.30 | 2 | Same place as on expected points |
| 3 | Fenerbahçe FEN | 6 | 10 | 11.83 | −1.83 | 6 | 3 places below its expected-points rank |
| 4 | Amed Sportif Faaliyetler AME | 6 | 13 | 11.07 | +1.93 | 1 | 3 places above its expected-points rank |
| 5 | Çaykur Rizespor ÇAY | 6 | 10 | 9.24 | +0.76 | 9 | 4 places below its expected-points rank |
| 6 | Göztepe GÖZ | 6 | 3 | 8.81 | −5.81 | 17 | 11 places below its expected-points rank |
| 7 | Trabzonspor TRA | 6 | 10 | 8.68 | +1.32 | 7 | Same place as on expected points |
| 8 | Başakşehir FK BAŞ | 6 | 7 | 8.39 | −1.39 | 12 | 4 places below its expected-points rank |
| 9 | Kasımpaşa KAS | 6 | 10 | 8.35 | +1.65 | 8 | 1 place above its expected-points rank |
| 10 | Konyaspor KON | 6 | 4 | 8.30 | −4.30 | 15 | 5 places below its expected-points rank |
| 11 | Çorum FK ÇOR | 6 | 7 | 8.13 | −1.13 | 11 | Same place as on expected points |
| 12 | Alanyaspor ALA | 6 | 11 | 7.73 | +3.27 | 5 | 7 places above its expected-points rank |
| 13 | Kocaelispor KOC | 6 | 12 | 6.77 | +5.23 | 4 | 9 places above its expected-points rank |
| 14 | Gaziantep FK GAZ | 6 | 8 | 6.67 | +1.33 | 10 | 4 places above its expected-points rank |
| 15 | Samsunspor SAM | 6 | 4 | 6.14 | −2.14 | 16 | 1 place below its expected-points rank |
| 16 | Erzurumspor FK ERZ | 6 | 7 | 4.90 | +2.10 | 14 | 2 places above its expected-points rank |
| 17 | Gençlerbirliği GEN | 6 | 7 | 4.34 | +2.66 | 13 | 4 places above its expected-points rank |
| 18 | Eyüpspor EYÜ | 6 | 3 | 4.28 | −1.28 | 18 | Same place as on expected points |
- Higher in the table than on xPts
- Lower in the table than on xPts
A gap can come from finishing, goalkeeping, game state or chance. xG and xPts are model estimates, not the result a team deserved.
About these figures What each column measures, and the thresholds this ranking is under. Show Hide
- P
- — Matches played
- Pts
- — Points
- xPts
- — Expected points: the points a team's match-by-match xG would be worth on average.
- Pts vs xPts
- — Actual points minus expected points based on match xG.
- Actual
- — Position in the real table
- Diff
- — Places between this ranking and the real table. Up is a club higher in the real table than its expected points place it.
Every club with expected goals behind it is ranked here: these are season totals rather than rates, so a club is not held back by having played fewer matches. The ranking opens once the median club has played 3.