xgEdge

AGF right now

AGF sit 11th in Superliga (Denmark). A +0.39 xG difference sits behind 5 points from 9 matches, which suggests the results have fallen short of fairly even performances. They have scored 3.43 fewer than their 14.43 xG, while conceding 2.96 more than the 14.04 xG against them. They have taken 8.37 fewer points than their chances were worth (13.37), so the table undersells them.

How AGF compares

Open the match page for Sønderjyske Fodbold

Next match Superliga (Denmark) · Mon 12/10

Home Sønderjyske Fodbold

1.99 Projected expected goals 0.97
Model probability
AGF
61%
Draw
24%
Sønderjyske Fodbold
15%

Data coverage: Full

Open the match page for AC Horsens

Last result Superliga (Denmark) · Sun 20/09

Away AC Horsens

2:2 Draw

Expected goals
1.01 – 1.19
xG difference
-0.18
Every result →
Performance

Goals vs xG — match by match

Bars are goals scored. Lines are the xG created and conceded in each match.

xG created xGA conceded Goals
3.5 0.0 Sat 25/07 Sun 20/09 Sat 25/07 Brøndby IF · Expected goals 1.91 Sat 01/08 Lyngby · Expected goals 1.35 Fri 14/08 Viborg FF · Expected goals 1.92 Sun 23/08 Odense Boldklub · Expected goals 1.88 Sun 30/08 Randers FC · Expected goals 1.97 Wed 02/09 FC Midtjylland · Expected goals 1.21 Sat 05/09 Silkeborg IF · Expected goals 1.92 Sun 13/09 FC Nordsjælland · Expected goals 1.26 Sun 20/09 AC Horsens · Expected goals 1.01 Sat 25/07 Brøndby IF · Expected goals conceded 0.81 Sat 01/08 Lyngby · Expected goals conceded 3.37 Fri 14/08 Viborg FF · Expected goals conceded 1.03 Sun 23/08 Odense Boldklub · Expected goals conceded 0.81 Sun 30/08 Randers FC · Expected goals conceded 1.10 Wed 02/09 FC Midtjylland · Expected goals conceded 1.71 Sat 05/09 Silkeborg IF · Expected goals conceded 1.23 Sun 13/09 FC Nordsjælland · Expected goals conceded 2.79 Sun 20/09 AC Horsens · Expected goals conceded 1.19
The season so far 9 matches, as they add up +0.39 xG difference +0.04 xGD / match
Every match behind the chart above: AGF's expected goals for and against, and the goals it scored.
Date Opponent Venue Score Expected goals Expected goals conceded xG difference Goals scored
Sat 25/07 Brøndby IF Home 1:1 1.91 0.81 +1.10 1
Sat 01/08 Lyngby Away 2:2 1.35 3.37 -2.02 2
Fri 14/08 Viborg FF Away 1:2 1.92 1.03 +0.89 1
Sun 23/08 Odense Boldklub Home 2:2 1.88 0.81 +1.07 2
Sun 30/08 Randers FC Away 1:2 1.97 1.10 +0.87 1
Wed 02/09 FC Midtjylland Home 0:2 1.21 1.71 -0.50 0
Sat 05/09 Silkeborg IF Home 2:2 1.92 1.23 +0.69 2
Sun 13/09 FC Nordsjælland Away 0:2 1.26 2.79 -1.53 0
Sun 20/09 AC Horsens Away 2:2 1.01 1.19 -0.18 2
The season so far 14.43 14.04 11

Finishing

-3.43

Goals vs xG

Defending

+2.96

Goals conceded vs xGA

Results

-8.37

Points vs xPts

The whole expected-goals page →

Key players

Sebastian Jørgensen F 3.19 549 min · 0G · xG 1.11 · xA 2.08
Janni Serra F 3.06 337 min · 3G · xG 2.51 · xA 0.55
Kristian Arnstad M 2.99 746 min · 2G · xG 2.01 · xA 0.98
Frederik Emmery D 2.27 689 min · 1G · xG 1.00 · xA 1.27
xGI = xG + xA ⓘ

Expected Goal Involvement combines expected goals and expected assists.

The whole squad →
Every figure off the same cached projection · Superliga (Denmark) 2026/2027 How the model works →