xgEdge

Expected goals

FC Hermannstadt expected goals (xG) 2025/2026

SuperLiga (Romania) · after 40 matches · updated 4 Oct

FC Hermannstadt's attacking and defensive expected goals in SuperLiga (Romania) 2025/2026, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

FC Hermannstadt xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.34 xG per match
#10/16
Attack (xG per match) across SuperLiga (Romania), best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 FCSB 2.00
#2 FC Dinamo București 1.64
#3 SC Oțelul Galați 1.52
#4 Universitatea Craiova 1.51
#5 FC Farul Constanța 1.44
#6 FC Rapid București 1.39
#7 UTA Arad 1.38
#8 FC Botoșani 1.35
#9 FC Universitatea Cluj 1.35
#10 FC Hermannstadt 1.34
#11 CFR 1907 Cluj 1.34
#12 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 1.11
#13 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 1.07
#14 AFC Unirea 04 Slobozia 1.05
#15 FC Argeș Pitești 1.02
#16 FC Metaloglobus București 1.00
League avg
1.34
Total
53.74 40 matches
Defence
1.19 xGA per match
#6/16
Defence (xGA per match) across SuperLiga (Romania), best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Universitatea Craiova 0.96
#2 FC Dinamo București 0.97
#3 FCSB 1.06
#4 FC Argeș Pitești 1.09
#5 FC Universitatea Cluj 1.17
#6 FC Hermannstadt 1.19
#7 CFR 1907 Cluj 1.23
#8 FC Rapid București 1.26
#9 SC Oțelul Galați 1.27
#10 FC Botoșani 1.35
#11 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 1.37
#12 FC Farul Constanța 1.39
#13 UTA Arad 1.54
#14 AFC Unirea 04 Slobozia 1.73
#15 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 1.87
#16 FC Metaloglobus București 2.07
League avg
1.34
Total
47.69 40 matches
xG difference
+0.15 xGD per match
#6/16
xG difference (xGD per match) across SuperLiga (Romania), best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 FCSB +0.94
#2 FC Dinamo București +0.68
#3 Universitatea Craiova +0.55
#4 SC Oțelul Galați +0.25
#5 FC Universitatea Cluj +0.18
#6 FC Hermannstadt +0.15
#7 FC Rapid București +0.13
#8 CFR 1907 Cluj +0.12
#9 FC Farul Constanța +0.04
#10 FC Botoșani +0.00
#11 FC Argeș Pitești -0.07
#12 UTA Arad -0.16
#13 FC Petrolul Ploieşti -0.26
#14 AFC Unirea 04 Slobozia -0.68
#15 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc -0.79
#16 FC Metaloglobus București -1.07
League avg
0.00
Total
+6.05 40 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.48 xPts per match
#7/16
Expected points (xPts per match) across SuperLiga (Romania), best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 FCSB 1.91
#2 FC Dinamo București 1.77
#3 Universitatea Craiova 1.77
#4 SC Oțelul Galați 1.55
#5 FC Universitatea Cluj 1.51
#6 CFR 1907 Cluj 1.50
#7 FC Hermannstadt 1.48
#8 FC Rapid București 1.47
#9 FC Farul Constanța 1.39
#10 FC Botoșani 1.38
#11 FC Argeș Pitești 1.31
#12 UTA Arad 1.28
#13 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 1.18
#14 AFC Unirea 04 Slobozia 0.93
#15 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 0.88
#16 FC Metaloglobus București 0.73
League avg
1.38
Total
59.15 vs 39 actual pts

Expected goals here are summed over 40 of 41 matches — the rest were played with no xG figure published for them, so the margins compare two different lengths of season.

What the xG says

FC Hermannstadt's underlying numbers are among the best in SuperLiga (Romania). They rank #6 for xG difference at +0.15 per match, from about average shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 45 goals are 8.74 below 53.74 xG, while 39 points are 20.15 below 59.15 xPts — both over the 40 matches with xG.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 1.22 xG from penalties
45 53.74 -8.74 scored 8.74 fewer than xG outside normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
62 47.69 +14.31 conceded 14.31 more than xGA far outside normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
39 59.15 -20.15 20.15 points below xPts far outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

FC Hermannstadt are 8.74 goals below their xG after 40 matches. The gap was widest at -10.73, against FC Metaloglobus București on Mon 11/05.

Goals
45
xG
53.74
Gap
-8.74
Sat 12/07 Fri 18/07 Sat 26/07 Sun 03/08 Sun 10/08 Sat 16/08 Mon 25/08 Sat 30/08 Mon 15/09 Sun 21/09 Fri 26/09 Sun 05/10 Mon 20/10 Mon 27/10 Sun 02/11 Sun 09/11 Mon 24/11 Sun 30/11 Sun 07/12 Sun 14/12 Sun 21/12 Sat 17/01 Fri 23/01 Sat 31/01 Tue 03/02 Fri 06/02 Mon 16/02 Mon 23/02 Fri 27/02 Sun 08/03 Fri 13/03 Sun 22/03 Sat 04/04 Fri 10/04 Sun 19/04 Fri 24/04 Mon 04/05 Mon 11/05 Mon 18/05 Sun 24/05 -11 -9 -7 -5 -3 -1 +1 +0.26 +1.28 +0.60 +0.27 -1.35 -1.09 -1.60 -2.35 -4.38 -4.00 -5.08 -4.32 -5.57 -7.04 -6.77 -4.88 -5.21 -4.98 -5.28 -5.96 -6.71 -6.65 -6.75 -6.16 -6.41 -6.07 -8.12 -8.57 -7.64 -7.23 -7.31 -8.17 -8.78 -9.28 -9.29 -10.31 -10.26 -10.73 -10.05 -8.74 +0.26 +1.02 -0.68 -0.33 -1.62 +0.26 -0.51 -0.75 -2.03 +0.38 -1.08 +0.76 -1.25 -1.47 +0.27 +1.89 -0.33 +0.23 -0.30 -0.68 -0.75 +0.06 -0.10 +0.59 -0.25 +0.34 -2.05 -0.45 +0.93 +0.41 -0.08 -0.86 -0.61 -0.50 -0.01 -1.02 +0.05 -0.47 +0.68 +1.31 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
FC Hermannstadt: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sat 12/07 FCSB 1 0.74 +0.26 +0.26
Fri 18/07 FC Metaloglobus București 2 0.98 +1.02 +1.28
Sat 26/07 UTA Arad 0 0.68 -0.68 +0.60
Sun 03/08 FC Universitatea Cluj 2 2.33 -0.33 +0.27
Sun 10/08 Universitatea Craiova 0 1.62 -1.62 -1.35
Sat 16/08 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 1 0.74 +0.26 -1.09
Mon 25/08 FC Farul Constanța 1 1.51 -0.51 -1.60
Sat 30/08 FC Dinamo București 0 0.75 -0.75 -2.35
Mon 15/09 AFC Unirea 04 Slobozia 0 2.03 -2.03 -4.38
Sun 21/09 FC Rapid București 2 1.62 +0.38 -4.00
Fri 26/09 FC Argeș Pitești 0 1.08 -1.08 -5.08
Sun 05/10 CFR 1907 Cluj 1 0.24 +0.76 -4.32
Mon 20/10 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 0 1.25 -1.25 -5.57
Mon 27/10 FC Botoșani 0 1.47 -1.47 -7.04
Sun 02/11 SC Oțelul Galați 1 0.73 +0.27 -6.77
Sun 09/11 FCSB 3 1.11 +1.89 -4.88
Mon 24/11 FC Metaloglobus București 1 1.33 -0.33 -5.21
Sun 30/11 UTA Arad 1 0.77 +0.23 -4.98
Sun 07/12 FC Universitatea Cluj 0 0.30 -0.30 -5.28
Sun 14/12 Universitatea Craiova 0 0.68 -0.68 -5.96
Sun 21/12 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 1 1.75 -0.75 -6.71
Sat 17/01 FC Farul Constanța 1 0.94 +0.06 -6.65
Fri 23/01 FC Dinamo București 1 1.10 -0.10 -6.75
Sat 31/01 AFC Unirea 04 Slobozia 3 2.41 +0.59 -6.16
Tue 03/02 FC Rapid București 0 0.25 -0.25 -6.41
Fri 06/02 FC Argeș Pitești 1 0.66 +0.34 -6.07
Mon 16/02 CFR 1907 Cluj 0 2.05 -2.05 -8.12
Mon 23/02 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 1 1.45 -0.45 -8.57
Fri 27/02 FC Botoșani 3 2.07 +0.93 -7.64
Sun 08/03 SC Oțelul Galați 2 1.59 +0.41 -7.23
Fri 13/03 UTA Arad 2 2.08 -0.08 -7.31
Sun 22/03 FC Botoșani 3 3.86 -0.86 -8.17
Sat 04/04 SC Oțelul Galați 0 0.61 -0.61 -8.78
Fri 10/04 FC Farul Constanța 1 1.50 -0.50 -9.28
Sun 19/04 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 1 1.01 -0.01 -9.29
Fri 24/04 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 0 1.02 -1.02 -10.31
Mon 04/05 AFC Unirea 04 Slobozia 2 1.95 +0.05 -10.26
Mon 11/05 FC Metaloglobus București 2 2.47 -0.47 -10.73
Mon 18/05 FCSB 2 1.32 +0.68 -10.05
Sun 24/05 FC Voluntari 3 1.69 +1.31 -8.74

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

FC Hermannstadt xG trend

Current form +0.33 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 24 of 40 matches. The worst was against SC Oțelul Galați on Sun 02/11 (-3.24).

npxG · last 6
1.58
npxGA · last 6
1.25
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 -1.17 Sat 12/07 -0.06 Fri 18/07 -0.22 Sat 26/07 +1.16 Sun 03/08 +0.31 Sun 10/08 -0.82 Sat 16/08 +0.19 Mon 25/08 -1.05 Sat 30/08 +1.41 Mon 15/09 +0.34 Sun 21/09 +0.52 Fri 26/09 -1.14 Sun 05/10 +0.43 Mon 20/10 -0.57 Mon 27/10 -3.24 Sun 02/11 -1.12 Sun 09/11 +0.06 Mon 24/11 -0.05 Sun 30/11 -0.72 Sun 07/12 -0.30 Sun 14/12 +0.61 Sun 21/12 +0.07 Sat 17/01 +0.30 Fri 23/01 +0.86 Sat 31/01 -1.81 Tue 03/02 -0.38 Fri 06/02 +0.27 Mon 16/02 +1.04 Mon 23/02 +1.54 Fri 27/02 +1.56 Sun 08/03 +1.66 Fri 13/03 +3.54 Sun 22/03 -0.43 Sat 04/04 +0.48 Fri 10/04 +0.08 Sun 19/04 +0.23 Fri 24/04 -0.15 Mon 04/05 +0.15 Mon 11/05 +0.64 Mon 18/05 +1.03 Sun 24/05 +0.13 season avg
FC Hermannstadt: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sat 12/07 FCSB 0.74 1.91 -1.17 -1.17
Fri 18/07 FC Metaloglobus București 0.55 0.61 -0.06 -0.62
Sat 26/07 UTA Arad 0.68 0.90 -0.22 -0.48
Sun 03/08 FC Universitatea Cluj 2.33 1.17 +1.16 -0.07
Sun 10/08 Universitatea Craiova 1.62 1.31 +0.31 +0.00
Sat 16/08 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 0.74 1.56 -0.82 -0.13
Mon 25/08 FC Farul Constanța 1.51 1.32 +0.19 -0.09
Sat 30/08 FC Dinamo București 0.75 1.80 -1.05 -0.21
Mon 15/09 AFC Unirea 04 Slobozia 2.03 0.62 +1.41 -0.03
Sun 21/09 FC Rapid București 0.83 0.49 +0.34 +0.01
Fri 26/09 FC Argeș Pitești 1.08 0.56 +0.52 +0.06
Sun 05/10 CFR 1907 Cluj 0.24 1.38 -1.14 -0.04
Mon 20/10 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 1.25 0.82 +0.43 -0.01
Mon 27/10 FC Botoșani 1.47 2.04 -0.57 -0.05
Sun 02/11 SC Oțelul Galați 0.73 3.97 -3.24 -0.26
Sun 09/11 FCSB 1.11 2.23 -1.12 -0.31
Mon 24/11 FC Metaloglobus București 1.33 1.27 +0.06 -0.29
Sun 30/11 UTA Arad 0.77 0.82 -0.05 -0.28
Sun 07/12 FC Universitatea Cluj 0.30 1.02 -0.72 -0.30
Sun 14/12 Universitatea Craiova 0.68 0.98 -0.30 -0.30
Sun 21/12 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 1.75 1.14 +0.61 -0.26
Sat 17/01 FC Farul Constanța 0.94 0.87 +0.07 -0.24
Fri 23/01 FC Dinamo București 1.10 0.80 +0.30 -0.22
Sat 31/01 AFC Unirea 04 Slobozia 2.41 1.55 +0.86 -0.17
Tue 03/02 FC Rapid București 0.25 2.06 -1.81 -0.24
Fri 06/02 FC Argeș Pitești 0.66 1.04 -0.38 -0.25
Mon 16/02 CFR 1907 Cluj 2.05 1.78 +0.27 -0.23
Mon 23/02 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 1.45 0.41 +1.04 -0.18
Fri 27/02 FC Botoșani 2.07 0.53 +1.54 -0.12
Sun 08/03 SC Oțelul Galați 1.59 0.03 +1.56 -0.07
Fri 13/03 UTA Arad 2.08 0.42 +1.66 -0.01
Sun 22/03 FC Botoșani 3.86 0.32 +3.54 +0.10
Sat 04/04 SC Oțelul Galați 0.61 1.04 -0.43 +0.08
Fri 10/04 FC Farul Constanța 1.50 1.02 +0.48 +0.10
Sun 19/04 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 1.01 0.93 +0.08 +0.10
Fri 24/04 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 1.02 0.79 +0.23 +0.10
Mon 04/05 AFC Unirea 04 Slobozia 1.95 2.10 -0.15 +0.09
Mon 11/05 FC Metaloglobus București 2.47 2.32 +0.15 +0.09
Mon 18/05 FCSB 1.32 0.68 +0.64 +0.11
Sun 24/05 FC Voluntari 1.69 0.66 +1.03 +0.13

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.31 npxG and 1.18 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 15 hardest of 16 in SuperLiga (Romania)
−0.05 xG vs league average
Over 41 league matches
Last 5
number 13 hardest of 15 in SuperLiga (Romania)
−0.21 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.05 xG vs league average · over 41 matches · number 15 hardest of 16

  1. FC Voluntari Away −0.04
  2. FC Voluntari Home −0.04
  3. FCSB Home +0.66
  4. FC Metaloglobus București Away −0.87
  5. AFC Unirea 04 Slobozia Away −0.76
  6. FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc Home −0.44
  7. FC Petrolul Ploieşti Away −0.18
  8. FC Farul Constanța Home −0.18
  9. SC Oțelul Galați Away +0.02
  10. FC Botoșani Home 0.00
  11. UTA Arad Away −0.02
  12. SC Oțelul Galați Away +0.02
  13. FC Botoșani Home 0.00
  14. FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc Away −0.44
  15. CFR 1907 Cluj Home +0.33
  16. FC Argeș Pitești Away −0.17
  17. FC Rapid București Home +0.27
  18. AFC Unirea 04 Slobozia Away −0.76
  19. FC Dinamo București Home +0.41
  20. FC Farul Constanța Away −0.18
  21. FC Petrolul Ploieşti Home −0.18
  22. Universitatea Craiova Home +0.59
  23. FC Universitatea Cluj Away +0.20
  24. UTA Arad Home −0.02
  25. FC Metaloglobus București Away −0.87
  26. FCSB Home +0.66
  27. SC Oțelul Galați Home +0.02
  28. FC Botoșani Away 0.00
  29. FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc Home −0.44
  30. CFR 1907 Cluj Away +0.33
  31. FC Argeș Pitești Home −0.17
  32. FC Rapid București Away +0.27
  33. AFC Unirea 04 Slobozia Home −0.76
  34. FC Dinamo București Away +0.41
  35. FC Farul Constanța Home −0.18
  36. FC Petrolul Ploieşti Away −0.18
  37. Universitatea Craiova Away +0.59
  38. FC Universitatea Cluj Home +0.20
  39. UTA Arad Away −0.02
  40. FC Metaloglobus București Home −0.87
  41. FCSB Away +0.66

Last 5

−0.21 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 13 hardest of 15

  1. FC Voluntari Away −0.04
  2. FC Voluntari Home −0.04
  3. FCSB Home +0.66
  4. FC Metaloglobus București Away −0.87
  5. AFC Unirea 04 Slobozia Away −0.76

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

FC Hermannstadt shots and chance quality

Average volume, average quality. FC Hermannstadt take 12.3 shots a match (league 13.0) at 0.11 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #11 in SuperLiga (Romania) for volume and #5 for quality. 63% of their shots come from inside the box (league 60%).

Attack

Shot volume
12.3 shots per match
#11/16
Shot volume (shots per match) across SuperLiga (Romania), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 FCSB 17.2
#2 Universitatea Craiova 14.9
#3 FC Farul Constanța 14.6
#4 CFR 1907 Cluj 14.2
#5 UTA Arad 14.0
#6 FC Dinamo București 13.8
#7 SC Oțelul Galați 13.6
#8 FC Botoșani 13.4
#9 FC Rapid București 13.3
#10 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 12.4
#11 FC Hermannstadt 12.3
#12 FC Universitatea Cluj 12.1
#13 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 11.1
#14 FC Argeș Pitești 10.8
#15 AFC Unirea 04 Slobozia 10.5
#16 FC Metaloglobus București 10.4
League avg
13.0
Total
491 shots from 40 matches
Chance quality
0.11 npxG per shot
#5/16
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across SuperLiga (Romania), best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 FC Dinamo București 0.12
#2 FCSB 0.12
#3 SC Oțelul Galați 0.11
#4 FC Universitatea Cluj 0.11
#5 FC Hermannstadt 0.11
#6 FC Rapid București 0.10
#7 Universitatea Craiova 0.10
#8 FC Botoșani 0.10
#9 AFC Unirea 04 Slobozia 0.10
#10 FC Farul Constanța 0.10
#11 UTA Arad 0.10
#12 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 0.10
#13 FC Metaloglobus București 0.10
#14 FC Argeș Pitești 0.09
#15 CFR 1907 Cluj 0.09
#16 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 0.09
League avg
0.10
Total
52.52 npxG from 491 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
12.5 shots per match
#8/16
Shots allowed (shots per match) across SuperLiga (Romania), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Universitatea Craiova 8.9
#2 FCSB 10.3
#3 FC Dinamo București 10.4
#4 FC Argeș Pitești 11.5
#5 FC Botoșani 12.2
#6 CFR 1907 Cluj 12.2
#7 FC Rapid București 12.5
#8 FC Hermannstadt 12.5
#9 SC Oțelul Galați 12.9
#10 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 13.2
#11 FC Universitatea Cluj 13.7
#12 UTA Arad 14.0
#13 FC Farul Constanța 14.2
#14 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 16.1
#15 AFC Unirea 04 Slobozia 16.7
#16 FC Metaloglobus București 17.1
League avg
13.0
Total
501 shots allowed from 40 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.09 npxGA per shot
#4/16
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across SuperLiga (Romania), best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 FC Universitatea Cluj 0.08
#2 FC Dinamo București 0.09
#3 FC Argeș Pitești 0.09
#4 FC Hermannstadt 0.09
#5 FC Farul Constanța 0.10
#6 SC Oțelul Galați 0.10
#7 FC Rapid București 0.10
#8 CFR 1907 Cluj 0.10
#9 FCSB 0.10
#10 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 0.10
#11 AFC Unirea 04 Slobozia 0.10
#12 Universitatea Craiova 0.11
#13 UTA Arad 0.11
#14 FC Botoșani 0.11
#15 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 0.12
#16 FC Metaloglobus București 0.12
League avg
0.10
Total
47.27 npxGA from 501 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

63% inside the box

League avg 60%

From 301 of 481 shots over 39 matches

Covers 39 of 40 matches with xG.

Shots allowed, location

55% allowed inside the box

League avg 60%

From 273 of 494 shots allowed over 39 matches

Covers 39 of 40 matches with xG.

How the shot figures are made →

FC Hermannstadt home and away xG

FC Hermannstadt per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 20 21 20 with xG
xG / match 1.45 1.23
xGA / match 1.14 1.24
xGD / match +0.31 -0.01
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.62 1.33

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every FC Hermannstadt match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

Last 5

Matches
5 4 with xG
xG / match
1.86
xGA / match
1.44
xGD / match
+0.42
Points
8 of 15
  1. Mon 01/06 FC Voluntari A
  2. Sun 24/05 FC Voluntari H xG 1.69 xGA 0.66 xGD +1.03
  3. Mon 18/05 FCSB H xG 1.32 xGA 0.68 xGD +0.64
  4. Mon 11/05 FC Metaloglobus București A xG 2.47 xGA 2.32 xGD +0.15
  5. Mon 04/05 AFC Unirea 04 Slobozia A xG 1.95 xGA 2.10 xGD -0.15

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

FC Hermannstadt in SuperLiga (Romania)

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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