SuperLiga (Serbia) expected points table 2026/2027
Every SuperLiga (Serbia) club ranked on the points its match-by-match chances were worth, with the position the real table gives it and the distance between the two.
FK Vojvodina lead on expected points with 17.41 over 9 matches with xG. FK Mladost Lučani sit 9 places higher in the table than their chances place them: 4 against 13 on expected points. FK Partizan sit 7 places lower in the table than their chances place them: 11 against 4 on expected points.
Table against xPts
- Higher in the table than on xPts
- Lower in the table than on xPts
- Fewer than 3 places apart
Ranked on expected points
| # | Team | P | Pts | xPts | Pts vs xPts | Actual | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Vojvodina FKV | 10 | 22 | 17.41 | +4.59 | 2 | 1 place below its expected-points rank |
| 2 | FK Radnički 1923 FKR | 9 | 17 | 17.27 | −0.27 | 3 | 1 place below its expected-points rank |
| 3 | FK Crvena zvezda FKC | 10 | 28 | 16.50 | +4.50 | 1 | 2 places above its expected-points rank |
| 4 | FK Partizan FKP | 9 | 8 | 14.50 | −9.50 | 11 | 7 places below its expected-points rank |
| 5 | FK Radnički Niš FKR | 9 | 8 | 13.63 | −5.63 | 12 | 7 places below its expected-points rank |
| 6 | FK Čukarički FKČ | 10 | 11 | 11.85 | −1.85 | 9 | 3 places below its expected-points rank |
| 7 | FK IMT Beograd FKI | 10 | 15 | 11.66 | −0.66 | 5 | 2 places above its expected-points rank |
| 8 | FK Novi Pazar FKN | 10 | 13 | 11.53 | −2.53 | 8 | Same place as on expected points |
| 9 | FK Radnik Surdulica FKR | 10 | 14 | 9.76 | +2.24 | 7 | 2 places above its expected-points rank |
| 10 | FK Železničar Pančevo FKŽ | 9 | 14 | 8.88 | +1.12 | 6 | 4 places above its expected-points rank |
| 11 | OFK Beograd OFK | 10 | 9 | 6.03 | −2.03 | 10 | 1 place above its expected-points rank |
| 12 | FK Mačva Šabac FKM | 10 | 8 | 5.47 | −0.47 | 13 | 1 place below its expected-points rank |
| 13 | FK Mladost Lučani FKM | 10 | 16 | 3.45 | +6.55 | 4 | 9 places above its expected-points rank |
| 14 | FK Zemun FKZ | 10 | 3 | 1.39 | +1.61 | 14 | Same place as on expected points |
12 of the 14 clubs here have expected figures over fewer matches than they have played. For those clubs every expected figure counts only the matches with xG, and the goals it is compared with come from those same matches.
- Higher in the table than on xPts
- Lower in the table than on xPts
A gap can come from finishing, goalkeeping, game state or chance. xG and xPts are model estimates, not the result a team deserved.
About these figures What each column measures, and the thresholds this ranking is under. Show Hide
- P
- — Matches played
- Pts
- — Points
- xPts
- — Expected points: the points a team's match-by-match xG would be worth on average.
- Pts vs xPts
- — Actual points minus expected points based on match xG.
- Actual
- — Position in the real table
- Diff
- — Places between this ranking and the real table. Up is a club higher in the real table than its expected points place it.
Every club with expected goals behind it is ranked here: these are season totals rather than rates, so a club is not held back by having played fewer matches. The ranking opens once the median club has played 3.