Sunday, 30/08/2026 at 14:30
Full timeLNZ Cherkasy 0:1 Veres Rivne
LNZ Cherkasy were the model's likeliest winner before kick-off at 63%. Veres Rivne won 1–0.
The model against the result
- LNZ Cherkasy
- 63%
- Draw
- 26%
- Veres Rivne
- 11% What happened
Data coverage Both teams have the full 20-match model window available.
Recent form
1.75 xG created 0.53 xGA
- D 1.18 created, 0.90 conceded against Dynamo Kyiv
- W 1.93 created, 0.23 conceded against SC Poltava
- L 1.14 created, 0.22 conceded against Kudrivka
- W 1.17 created, 0.46 conceded against Obolon Kyiv
- D 3.49 created, 0.22 conceded against Bukovyna Chernivtsi
- L 1.60 created, 1.16 conceded against Karpaty Lviv
1.12 xG created 2.22 xGA
- D 0.54 created, 0.80 conceded against Rukh Lviv
- L 2.24 created, 1.51 conceded against FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih
- L 1.43 created, 2.38 conceded against Karpaty Lviv
- L 0.20 created, 3.80 conceded against Metalist 1925
- L 1.63 created, 2.77 conceded against Dynamo Kyiv
- D 0.68 created, 2.05 conceded against FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi
xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result
Head to head
Model details
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- Fit window
- the last 20 matches, recency weighted (a match 107 days old counts half)
- LNZ Cherkasy sample
- 20 matches
- Veres Rivne sample
- 20 matches
- Computed
- 1 day before kick-off
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.