Expected goals
Veres Rivne expected goals (xG) 2026/2027
Ukrainian Premier League · after 5 matches · updated 1 Oct
Veres Rivne's attacking and defensive expected goals in Ukrainian Premier League 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.
Veres Rivne xG and xGA per match
Every match ↓| Rank | Club | xG per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Metalist 1925 | 2.42 |
| #2 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 2.19 |
| #3 | LNZ Cherkasy | 2.10 |
| #4 | Karpaty Lviv | 1.90 |
| #5 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 1.88 |
| #6 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 1.86 |
| #7 | Dynamo Kyiv | 1.81 |
| #8 | FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi | 1.74 |
| #9 | FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih | 1.36 |
| #10 | Kolos Kovalivka | 1.34 |
| #11 | Zoria Luhansk | 1.15 |
| #12 | Veres Rivne | 0.94 |
| #13 | Kudrivka | 0.86 |
| #14 | FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv | 0.71 |
| #15 | Obolon Kyiv | 0.60 |
| #16 | Chornomorets Odesa | 0.54 |
- League avg
- 1.51
- Total
- 4.69 5 matches
| Rank | Club | xGA per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 0.68 |
| #2 | Metalist 1925 | 0.79 |
| #3 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 0.92 |
| #4 | Dynamo Kyiv | 0.94 |
| #5 | FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv | 1.09 |
| #6 | FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi | 1.17 |
| #7 | LNZ Cherkasy | 1.26 |
| #8 | Chornomorets Odesa | 1.30 |
| #9 | Zoria Luhansk | 1.37 |
| #10 | Karpaty Lviv | 1.59 |
| #11 | Kolos Kovalivka | 1.69 |
| #12 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 2.01 |
| #13 | Veres Rivne | 2.06 |
| #14 | FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih | 2.32 |
| #15 | Kudrivka | 2.50 |
| #16 | Obolon Kyiv | 2.79 |
- League avg
- 1.51
- Total
- 10.32 5 matches
| Rank | Club | xGD per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Metalist 1925 | +1.63 |
| #2 | Polissya Zhytomyr | +1.51 |
| #3 | Shakhtar Donetsk | +0.96 |
| #4 | Dynamo Kyiv | +0.87 |
| #5 | LNZ Cherkasy | +0.84 |
| #6 | FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi | +0.57 |
| #7 | Karpaty Lviv | +0.30 |
| #8 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | -0.14 |
| #9 | Zoria Luhansk | -0.22 |
| #10 | Kolos Kovalivka | -0.34 |
| #11 | FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv | -0.38 |
| #12 | Chornomorets Odesa | -0.76 |
| #13 | FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih | -0.96 |
| #14 | Veres Rivne | -1.13 |
| #15 | Kudrivka | -1.65 |
| #16 | Obolon Kyiv | -2.19 |
- League avg
- 0.00
- Total
- -5.63 5 matches
| Rank | Club | xPts per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 2.29 |
| #2 | Metalist 1925 | 2.23 |
| #3 | Dynamo Kyiv | 2.02 |
| #4 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 2.01 |
| #5 | FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi | 1.72 |
| #6 | LNZ Cherkasy | 1.64 |
| #7 | Karpaty Lviv | 1.58 |
| #8 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 1.38 |
| #9 | Zoria Luhansk | 1.20 |
| #10 | Kolos Kovalivka | 1.15 |
| #11 | FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv | 1.01 |
| #12 | Veres Rivne | 0.85 |
| #13 | FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih | 0.83 |
| #14 | Chornomorets Odesa | 0.74 |
| #15 | Kudrivka | 0.54 |
| #16 | Obolon Kyiv | 0.48 |
- League avg
- 1.40
- Total
- 4.23 vs 6 actual pts
Early-season figures: after 5 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.
Expected goals here are summed over 5 of 6 matches — the rest were played with no xG figure published for them, so the margins compare two different lengths of season.
What the xG says
Veres Rivne's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Ukrainian Premier League. They rank #14 for xG difference at -1.13 per match, from low shot volume and low chance quality. Their 3 goals are 1.69 below 4.69 xG, while 3 points are 1.23 below 4.23 xPts — both over the 5 matches with xG. After only 5 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.
Actual vs expected
Select a row to chart it across the season.
Goals minus xG, match by match
Veres Rivne are 1.69 goals below their xG after 5 matches.
- Goals
- 3
- xG
- 4.69
- Gap
- -1.69
- This match
- Match gap
- Running gap
| Date | Opponent | Goals | xG | Match gap | Running gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 01/08 | Metalist 1925 | 0 | 0.20 | -0.20 | -0.20 |
| Sun 09/08 | Dynamo Kyiv | 1 | 1.63 | -0.63 | -0.83 |
| Fri 14/08 | FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi | 0 | 0.68 | -0.68 | -1.51 |
| Sun 06/09 | Zoria Luhansk | 1 | 0.87 | +0.13 | -1.38 |
| Sun 20/09 | Karpaty Lviv | 1 | 1.31 | -0.31 | -1.69 |
Veres Rivne xG trend
Current form -0.93 npxGD per match
All 5 matches with xG so far — the window fills at 6.
Out-created the opponent in 1 of 5 matches. The worst was against Metalist 1925 on Sat 01/08 (-3.60).
- npxG · last 5
- 0.99
- npxGA · last 5
- 1.92
- npxG
- npxGA
- npxGD
- Avg so far
| Date | Opponent | npxG | npxGA | npxGD | Avg so far |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sat 01/08 | Metalist 1925 | 0.23 | 3.83 | -3.60 | -3.60 |
| Sun 09/08 | Dynamo Kyiv | 1.87 | 2.01 | -0.14 | -1.87 |
| Fri 14/08 | FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi | 0.69 | 2.07 | -1.38 | -1.71 |
| Sun 06/09 | Zoria Luhansk | 0.87 | 1.08 | -0.21 | -1.33 |
| Sun 20/09 | Karpaty Lviv | 1.31 | 0.62 | +0.69 | -0.93 |
Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 0.99 npxG and 1.92 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.
Strength of schedule
- Season so far
- number 1 hardest of 16 in Ukrainian Premier League
- +0.21 xG vs league average
- Over 6 league matches
- Last 5
- number 5 hardest of 16 in Ukrainian Premier League
- +0.13 xG vs league average
- Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures
Season so far
+0.21 xG vs league average · over 6 matches · number 1 hardest of 16
- Karpaty Lviv Away 0.00
- Zoria Luhansk Home −0.13
- LNZ Cherkasy Away +0.39
- FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi Away −0.22
- Dynamo Kyiv Home +0.64
- Metalist 1925 Away +0.60
Last 5
+0.13 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 5 hardest of 16
- Karpaty Lviv Away 0.00
- Zoria Luhansk Home −0.13
- LNZ Cherkasy Away +0.39
- FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi Away −0.22
- Dynamo Kyiv Home +0.64
Veres Rivne shots and chance quality
Low volume, low quality. Veres Rivne take 11.2 shots a match (league 13.5) at 0.09 npxG a shot (league 0.11), #12 in Ukrainian Premier League for volume and #12 for quality. 54% of their shots come from inside the box (league 54%).
Attack
| Rank | Club | shots per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 20.3 |
| #2 | Metalist 1925 | 17.8 |
| #3 | Dynamo Kyiv | 16.3 |
| #4 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 16.0 |
| #5 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 15.2 |
| #6 | FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih | 14.3 |
| #7 | LNZ Cherkasy | 13.8 |
| #8 | Kolos Kovalivka | 13.6 |
| #9 | Karpaty Lviv | 13.1 |
| #10 | Zoria Luhansk | 13.0 |
| #11 | FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi | 12.4 |
| #12 | Veres Rivne | 11.2 |
| #13 | Chornomorets Odesa | 10.3 |
| #14 | FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv | 10.0 |
| #15 | Kudrivka | 8.8 |
| #16 | Obolon Kyiv | 8.3 |
- League avg
- 13.5
- Total
- 56 shots from 5 matches
| Rank | Club | npxG per shot |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Karpaty Lviv | 0.14 |
| #2 | Metalist 1925 | 0.14 |
| #3 | LNZ Cherkasy | 0.13 |
| #4 | FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi | 0.12 |
| #5 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 0.12 |
| #6 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 0.12 |
| #7 | Dynamo Kyiv | 0.11 |
| #8 | Kudrivka | 0.10 |
| #9 | Kolos Kovalivka | 0.10 |
| #10 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 0.10 |
| #11 | Zoria Luhansk | 0.09 |
| #12 | Veres Rivne | 0.09 |
| #13 | FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih | 0.08 |
| #14 | FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv | 0.07 |
| #15 | Obolon Kyiv | 0.07 |
| #16 | Chornomorets Odesa | 0.05 |
- League avg
- 0.11
- Total
- 4.97 npxG from 56 shots
Defence
| Rank | Club | shots per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 7.0 |
| #2 | Metalist 1925 | 7.3 |
| #3 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 7.7 |
| #4 | Dynamo Kyiv | 9.7 |
| #5 | LNZ Cherkasy | 11.2 |
| #6 | FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi | 12.1 |
| #7 | FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv | 14.6 |
| #8 | Karpaty Lviv | 14.9 |
| #9 | Zoria Luhansk | 15.0 |
| #10 | Veres Rivne | 15.6 |
| #11 | Obolon Kyiv | 16.5 |
| #12 | Kolos Kovalivka | 16.6 |
| #13 | Chornomorets Odesa | 16.8 |
| #14 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 17.3 |
| #15 | Kudrivka | 18.2 |
| #16 | FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih | 18.3 |
- League avg
- 13.5
- Total
- 78 shots allowed from 5 matches
| Rank | Club | npxGA per shot |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv | 0.07 |
| #2 | Chornomorets Odesa | 0.08 |
| #3 | Karpaty Lviv | 0.09 |
| #4 | Zoria Luhansk | 0.09 |
| #5 | FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi | 0.10 |
| #6 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 0.10 |
| #7 | LNZ Cherkasy | 0.10 |
| #8 | Dynamo Kyiv | 0.10 |
| #9 | Kolos Kovalivka | 0.10 |
| #10 | FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih | 0.11 |
| #11 | Bukovyna Chernivtsi | 0.12 |
| #12 | Veres Rivne | 0.12 |
| #13 | Metalist 1925 | 0.13 |
| #14 | Kudrivka | 0.13 |
| #15 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 0.13 |
| #16 | Obolon Kyiv | 0.13 |
- League avg
- 0.11
- Total
- 9.61 npxGA from 78 shots
Shot profile
54% inside the box
League avg 54%
From 30 of 56 shots over 5 matches
Early-season figure: after 5 matches, the share can move quickly.
60% allowed inside the box
League avg 54%
From 47 of 78 shots allowed over 5 matches
Early-season figure: after 5 matches, the share can move quickly.
Veres Rivne home and away xG
| Measure | Home only 2 matches with xG | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 4 3 with xG |
| xG / match | 1.25 | 0.73 |
| xGA / match | 1.93 | 2.16 |
| xGD / match | -0.68 | -1.43 |
| xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → | 0.91 | 0.80 |
Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.
Every Veres Rivne match by xG
This season
- Matches
- 6 5 with xG
- xG / match
- 0.94
- xGA / match
- 2.06
- xGD / match
- -1.13
- Points
- 6 of 18
- Sun 20/09 Karpaty Lviv A Best underlying xG 1.31 xGA 0.62 xGD +0.69 xPts 1.97
- Sun 06/09 Zoria Luhansk H xG 0.87 xGA 1.08 xGD -0.21 xPts 1.13
- Sun 30/08 LNZ Cherkasy A
- Fri 14/08 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi A xG 0.68 xGA 2.05 xGD -1.37 xPts 0.41
- Sun 09/08 Dynamo Kyiv H xG 1.63 xGA 2.77 P xGD -1.14 xPts 0.69
- Sat 01/08 Metalist 1925 A Weakest underlying xG 0.20 xGA 3.80 xGD -3.60 xPts 0.03
Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.80. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.
Veres Rivne in Ukrainian Premier League
Attack
- xG / match #12 of 16
- Shots / match #12 of 16
- Chance quality #12 of 16
- Home xG #12 of 16
- Away xG #11 of 16
Defence
- xGA / match #13 of 16
- Shots allowed #10 of 16
- Chance quality allowed #12 of 16
About the data
- xG data
- Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
- Derived metrics
- xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
- Model metrics
- xPts is produced by our probability model.