xgEdge

Expected goals

Oleksandria expected goals (xG) 2025/2026

Ukrainian Premier League · after 30 matches · updated 4 Oct

Oleksandria's attacking and defensive expected goals in Ukrainian Premier League 2025/2026, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Oleksandria xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
0.83 xG per match
#15/16
Attack (xG per match) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Dynamo Kyiv 2.19
#2 Shakhtar Donetsk 2.06
#3 Polissya Zhytomyr 1.81
#4 LNZ Cherkasy 1.56
#5 Karpaty Lviv 1.50
#6 Zoria Luhansk 1.40
#7 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 1.40
#8 Metalist 1925 1.33
#9 Kolos Kovalivka 1.31
#10 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 1.20
#11 Kudrivka 1.13
#12 Veres Rivne 1.07
#13 Obolon Kyiv 1.06
#14 Rukh Lviv 1.00
#15 Oleksandria 0.83
#16 SC Poltava 0.82
League avg
1.35
Total
25.00 30 matches
Defence
1.78 xGA per match
#14/16
Defence (xGA per match) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 LNZ Cherkasy 0.65
#2 Shakhtar Donetsk 0.70
#3 Metalist 1925 0.79
#4 Dynamo Kyiv 0.85
#5 Polissya Zhytomyr 1.14
#6 Kolos Kovalivka 1.26
#7 Karpaty Lviv 1.26
#8 Obolon Kyiv 1.32
#9 Zoria Luhansk 1.39
#10 Rukh Lviv 1.50
#11 Veres Rivne 1.51
#12 Kudrivka 1.56
#13 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 1.60
#14 Oleksandria 1.78
#15 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 1.96
#16 SC Poltava 2.35
League avg
1.35
Total
53.42 30 matches
xG difference
-0.95 xGD per match
#15/16
xG difference (xGD per match) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Shakhtar Donetsk +1.36
#2 Dynamo Kyiv +1.33
#3 LNZ Cherkasy +0.91
#4 Polissya Zhytomyr +0.67
#5 Metalist 1925 +0.54
#6 Karpaty Lviv +0.24
#7 Kolos Kovalivka +0.05
#8 Zoria Luhansk +0.00
#9 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih -0.21
#10 Obolon Kyiv -0.26
#11 Kudrivka -0.43
#12 Veres Rivne -0.44
#13 Rukh Lviv -0.49
#14 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi -0.76
#15 Oleksandria -0.95
#16 SC Poltava -1.53
League avg
0.00
Total
-28.42 30 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
0.76 xPts per match
#15/16
Expected points (xPts per match) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Dynamo Kyiv 2.20
#2 Shakhtar Donetsk 2.14
#3 LNZ Cherkasy 2.08
#4 Polissya Zhytomyr 1.76
#5 Metalist 1925 1.72
#6 Karpaty Lviv 1.55
#7 Kolos Kovalivka 1.41
#8 Zoria Luhansk 1.36
#9 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 1.26
#10 Rukh Lviv 1.14
#11 Obolon Kyiv 1.14
#12 Veres Rivne 1.09
#13 Kudrivka 1.08
#14 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 0.95
#15 Oleksandria 0.76
#16 SC Poltava 0.53
League avg
1.38
Total
22.81 vs 19 actual pts

Expected goals here are summed over 30 of 32 matches — the rest were played with no xG figure published for them, so the margins compare two different lengths of season.

What the xG says

Oleksandria's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Ukrainian Premier League. They rank #15 for xG difference at -0.95 per match, from low shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 24 goals are 1.00 below 25.00 xG, while 17 points are 5.81 below 22.81 xPts — both over the 30 matches with xG.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
24 25.00 -1.00 scored 1.00 fewer than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
56 53.42 +2.58 conceded 2.58 more than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
17 22.81 -5.81 5.81 points below xPts outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Oleksandria are 1.00 goals below their xG after 30 matches. The gap was widest at -2.50, against Polissya Zhytomyr on Fri 08/05.

Goals
24
xG
25.00
Gap
-1.00
Sun 03/08 Sun 10/08 Sat 16/08 Sun 31/08 Fri 12/09 Mon 22/09 Sat 27/09 Sat 04/10 Sun 19/10 Fri 24/10 Sat 01/11 Sun 09/11 Mon 24/11 Sun 30/11 Sun 07/12 Fri 12/12 Sat 28/02 Fri 06/03 Sat 14/03 Thu 19/03 Fri 03/04 Sat 11/04 Mon 20/04 Mon 27/04 Sat 02/05 Fri 08/05 Tue 12/05 Sun 17/05 Fri 05/06 Tue 09/06 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +0.05 -0.65 -0.28 -0.96 +2.39 +3.75 +3.76 +3.29 +3.76 +2.58 +2.83 +2.29 +3.58 +2.78 +2.25 +1.75 +1.73 +1.57 +0.75 +0.32 +1.41 +0.67 -0.59 -1.67 -2.29 -2.50 -2.34 -0.95 -0.31 -1.00 +0.05 -0.70 +0.37 -0.68 +3.35 +1.36 +0.01 -0.47 +0.47 -1.18 +0.25 -0.54 +1.29 -0.80 -0.53 -0.50 -0.02 -0.16 -0.82 -0.43 +1.09 -0.74 -1.26 -1.08 -0.62 -0.21 +0.16 +1.39 +0.64 -0.69 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Oleksandria: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 03/08 Kudrivka 1 0.95 +0.05 +0.05
Sun 10/08 Obolon Kyiv 0 0.70 -0.70 -0.65
Sat 16/08 Metalist 1925 1 0.63 +0.37 -0.28
Sun 31/08 Shakhtar Donetsk 0 0.68 -0.68 -0.96
Fri 12/09 LNZ Cherkasy 4 0.65 +3.35 +2.39
Mon 22/09 Dynamo Kyiv 2 0.64 +1.36 +3.75
Sat 27/09 SC Poltava 1 0.99 +0.01 +3.76
Sat 04/10 Karpaty Lviv 0 0.47 -0.47 +3.29
Sun 19/10 Veres Rivne 1 0.53 +0.47 +3.76
Fri 24/10 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 0 1.18 -1.18 +2.58
Sat 01/11 Kolos Kovalivka 1 0.75 +0.25 +2.83
Sun 09/11 Polissya Zhytomyr 0 0.54 -0.54 +2.29
Mon 24/11 Zoria Luhansk 2 0.71 +1.29 +3.58
Sun 30/11 Rukh Lviv 0 0.80 -0.80 +2.78
Sun 07/12 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 0 0.53 -0.53 +2.25
Fri 12/12 Kudrivka 1 1.50 -0.50 +1.75
Sat 28/02 Metalist 1925 0 0.02 -0.02 +1.73
Fri 06/03 Shakhtar Donetsk 0 0.16 -0.16 +1.57
Sat 14/03 LNZ Cherkasy 0 0.82 -0.82 +0.75
Thu 19/03 Dynamo Kyiv 0 0.43 -0.43 +0.32
Fri 03/04 SC Poltava 3 1.91 +1.09 +1.41
Sat 11/04 Karpaty Lviv 0 0.74 -0.74 +0.67
Mon 20/04 Veres Rivne 0 1.26 -1.26 -0.59
Mon 27/04 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 1 2.08 -1.08 -1.67
Sat 02/05 Kolos Kovalivka 0 0.62 -0.62 -2.29
Fri 08/05 Polissya Zhytomyr 1 1.21 -0.21 -2.50
Tue 12/05 Zoria Luhansk 1 0.84 +0.16 -2.34
Sun 17/05 Rukh Lviv 3 1.61 +1.39 -0.95
Fri 05/06 FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv 1 0.36 +0.64 -0.31
Tue 09/06 FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv 0 0.69 -0.69 -1.00

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Oleksandria xG trend

Current form -0.96 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 6 of 30 matches. The worst was against Dynamo Kyiv on Thu 19/03 (-2.74).

npxG · last 6
0.91
npxGA · last 6
1.87
-3 -2 -1 0 +1 -0.40 Sun 03/08 +0.30 Sun 10/08 -0.20 Sat 16/08 -1.92 Sun 31/08 -1.14 Fri 12/09 -1.05 Mon 22/09 -0.01 Sat 27/09 -0.82 Sat 04/10 -0.20 Sun 19/10 +0.60 Fri 24/10 -0.97 Sat 01/11 -1.28 Sun 09/11 -1.79 Mon 24/11 -1.49 Sun 30/11 -0.44 Sun 07/12 +0.75 Fri 12/12 -1.93 Sat 28/02 -1.34 Fri 06/03 -0.60 Sat 14/03 -2.74 Thu 19/03 +0.76 Fri 03/04 -1.04 Sat 11/04 +0.37 Mon 20/04 +0.85 Mon 27/04 -1.57 Sat 02/05 -1.24 Fri 08/05 -0.84 Tue 12/05 -0.71 Sun 17/05 -0.67 Fri 05/06 -0.72 Tue 09/06 -0.72 season avg
Oleksandria: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 03/08 Kudrivka 0.95 1.35 -0.40 -0.40
Sun 10/08 Obolon Kyiv 0.70 0.40 +0.30 -0.05
Sat 16/08 Metalist 1925 0.64 0.84 -0.20 -0.10
Sun 31/08 Shakhtar Donetsk 0.68 2.60 -1.92 -0.55
Fri 12/09 LNZ Cherkasy 0.65 1.79 -1.14 -0.67
Mon 22/09 Dynamo Kyiv 0.64 1.69 -1.05 -0.74
Sat 27/09 SC Poltava 0.99 1.00 -0.01 -0.63
Sat 04/10 Karpaty Lviv 0.57 1.39 -0.82 -0.66
Sun 19/10 Veres Rivne 0.53 0.73 -0.20 -0.60
Fri 24/10 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 1.18 0.58 +0.60 -0.48
Sat 01/11 Kolos Kovalivka 0.75 1.72 -0.97 -0.53
Sun 09/11 Polissya Zhytomyr 0.55 1.83 -1.28 -0.59
Mon 24/11 Zoria Luhansk 0.71 2.50 -1.79 -0.68
Sun 30/11 Rukh Lviv 0.80 2.29 -1.49 -0.74
Sun 07/12 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 0.53 0.97 -0.44 -0.72
Fri 12/12 Kudrivka 1.50 0.75 +0.75 -0.63
Sat 28/02 Metalist 1925 0.02 1.95 -1.93 -0.71
Fri 06/03 Shakhtar Donetsk 0.17 1.51 -1.34 -0.74
Sat 14/03 LNZ Cherkasy 0.82 1.42 -0.60 -0.73
Thu 19/03 Dynamo Kyiv 0.43 3.17 -2.74 -0.83
Fri 03/04 SC Poltava 1.91 1.15 +0.76 -0.76
Sat 11/04 Karpaty Lviv 0.74 1.78 -1.04 -0.77
Mon 20/04 Veres Rivne 1.26 0.89 +0.37 -0.72
Mon 27/04 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 2.08 1.23 +0.85 -0.66
Sat 02/05 Kolos Kovalivka 0.62 2.19 -1.57 -0.69
Fri 08/05 Polissya Zhytomyr 1.21 2.45 -1.24 -0.71
Tue 12/05 Zoria Luhansk 0.84 1.68 -0.84 -0.72
Sun 17/05 Rukh Lviv 1.61 2.32 -0.71 -0.72
Fri 05/06 FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv 0.49 1.16 -0.67 -0.72
Tue 09/06 FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv 0.69 1.41 -0.72 -0.72

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 0.84 npxG and 1.56 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 2 hardest of 16 in Ukrainian Premier League
+0.07 xG vs league average
Over 32 league matches
Last 5
number 12 hardest of 16 in Ukrainian Premier League
−0.08 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.07 xG vs league average · over 32 matches · tied number 2 hardest of 16

  1. FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv Away +0.02
  2. FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv Home +0.02
  3. FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Home +0.07
  4. Rukh Lviv Away −0.51
  5. Zoria Luhansk Home 0.00
  6. Polissya Zhytomyr Away +0.57
  7. Kolos Kovalivka Home +0.08
  8. FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi Away −0.34
  9. Veres Rivne Home −0.33
  10. Karpaty Lviv Away +0.14
  11. SC Poltava Away −0.95
  12. Dynamo Kyiv Home +0.92
  13. LNZ Cherkasy Away +0.45
  14. Shakhtar Donetsk Home +0.86
  15. Metalist 1925 Away +0.46
  16. Obolon Kyiv Home −0.04
  17. Kudrivka Home −0.31
  18. FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Away +0.07
  19. Rukh Lviv Home −0.51
  20. Zoria Luhansk Away 0.00
  21. Polissya Zhytomyr Home +0.57
  22. Kolos Kovalivka Away +0.08
  23. FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi Home −0.34
  24. Veres Rivne Away −0.33
  25. Karpaty Lviv Home +0.14
  26. SC Poltava Home −0.95
  27. Dynamo Kyiv Away +0.92
  28. LNZ Cherkasy Home +0.45
  29. Shakhtar Donetsk Away +0.86
  30. Metalist 1925 Home +0.46
  31. Obolon Kyiv Away −0.04
  32. Kudrivka Away −0.31

Last 5

−0.08 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 12 hardest of 16

  1. FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv Away +0.02
  2. FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv Home +0.02
  3. FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih Home +0.07
  4. Rukh Lviv Away −0.51
  5. Zoria Luhansk Home 0.00

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Oleksandria shots and chance quality

Low volume, average quality. Oleksandria take 8.4 shots a match (league 12.0) at 0.10 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #15 in Ukrainian Premier League for volume and #10 for quality. 50% of their shots come from inside the box (league 56%).

Attack

Shot volume
8.4 shots per match
#15/16
Shot volume (shots per match) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Dynamo Kyiv 16.7
#2 Shakhtar Donetsk 16.1
#3 Metalist 1925 14.4
#4 Polissya Zhytomyr 14.3
#5 Karpaty Lviv 13.9
#6 LNZ Cherkasy 13.0
#7 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 12.9
#8 Kolos Kovalivka 12.4
#9 Zoria Luhansk 12.2
#10 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 11.4
#11 Kudrivka 10.7
#12 Veres Rivne 9.7
#13 Obolon Kyiv 9.6
#14 Rukh Lviv 9.2
#15 Oleksandria 8.4
#16 SC Poltava 7.8
League avg
12.0
Total
252 shots from 30 matches
Chance quality
0.10 npxG per shot
#10/16
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Dynamo Kyiv 0.12
#2 Shakhtar Donetsk 0.12
#3 Polissya Zhytomyr 0.11
#4 LNZ Cherkasy 0.11
#5 Zoria Luhansk 0.11
#6 Veres Rivne 0.11
#7 Obolon Kyiv 0.10
#8 Karpaty Lviv 0.10
#9 Rukh Lviv 0.10
#10 Oleksandria 0.10
#11 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 0.10
#12 Kolos Kovalivka 0.10
#13 SC Poltava 0.09
#14 Kudrivka 0.09
#15 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 0.09
#16 Metalist 1925 0.09
League avg
0.10
Total
25.26 npxG from 252 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
15.9 shots per match
#15/16
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Shakhtar Donetsk 6.5
#2 Metalist 1925 8.1
#3 LNZ Cherkasy 8.5
#4 Dynamo Kyiv 8.8
#5 Polissya Zhytomyr 10.1
#6 Kolos Kovalivka 11.4
#7 Rukh Lviv 11.8
#8 Karpaty Lviv 11.8
#9 Zoria Luhansk 12.2
#10 Obolon Kyiv 12.7
#11 Veres Rivne 13.0
#12 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 14.0
#13 Kudrivka 14.1
#14 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 14.7
#15 Oleksandria 15.9
#16 SC Poltava 18.3
League avg
12.0
Total
478 shots allowed from 30 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.10 npxGA per shot
#6/16
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 LNZ Cherkasy 0.08
#2 Metalist 1925 0.09
#3 Obolon Kyiv 0.09
#4 Dynamo Kyiv 0.09
#5 Karpaty Lviv 0.10
#6 Oleksandria 0.10
#7 Shakhtar Donetsk 0.10
#8 Kolos Kovalivka 0.10
#9 Polissya Zhytomyr 0.10
#10 Zoria Luhansk 0.11
#11 Kudrivka 0.11
#12 Veres Rivne 0.11
#13 SC Poltava 0.11
#14 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 0.11
#15 Rukh Lviv 0.12
#16 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 0.12
League avg
0.10
Total
46.74 npxGA from 478 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

50% inside the box

League avg 56%

From 125 of 252 shots over 30 matches

Shots allowed, location

53% allowed inside the box

League avg 56%

From 255 of 478 shots allowed over 30 matches

How the shot figures are made →

Oleksandria home and away xG

Oleksandria per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 16 14 with xG 16
xG / match 0.75 0.91
xGA / match 1.67 1.88
xGD / match -0.92 -0.97
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 0.75 0.76

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Oleksandria match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
32 30 with xG
xG / match
0.83
xGA / match
1.78
xGD / match
-0.95
Points
19 of 96
  1. Tue 09/06 FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv A xG 0.69 xGA 1.40 xGD -0.71
  2. Fri 05/06 FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv H xG 0.36 xGA 1.16 xGD -0.80
  3. Sat 23/05 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih H
  4. Sun 17/05 Rukh Lviv A Against the chances xG 1.61 xGA 2.96 P xGD -1.35
  5. Tue 12/05 Zoria Luhansk H xG 0.84 xGA 2.44 P xGD -1.60
  6. Fri 08/05 Polissya Zhytomyr A xG 1.21 xGA 2.45 xGD -1.24
  7. Sat 02/05 Kolos Kovalivka H xG 0.62 xGA 2.20 xGD -1.58
  8. Mon 27/04 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi A Best underlying xG 2.08 xGA 1.23 xGD +0.85
  9. Mon 20/04 Veres Rivne H xG 1.26 xGA 0.89 xGD +0.37
  10. Sat 11/04 Karpaty Lviv A xG 0.74 xGA 1.78 xGD -1.04
  11. Fri 03/04 SC Poltava A xG 1.91 xGA 1.45 xGD +0.46
  12. Thu 19/03 Dynamo Kyiv H Weakest underlying xG 0.43 xGA 3.16 xGD -2.73
  13. Sat 14/03 LNZ Cherkasy A xG 0.82 xGA 2.17 P xGD -1.35
  14. Fri 06/03 Shakhtar Donetsk H xG 0.16 xGA 1.51 xGD -1.35
  15. Sat 28/02 Metalist 1925 A xG 0.02 xGA 2.71 P xGD -2.69
  16. Mon 23/02 Obolon Kyiv H
  17. Fri 12/12 Kudrivka H xG 1.50 xGA 1.51 P xGD -0.01
  18. Sun 07/12 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih A xG 0.53 xGA 1.11 xGD -0.58
  19. Sun 30/11 Rukh Lviv H xG 0.80 xGA 2.29 xGD -1.49
  20. Mon 24/11 Zoria Luhansk A xG 0.71 xGA 2.50 xGD -1.79
  21. Sun 09/11 Polissya Zhytomyr H xG 0.54 xGA 1.83 xGD -1.29
  22. Sat 01/11 Kolos Kovalivka A xG 0.75 xGA 1.72 xGD -0.97
  23. Fri 24/10 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi H xG 1.18 xGA 0.58 xGD +0.60
  24. Sun 19/10 Veres Rivne A xG 0.53 xGA 0.73 xGD -0.20
  25. Sat 04/10 Karpaty Lviv H xG 0.47 xGA 2.15 P xGD -1.68
  26. Sat 27/09 SC Poltava H xG 0.99 xGA 1.02 xGD -0.03
  27. Mon 22/09 Dynamo Kyiv A xG 0.64 xGA 2.45 P xGD -1.81
  28. Fri 12/09 LNZ Cherkasy H Against the chances xG 0.65 xGA 1.79 xGD -1.14
  29. Sun 31/08 Shakhtar Donetsk A xG 0.68 xGA 3.36 P xGD -2.68
  30. Sat 16/08 Metalist 1925 H xG 0.63 xGA 0.84 xGD -0.21
  31. Sun 10/08 Obolon Kyiv A xG 0.70 xGA 0.40 xGD +0.30
  32. Sun 03/08 Kudrivka A xG 0.95 xGA 1.63 xGD -0.68

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.36. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Oleksandria in Ukrainian Premier League

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

Mind if we count your visit?

We use Google Analytics only to see how many people visit and which pages they read. It loads after you allow it — no ads, no tracking across other sites. What we collect