Monday, 31/08/2026 at 12:00
Full timeZoria Luhansk 0:3 Metalist 1925
Metalist 1925 were the model's likeliest winner before kick-off at 47%. They won 3–0.
The model against the result
- Zoria Luhansk
- 22%
- Draw
- 30%
- Metalist 1925
- 47% What happened
Data coverage Both teams have the full 20-match model window available.
Recent form
1.42 xG created 1.19 xGA
- W 1.11 created, 0.75 conceded against Rukh Lviv
- D 0.66 created, 1.27 conceded against Metalist 1925
- W 2.44 created, 0.84 conceded against Oleksandria
- D 1.01 created, 1.64 conceded against Polissya Zhytomyr
- W 2.46 created, 0.78 conceded against Kolos Kovalivka
- W 0.83 created, 1.87 conceded against Polissya Zhytomyr
1.72 xG created 0.83 xGA
- D 1.27 created, 0.66 conceded against Zoria Luhansk
- D 1.28 created, 1.53 conceded against Karpaty Lviv
- D 1.17 created, 0.42 conceded against FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi
- W 3.80 created, 0.20 conceded against Veres Rivne
- L 1.32 created, 1.26 conceded against Polissya Zhytomyr
- L 1.51 created, 0.88 conceded against Shakhtar Donetsk
xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result
Head to head
Model details
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- Fit window
- the last 20 matches, recency weighted (a match 107 days old counts half)
- Zoria Luhansk sample
- 20 matches
- Metalist 1925 sample
- 20 matches
- Computed
- 2 days before kick-off
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.