xgEdge

Expected goals

Metalist 1925 expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Ukrainian Premier League · after 4 matches · updated 4 Oct

Metalist 1925's attacking and defensive expected goals in Ukrainian Premier League 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Metalist 1925 xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
2.42 xG per match
#1/16
Attack (xG per match) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Metalist 1925 2.42
#2 Polissya Zhytomyr 2.19
#3 LNZ Cherkasy 2.10
#4 Karpaty Lviv 1.90
#5 Shakhtar Donetsk 1.88
#6 Bukovyna Chernivtsi 1.86
#7 Dynamo Kyiv 1.81
#8 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 1.74
#9 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 1.36
#10 Kolos Kovalivka 1.34
#11 Zoria Luhansk 1.15
#12 Veres Rivne 0.94
#13 Kudrivka 0.86
#14 FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv 0.71
#15 Obolon Kyiv 0.60
#16 Chornomorets Odesa 0.54
League avg
1.51
Total
9.67 4 matches
Defence
0.79 xGA per match
#2/16
Defence (xGA per match) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Polissya Zhytomyr 0.68
#2 Metalist 1925 0.79
#3 Shakhtar Donetsk 0.92
#4 Dynamo Kyiv 0.94
#5 FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv 1.09
#6 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 1.17
#7 LNZ Cherkasy 1.26
#8 Chornomorets Odesa 1.30
#9 Zoria Luhansk 1.37
#10 Karpaty Lviv 1.59
#11 Kolos Kovalivka 1.69
#12 Bukovyna Chernivtsi 2.01
#13 Veres Rivne 2.06
#14 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 2.32
#15 Kudrivka 2.50
#16 Obolon Kyiv 2.79
League avg
1.51
Total
3.16 4 matches
xG difference
+1.63 xGD per match
#1/16
xG difference (xGD per match) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Metalist 1925 +1.63
#2 Polissya Zhytomyr +1.51
#3 Shakhtar Donetsk +0.96
#4 Dynamo Kyiv +0.87
#5 LNZ Cherkasy +0.84
#6 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi +0.57
#7 Karpaty Lviv +0.30
#8 Bukovyna Chernivtsi -0.14
#9 Zoria Luhansk -0.22
#10 Kolos Kovalivka -0.34
#11 FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv -0.38
#12 Chornomorets Odesa -0.76
#13 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih -0.96
#14 Veres Rivne -1.13
#15 Kudrivka -1.65
#16 Obolon Kyiv -2.19
League avg
0.00
Total
+6.51 4 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
2.23 xPts per match
#2/16
Expected points (xPts per match) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Polissya Zhytomyr 2.29
#2 Metalist 1925 2.23
#3 Dynamo Kyiv 2.02
#4 Shakhtar Donetsk 2.01
#5 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 1.72
#6 LNZ Cherkasy 1.64
#7 Karpaty Lviv 1.58
#8 Bukovyna Chernivtsi 1.38
#9 Zoria Luhansk 1.20
#10 Kolos Kovalivka 1.15
#11 FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv 1.01
#12 Veres Rivne 0.85
#13 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 0.83
#14 Chornomorets Odesa 0.74
#15 Kudrivka 0.54
#16 Obolon Kyiv 0.48
League avg
1.40
Total
8.93 vs 9 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 4 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

Expected goals here are summed over 4 of 5 matches — the rest were played with no xG figure published for them, so the margins compare two different lengths of season.

What the xG says

Metalist 1925's underlying numbers are league-leading. They rank #1 for xG difference at +1.63 per match, driven by both elite shot volume and elite chance quality. After only 4 matches, treat every figure here as provisional.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
4 9.67 -5.67 Too early to read
Goals conceded vs xGA
4 3.16 +0.84 Too early to read
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
6 8.93 -2.93 Too early to read

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Metalist 1925 are 5.67 goals below their xG after 4 matches.

Goals
4
xG
9.67
Gap
-5.67
Sat 01/08 Mon 10/08 Sun 16/08 Sat 19/09 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -2.80 -3.12 -4.63 -5.67 -2.80 -0.32 -1.51 -1.04 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Metalist 1925: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sat 01/08 Veres Rivne 1 3.80 -2.80 -2.80
Mon 10/08 Polissya Zhytomyr 1 1.32 -0.32 -3.12
Sun 16/08 Shakhtar Donetsk 0 1.51 -1.51 -4.63
Sat 19/09 Bukovyna Chernivtsi 2 3.04 -1.04 -5.67

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Metalist 1925 xG trend

Current form +1.48 npxGD per match

All 4 matches with xG so far — the window fills at 6.

Out-created the opponent in 3 of 4 matches. The only negative was against Polissya Zhytomyr on Mon 10/08 (-0.37).

npxG · last 4
2.40
npxGA · last 4
0.92
-1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +3.60 Sat 01/08 -0.37 Mon 10/08 +0.48 Sun 16/08 +2.22 Sat 19/09 +1.48 season avg
Metalist 1925: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sat 01/08 Veres Rivne 3.83 0.23 +3.60 +3.60
Mon 10/08 Polissya Zhytomyr 1.32 1.69 -0.37 +1.62
Sun 16/08 Shakhtar Donetsk 1.41 0.93 +0.48 +1.24
Sat 19/09 Bukovyna Chernivtsi 3.04 0.82 +2.22 +1.48

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 2.40 npxG and 0.92 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 1 hardest of 16 in Ukrainian Premier League
+0.17 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Last 5
number 4 hardest of 16 in Ukrainian Premier League
+0.17 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.17 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · tied number 1 hardest of 16

  1. Bukovyna Chernivtsi Home +0.05
  2. Zoria Luhansk Away −0.13
  3. Shakhtar Donetsk Home +0.66
  4. Polissya Zhytomyr Away +0.64
  5. Veres Rivne Home −0.37

Last 5

+0.17 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 4 hardest of 16

  1. Bukovyna Chernivtsi Home +0.05
  2. Zoria Luhansk Away −0.13
  3. Shakhtar Donetsk Home +0.66
  4. Polissya Zhytomyr Away +0.64
  5. Veres Rivne Home −0.37

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Metalist 1925 shots and chance quality

High volume, high quality. Metalist 1925 take 17.8 shots a match (league 13.5) at 0.14 npxG a shot (league 0.11), #2 in Ukrainian Premier League for volume and #2 for quality. 66% of their shots come from inside the box (league 54%).

Attack

Shot volume
17.8 shots per match
#2/16
Shot volume (shots per match) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Polissya Zhytomyr 20.3
#2 Metalist 1925 17.8
#3 Dynamo Kyiv 16.3
#4 Bukovyna Chernivtsi 16.0
#5 Shakhtar Donetsk 15.2
#6 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 14.3
#7 LNZ Cherkasy 13.8
#8 Kolos Kovalivka 13.6
#9 Karpaty Lviv 13.1
#10 Zoria Luhansk 13.0
#11 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 12.4
#12 Veres Rivne 11.2
#13 Chornomorets Odesa 10.3
#14 FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv 10.0
#15 Kudrivka 8.8
#16 Obolon Kyiv 8.3
League avg
13.5
Total
71 shots from 4 matches
Chance quality
0.14 npxG per shot
#2/16
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Karpaty Lviv 0.14
#2 Metalist 1925 0.14
#3 LNZ Cherkasy 0.13
#4 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 0.12
#5 Bukovyna Chernivtsi 0.12
#6 Shakhtar Donetsk 0.12
#7 Dynamo Kyiv 0.11
#8 Kudrivka 0.10
#9 Kolos Kovalivka 0.10
#10 Polissya Zhytomyr 0.10
#11 Zoria Luhansk 0.09
#12 Veres Rivne 0.09
#13 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 0.08
#14 FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv 0.07
#15 Obolon Kyiv 0.07
#16 Chornomorets Odesa 0.05
League avg
0.11
Total
9.60 npxG from 71 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
7.3 shots per match
#2/16
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Shakhtar Donetsk 7.0
#2 Metalist 1925 7.3
#3 Polissya Zhytomyr 7.7
#4 Dynamo Kyiv 9.7
#5 LNZ Cherkasy 11.2
#6 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 12.1
#7 FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv 14.6
#8 Karpaty Lviv 14.9
#9 Zoria Luhansk 15.0
#10 Veres Rivne 15.6
#11 Obolon Kyiv 16.5
#12 Kolos Kovalivka 16.6
#13 Chornomorets Odesa 16.8
#14 Bukovyna Chernivtsi 17.3
#15 Kudrivka 18.2
#16 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 18.3
League avg
13.5
Total
29 shots allowed from 4 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.13 npxGA per shot
#13/16
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Ukrainian Premier League, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv 0.07
#2 Chornomorets Odesa 0.08
#3 Karpaty Lviv 0.09
#4 Zoria Luhansk 0.09
#5 FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 0.10
#6 Polissya Zhytomyr 0.10
#7 LNZ Cherkasy 0.10
#8 Dynamo Kyiv 0.10
#9 Kolos Kovalivka 0.10
#10 FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 0.11
#11 Bukovyna Chernivtsi 0.12
#12 Veres Rivne 0.12
#13 Metalist 1925 0.13
#14 Kudrivka 0.13
#15 Shakhtar Donetsk 0.13
#16 Obolon Kyiv 0.13
League avg
0.11
Total
3.67 npxGA from 29 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

66% inside the box

League avg 54%

From 47 of 71 shots over 4 matches

Early-season figure: after 4 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

45% allowed inside the box

League avg 54%

From 13 of 29 shots allowed over 4 matches

Early-season figure: after 4 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

Metalist 1925 home and away xG

Metalist 1925 per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away only 1 match with xG
Matches 3 2 1 with xG
xG / match 2.78 1.32
xGA / match 0.63 1.26
xGD / match +2.15 +0.06
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 2.51 1.40

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Metalist 1925 match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
5 4 with xG
xG / match
2.42
xGA / match
0.79
xGD / match
+1.63
Points
9 of 15
  1. Sat 19/09 Bukovyna Chernivtsi H xG 3.04 xGA 0.82 xGD +2.22
  2. Mon 31/08 Zoria Luhansk A
  3. Sun 16/08 Shakhtar Donetsk H xG 1.51 xGA 0.88 xGD +0.63
  4. Mon 10/08 Polissya Zhytomyr A xG 1.32 xGA 1.26 xGD +0.06
  5. Sat 01/08 Veres Rivne H xG 3.80 xGA 0.20 xGD +3.60

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.80. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Metalist 1925 in Ukrainian Premier League

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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