xgEdge
Veikkausliiga

Veikkausliiga results 2025/2026

Every Veikkausliiga match played this season, newest first, with the xG each side created and the home, draw and away probabilities the model held before kickoff.

xG reading
All Went with the xG Went against the xG

Model record

The season's model record appears after 20 matches.

  • Home
  • Draw
  • Away
What happened Most likely outcome Upset

Sunday, 09/11/2025

3 matches
  • SJK 3
    IF Gnistan 0
    xG 2.07 – 1.35 Followed the xG
    No pre-match probabilities
    →
  • HJK 0
    KuPS 2
    xG 1.44 – 1.91 Level on xG
    No pre-match probabilities
    →
  • Inter Turku 2
    Ilves 0
    xG 1.03 – 0.52 Followed the xG
    No pre-match probabilities
    →

Monday, 03/11/2025

2 matches
  • IF Gnistan 2
    HJK 2
    xG 1.01 – 2.68 Draw with an xG gap
    No pre-match probabilities
    →
  • Ilves 3
    SJK 3
    xG 2.34 – 0.79 Draw with an xG gap
    No pre-match probabilities
    →

Sunday, 02/11/2025

1 match
  • KuPS 3
    Inter Turku 2
    xG 0.80 – 1.82 Lower-xG side won
    No pre-match probabilities
    →

Thursday, 30/10/2025

3 matches
  • Ilves 3
    HJK 1
    xG 2.48 – 0.81 Followed the xG
    No pre-match probabilities
    →
  • KuPS 1
    IF Gnistan 1
    xG 2.07 – 3.31 Draw with an xG gap
    No pre-match probabilities
    →
  • Inter Turku 2
    SJK 2
    xG 1.22 – 3.84 Draw with an xG gap
    No pre-match probabilities
    →

Monday, 27/10/2025

1 match
  • SJK 0
    KuPS 1
    xG 0.68 – 1.36 Followed the xG
    No pre-match probabilities
    →

Sunday, 26/10/2025

2 matches
  • HJK 1
    Inter Turku 1
    xG 2.17 – 1.66 Draw with an xG gap
    No pre-match probabilities
    →
  • KTP 2
    TPS 3
    xG 1.41 – 2.95 Followed the xG
    No pre-match probabilities
    →

Saturday, 25/10/2025

1 match
  • IF Gnistan 1
    Ilves 3
    xG 1.88 – 4.00 Followed the xG
    No pre-match probabilities
    →

Thursday, 23/10/2025

1 match
  • TPS 3
    KTP 0
    xG 2.02 – 0.14 Followed the xG
    No pre-match probabilities
    →

Wednesday, 22/10/2025

2 matches
  • HJK 3
    SJK 4
    xG 2.43 – 1.50 Lower-xG side won
    No pre-match probabilities
    →
  • Inter Turku 2
    IF Gnistan 1
    xG 1.86 – 0.45 Followed the xG
    No pre-match probabilities
    →

Sunday, 19/10/2025

3 matches
  • KuPS 3
    HJK 1
    xG 1.52 – 1.27 Level on xG
    No pre-match probabilities
    →
  • Ilves 1
    Inter Turku 2
    xG 1.05 – 2.04 Followed the xG
    No pre-match probabilities
    →
  • IF Gnistan 3
    SJK 4
    xG 0.90 – 3.21 Followed the xG
    No pre-match probabilities
    →

Saturday, 18/10/2025

3 matches
  • IFK Mariehamn 2
    AC Oulu 0
    xG 1.88 – 0.53 Followed the xG
    No pre-match probabilities
    →
  • VPS 1
    FF Jaro 3
    xG 2.13 – 0.52 Lower-xG side won
    No pre-match probabilities
    →
  • FC Haka 1
    KTP 2
    xG 0.84 – 1.61 Followed the xG
    No pre-match probabilities
    →

Thursday, 16/10/2025

1 match
  • Ilves 1
    KuPS 1
    xG 1.36 – 1.54 Level on xG
    No pre-match probabilities
    →

Sunday, 05/10/2025

1 match
  • Inter Turku 0
    KuPS 3
    xG 0.89 – 3.02 Followed the xG
    No pre-match probabilities
    →

Saturday, 04/10/2025

3 matches
  • SJK 2
    Ilves 1
    xG 1.00 – 1.93 Lower-xG side won
    No pre-match probabilities
    →
  • KTP 1
    IFK Mariehamn 1
    xG 2.27 – 0.53 Draw with an xG gap
    No pre-match probabilities
    →
  • AC Oulu 2
    VPS 0
    xG 1.97 – 0.09 Followed the xG
    No pre-match probabilities
    →

Friday, 03/10/2025

2 matches
  • HJK 2
    IF Gnistan 3
    xG 1.21 – 1.86 Followed the xG
    No pre-match probabilities
    →
  • FF Jaro 2
    FC Haka 1
    xG 2.04 – 0.76 Followed the xG
    No pre-match probabilities
    →

Monday, 29/09/2025

1 match
  • HJK 2
    Ilves 2
    xG 1.05 – 1.40 Level on xG
    No pre-match probabilities
    →

Sunday, 28/09/2025

1 match

Saturday, 27/09/2025

3 matches
  • SJK 2
    Inter Turku 1
    xG 1.04 – 1.83 Lower-xG side won
    No pre-match probabilities
    →
  • AC Oulu 0
    KTP 2
    xG 0.48 – 1.74 Followed the xG
    No pre-match probabilities
    →
  • IF Gnistan 0
    KuPS 4
    xG 1.01 – 2.82 Followed the xG
    No pre-match probabilities
    →

Friday, 26/09/2025

1 match
  • VPS 1
    FC Haka 0
    xG 0.85 – 1.54 Lower-xG side won
    No pre-match probabilities
    →

Tuesday, 23/09/2025

3 matches
  • Inter Turku 0
    HJK 0
    xG 1.34 – 0.39 Draw with an xG gap
    No pre-match probabilities
    →
  • KuPS 3
    SJK 2
    xG 2.87 – 1.50 Followed the xG
    No pre-match probabilities
    →
  • Ilves 3
    IF Gnistan 2
    xG 2.30 – 2.10 Level on xG
    No pre-match probabilities
    →

Sunday, 21/09/2025

1 match
  • IFK Mariehamn 2
    VPS 1
    xG 1.22 – 2.06 Lower-xG side won
    No pre-match probabilities
    →

Friday, 19/09/2025

2 matches
  • KTP 1
    FF Jaro 2
    xG 1.67 – 1.03 Lower-xG side won
    No pre-match probabilities
    →
  • FC Haka 0
    AC Oulu 1
    xG 1.46 – 0.66 Lower-xG side won
    No pre-match probabilities
    →

Sunday, 14/09/2025

2 matches
  • KuPS 2
    Ilves 4
    xG 1.30 – 1.26 Level on xG
    No pre-match probabilities
    →
  • FF Jaro 1
    AC Oulu 2
    xG 0.98 – 0.94 Level on xG
    No pre-match probabilities
    →

Saturday, 13/09/2025

4 matches
  • SJK 3
    HJK 3
    xG 2.88 – 3.61 Draw with an xG gap
    No pre-match probabilities
    →
  • IF Gnistan 0
    Inter Turku 2
    xG 0.40 – 1.66 Followed the xG
    No pre-match probabilities
    →
  • VPS 2
    KTP 1
    xG 1.15 – 1.98 Lower-xG side won
    No pre-match probabilities
    →
  • IFK Mariehamn 1
    FC Haka 1
    xG 0.70 – 2.30 Draw with an xG gap
    No pre-match probabilities
    →

Sunday, 31/08/2025

3 matches
  • SJK 1
    KuPS 1
    xG 2.42 – 1.54 Draw with an xG gap
    No pre-match probabilities
    →
  • KTP 1
    HJK 4
    xG 1.35 – 4.12 Followed the xG
    No pre-match probabilities
    →
  • Ilves 2
    IFK Mariehamn 1
    xG 3.14 – 1.62 Followed the xG
    No pre-match probabilities
    →

xG is a model estimate of the chances each side created. "Went with the xG" means the side with more xG won; "Went against the xG" means the side with less xG won or the match was drawn across a gap of at least 0.5. The probabilities are the ones the model published before kickoff, rounded so the three add to 100; the outline marks what happened.

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