xgEdge

Expected goals

FC Haka expected goals (xG) 2025/2026

Veikkausliiga · after 27 matches · updated 4 Oct

FC Haka's attacking and defensive expected goals in Veikkausliiga 2025/2026, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

FC Haka xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.31 xG per match
#9/12
Attack (xG per match) across Veikkausliiga, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 HJK 2.16
#2 SJK 2.03
#3 Ilves 1.95
#4 Inter Turku 1.94
#5 KuPS 1.83
#6 FF Jaro 1.45
#7 IF Gnistan 1.38
#8 VPS 1.36
#9 FC Haka 1.31
#10 AC Oulu 1.26
#11 KTP 1.20
#12 IFK Mariehamn 1.00
League avg
1.60
Total
35.49 27 matches
Defence
1.61 xGA per match
#8/12
Defence (xGA per match) across Veikkausliiga, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Inter Turku 1.12
#2 KuPS 1.22
#3 Ilves 1.28
#4 HJK 1.47
#5 AC Oulu 1.49
#6 VPS 1.49
#7 SJK 1.56
#8 FC Haka 1.61
#9 FF Jaro 1.96
#10 IF Gnistan 1.99
#11 KTP 2.09
#12 IFK Mariehamn 2.10
League avg
1.60
Total
43.49 27 matches
xG difference
-0.30 xGD per match
#8/12
xG difference (xGD per match) across Veikkausliiga, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Inter Turku +0.82
#2 HJK +0.69
#3 Ilves +0.67
#4 KuPS +0.61
#5 SJK +0.47
#6 VPS -0.13
#7 AC Oulu -0.23
#8 FC Haka -0.30
#9 FF Jaro -0.51
#10 IF Gnistan -0.60
#11 KTP -0.89
#12 IFK Mariehamn -1.10
League avg
0.00
Total
-8.00 27 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.22 xPts per match
#8/12
Expected points (xPts per match) across Veikkausliiga, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Inter Turku 1.99
#2 Ilves 1.75
#3 KuPS 1.73
#4 HJK 1.70
#5 SJK 1.65
#6 VPS 1.27
#7 AC Oulu 1.25
#8 FC Haka 1.22
#9 FF Jaro 1.15
#10 IF Gnistan 1.06
#11 KTP 0.93
#12 IFK Mariehamn 0.73
League avg
1.40
Total
32.85 vs 17 actual pts

What the xG says

FC Haka's underlying numbers sit close to the Veikkausliiga average. They rank #8 for xG difference at -0.30 per match, from about average shot volume at low chance quality. Their 30 goals are 5.49 below 35.49 xG, while 17 points are 15.85 below 32.85 xPts.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 3.43 xG from penalties
30 35.49 -5.49 scored 5.49 fewer than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
50 43.49 +6.51 conceded 6.51 more than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
17 32.85 -15.85 15.85 points below xPts far outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

FC Haka are 5.49 goals below their xG after 27 matches. The gap was widest at -5.94, against IF Gnistan on Sun 13/07.

Goals
30
xG
35.49
Gap
-5.49
Sat 05/04 Sat 12/04 Sat 19/04 Mon 28/04 Fri 02/05 Fri 09/05 Fri 16/05 Fri 23/05 Sat 31/05 Sat 14/06 Wed 18/06 Sat 28/06 Wed 02/07 Sun 06/07 Sun 13/07 Mon 21/07 Sat 26/07 Sat 02/08 Sat 09/08 Sun 17/08 Mon 25/08 Sun 31/08 Sat 13/09 Fri 19/09 Fri 26/09 Fri 03/10 Sat 18/10 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -0.81 -2.01 -0.79 -0.42 -2.34 -1.68 -1.41 -2.88 -2.16 -2.19 -3.04 -3.93 -3.78 -4.99 -5.94 -5.69 -5.11 -3.82 -3.65 -3.02 -3.02 -1.59 -2.89 -4.35 -5.89 -5.65 -5.49 -0.81 -1.20 +1.22 +0.37 -1.92 +0.66 +0.27 -1.47 +0.72 -0.03 -0.85 -0.89 +0.15 -1.21 -0.95 +0.25 +0.58 +1.29 +0.17 +0.63 +0.00 +1.43 -1.30 -1.46 -1.54 +0.24 +0.16 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
FC Haka: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sat 05/04 IF Gnistan 3 3.81 -0.81 -0.81
Sat 12/04 IFK Mariehamn 0 1.20 -1.20 -2.01
Sat 19/04 AC Oulu 2 0.78 +1.22 -0.79
Mon 28/04 SJK 2 1.63 +0.37 -0.42
Fri 02/05 FF Jaro 0 1.92 -1.92 -2.34
Fri 09/05 Ilves 2 1.34 +0.66 -1.68
Fri 16/05 KuPS 1 0.73 +0.27 -1.41
Fri 23/05 KTP 0 1.47 -1.47 -2.88
Sat 31/05 VPS 2 1.28 +0.72 -2.16
Sat 14/06 Inter Turku 1 1.03 -0.03 -2.19
Wed 18/06 HJK 1 1.85 -0.85 -3.04
Sat 28/06 Ilves 0 0.89 -0.89 -3.93
Wed 02/07 VPS 2 1.85 +0.15 -3.78
Sun 06/07 Inter Turku 0 1.21 -1.21 -4.99
Sun 13/07 IF Gnistan 0 0.95 -0.95 -5.94
Mon 21/07 IFK Mariehamn 1 0.75 +0.25 -5.69
Sat 26/07 KTP 2 1.42 +0.58 -5.11
Sat 02/08 KuPS 2 0.71 +1.29 -3.82
Sat 09/08 FF Jaro 1 0.83 +0.17 -3.65
Sun 17/08 HJK 1 0.37 +0.63 -3.02
Mon 25/08 SJK 2 2.00 +0.00 -3.02
Sun 31/08 AC Oulu 2 0.57 +1.43 -1.59
Sat 13/09 IFK Mariehamn 1 2.30 -1.30 -2.89
Fri 19/09 AC Oulu 0 1.46 -1.46 -4.35
Fri 26/09 VPS 0 1.54 -1.54 -5.89
Fri 03/10 FF Jaro 1 0.76 +0.24 -5.65
Sat 18/10 KTP 1 0.84 +0.16 -5.49

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

FC Haka xG trend

Current form -0.13 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 12 of 27 matches. The worst was against SJK on Mon 25/08 (-2.83).

npxG · last 6
1.25
npxGA · last 6
1.37
-3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +2.32 Sat 05/04 +0.55 Sat 12/04 +0.19 Sat 19/04 +0.10 Mon 28/04 +0.33 Fri 02/05 +0.00 Fri 09/05 -1.13 Fri 16/05 +0.97 Fri 23/05 +0.55 Sat 31/05 -1.23 Sat 14/06 -0.39 Wed 18/06 -0.93 Sat 28/06 +0.55 Wed 02/07 -0.29 Sun 06/07 +0.56 Sun 13/07 -0.07 Mon 21/07 -0.38 Sat 26/07 -2.56 Sat 02/08 -1.19 Sat 09/08 -2.03 Sun 17/08 -2.83 Mon 25/08 -1.78 Sun 31/08 +1.60 Sat 13/09 +0.79 Fri 19/09 +0.69 Fri 26/09 -1.28 Fri 03/10 -0.77 Sat 18/10 -0.28 season avg
FC Haka: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sat 05/04 IF Gnistan 3.05 0.73 +2.32 +2.32
Sat 12/04 IFK Mariehamn 1.20 0.65 +0.55 +1.44
Sat 19/04 AC Oulu 0.78 0.59 +0.19 +1.02
Mon 28/04 SJK 1.14 1.04 +0.10 +0.79
Fri 02/05 FF Jaro 1.92 1.59 +0.33 +0.70
Fri 09/05 Ilves 1.34 1.34 +0.00 +0.58
Fri 16/05 KuPS 0.73 1.86 -1.13 +0.34
Fri 23/05 KTP 1.47 0.50 +0.97 +0.42
Sat 31/05 VPS 1.28 0.73 +0.55 +0.43
Sat 14/06 Inter Turku 1.03 2.26 -1.23 +0.26
Wed 18/06 HJK 1.85 2.24 -0.39 +0.21
Sat 28/06 Ilves 0.98 1.91 -0.93 +0.11
Wed 02/07 VPS 1.85 1.30 +0.55 +0.14
Sun 06/07 Inter Turku 1.21 1.50 -0.29 +0.11
Sun 13/07 IF Gnistan 0.95 0.39 +0.56 +0.14
Mon 21/07 IFK Mariehamn 0.76 0.83 -0.07 +0.13
Sat 26/07 KTP 0.66 1.04 -0.38 +0.10
Sat 02/08 KuPS 0.71 3.27 -2.56 -0.05
Sat 09/08 FF Jaro 0.83 2.02 -1.19 -0.11
Sun 17/08 HJK 0.37 2.40 -2.03 -0.20
Mon 25/08 SJK 0.48 3.31 -2.83 -0.33
Sun 31/08 AC Oulu 0.57 2.35 -1.78 -0.39
Sat 13/09 IFK Mariehamn 2.30 0.70 +1.60 -0.31
Fri 19/09 AC Oulu 1.46 0.67 +0.79 -0.26
Fri 26/09 VPS 1.54 0.85 +0.69 -0.22
Fri 03/10 FF Jaro 0.76 2.04 -1.28 -0.26
Sat 18/10 KTP 0.84 1.61 -0.77 -0.28

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.19 npxG and 1.47 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 9 hardest of 12 in Veikkausliiga
−0.05 xG vs league average
Over 27 league matches
Last 5
number 10 hardest of 12 in Veikkausliiga
−0.40 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.05 xG vs league average · over 27 matches · tied number 9 hardest of 12

  1. KTP Home −0.30
  2. FF Jaro Away −0.47
  3. VPS Away −0.30
  4. AC Oulu Home −0.12
  5. IFK Mariehamn Away −0.79
  6. AC Oulu Away −0.12
  7. SJK Home +0.45
  8. HJK Home +0.49
  9. FF Jaro Away −0.47
  10. KuPS Away +0.57
  11. KTP Home −0.30
  12. IFK Mariehamn Away −0.79
  13. IF Gnistan Away −0.13
  14. Inter Turku Home +0.49
  15. VPS Away −0.30
  16. Ilves Home +0.45
  17. HJK Away +0.49
  18. Inter Turku Away +0.49
  19. VPS Home −0.30
  20. KTP Away −0.30
  21. KuPS Home +0.57
  22. Ilves Away +0.45
  23. FF Jaro Home −0.47
  24. SJK Away +0.45
  25. AC Oulu Home −0.12
  26. IFK Mariehamn Home −0.79
  27. IF Gnistan Home −0.13

Last 5

−0.40 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 10 hardest of 12

  1. KTP Home −0.30
  2. FF Jaro Away −0.47
  3. VPS Away −0.30
  4. AC Oulu Home −0.12
  5. IFK Mariehamn Away −0.79

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

FC Haka shots and chance quality

Average volume, low quality. FC Haka take 11.1 shots a match (league 12.3) at 0.11 npxG a shot (league 0.12), #8 in Veikkausliiga for volume and #10 for quality. 61% of their shots come from inside the box (league 63%).

Attack

Shot volume
11.1 shots per match
#8/12
Shot volume (shots per match) across Veikkausliiga, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 HJK 15.3
#2 Inter Turku 14.2
#3 KuPS 14.0
#4 SJK 13.9
#5 Ilves 13.7
#6 KTP 11.8
#7 IF Gnistan 11.5
#8 FC Haka 11.1
#9 FF Jaro 10.8
#10 VPS 10.6
#11 AC Oulu 10.1
#12 IFK Mariehamn 9.1
League avg
12.3
Total
301 shots from 27 matches
Chance quality
0.11 npxG per shot
#10/12
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Veikkausliiga, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 SJK 0.14
#2 FF Jaro 0.13
#3 HJK 0.13
#4 Ilves 0.13
#5 Inter Turku 0.13
#6 KuPS 0.12
#7 VPS 0.12
#8 AC Oulu 0.12
#9 IF Gnistan 0.11
#10 FC Haka 0.11
#11 IFK Mariehamn 0.10
#12 KTP 0.09
League avg
0.12
Total
32.06 npxG from 301 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
12.6 shots per match
#8/12
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Veikkausliiga, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Ilves 9.7
#2 Inter Turku 10.1
#3 KuPS 10.5
#4 AC Oulu 10.6
#5 HJK 10.9
#6 SJK 11.8
#7 VPS 12.6
#8 FC Haka 12.6
#9 IF Gnistan 13.8
#10 KTP 15.0
#11 FF Jaro 15.1
#12 IFK Mariehamn 16.1
League avg
12.3
Total
341 shots allowed from 27 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.12 npxGA per shot
#5/12
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Veikkausliiga, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 KuPS 0.10
#2 Inter Turku 0.11
#3 VPS 0.11
#4 SJK 0.11
#5 FC Haka 0.12
#6 IFK Mariehamn 0.12
#7 FF Jaro 0.12
#8 AC Oulu 0.13
#9 HJK 0.13
#10 Ilves 0.13
#11 KTP 0.13
#12 IF Gnistan 0.13
League avg
0.12
Total
39.72 npxGA from 341 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

61% inside the box

League avg 63%

From 183 of 301 shots over 27 matches

Shots allowed, location

63% allowed inside the box

League avg 63%

From 214 of 341 shots allowed over 27 matches

How the shot figures are made →

FC Haka home and away xG

FC Haka per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 13 14
xG / match 1.38 1.26
xGA / match 1.60 1.62
xGD / match -0.23 -0.36
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.25 1.18

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every FC Haka match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

Last 5 at home

Matches
5
xG / match
1.22
xGA / match
1.80
xGD / match
-0.59
Points
0 of 15
  1. Sat 18/10 KTP H xG 0.84 xGA 1.61 xGD -0.77
  2. Fri 19/09 AC Oulu H Best underlying xG 1.46 xGA 0.66 xGD +0.80
  3. Mon 25/08 SJK H xG 2.00 P xGA 3.31 xGD -1.31
  4. Sun 17/08 HJK H Weakest underlying xG 0.37 xGA 2.40 xGD -2.03
  5. Sat 26/07 KTP H xG 1.42 P xGA 1.04 xGD +0.38

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.31. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

FC Haka in Veikkausliiga

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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