What VPS have left to play in Veikkausliiga 2026/2027, soonest first. Open a match for the projection behind it and the prices standing against it.
Fixture outlook
5 matches ahead in Veikkausliiga
Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.
What the fixtures say
The run of 5 matches ahead of VPS in Veikkausliiga rates 3.2 of 5 for difficulty, which the scale calls Balanced. 1 of them rates harder than balanced, and nothing in the run rates easier. The model expects 1.30 projected xG a match from them and 6.3 of the 15 points the priced fixtures could return. The hardest of them is KuPS away, banded 4 of 5 — Difficult, against an attack rated 78/99 and a defence rated 67/99.
The run at a glance
AC Oulu away Wed 28/10
Projected xG 1.35 – 1.09 VPS win 41%
KuPS away Sun 18/10
Projected xG 1.21 – 1.66 VPS win 25%
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Open the match page for HJK
Thu 08/10 Away HJK Veikkausliiga
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 64/99, defence 61/99Projected xG 1.28 – 1.52 Projected xPts 1.18- HJK
- 41%
- Draw
- 29%
- VPS
- 29%
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Open the match page for IF Gnistan
Mon 12/10 Home IF Gnistan Veikkausliiga
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 59/99, defence 49/99Projected xG 1.51 – 1.37 Projected xPts 1.45- VPS
- 39%
- Draw
- 29%
- IF Gnistan
- 32%
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Open the match page for KuPS
Sun 18/10 Away KuPS Veikkausliiga
4 Difficult Opponent: attack 78/99, defence 67/99Projected xG 1.21 – 1.66 Projected xPts 1.03- KuPS
- 47%
- Draw
- 28%
- VPS
- 25%
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Open the match page for Inter Turku
Sat 24/10 Home Inter Turku Veikkausliiga
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 67/99, defence 78/99Projected xG 1.12 – 1.45 Projected xPts 1.11- VPS
- 27%
- Draw
- 31%
- Inter Turku
- 43%
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Open the match page for AC Oulu
Wed 28/10 Away AC Oulu Veikkausliiga
3 Balanced Opponent: attack 19/99, defence 55/99Projected xG 1.35 – 1.09 Projected xPts 1.54- AC Oulu
- 27%
- Draw
- 32%
- VPS
- 41%
Veikkausliiga publishes only its next few rounds, so the list stops here. The rest of the season is added as the league schedules it.
After the regular season Veikkausliiga splits into groups, and those fixtures are set once the table decides who is in which.
The band is how hard the model rates each match, from 1 (easiest) to 5 (hardest). Opponent attack and defence use the same 1–99 scale as Team Strength, where 50 is the average side in Veikkausliiga.
Fixture difficulty in Veikkausliiga
Reads each matchup for VPS: the band is cut from the model's chances of VPS winning and losing the match, so VPS's own strength and home advantage are in it.
Every club's remaining calendar is a different length, so there is nothing of equal length to place the whole of this one against.
Upcoming opponent strength
tied number 2 hardest of 6 in Veikkausliiga
+0.22 xG vs league average
Over 5 upcoming league fixtures
Reads the opponents alone, whoever plays them: each one's fitted xG margin against Veikkausliiga's average club, with no venue and nothing of VPS's own strength in it.
Opponents behind the figure
Upcoming
+0.22 xG vs league average · over 5 fixtures · tied number 2 hardest of 6
- HJK Away +0.27
- IF Gnistan Home +0.06
- KuPS Away +0.50
- Inter Turku Home +0.53
- AC Oulu Away −0.28
About these numbers
What is published, what is worked out, and what is the model's
Published by the fixtures feed and stored as it arrives: the kickoff time, the two clubs, the competition, and whether a match is still scheduled.
Worked out here from stored figures: each opponent's attack and defence on a 1–99 scale, where 50 is the average side in Veikkausliiga and a higher score is a stronger side at both ends; the difficulty band, cut from the model's chances of winning and losing each fixture; and everything the outlook, the strip and the fixture difficulty block add up from the rows — the run's mean band, its averages and totals, the counts they were taken over, the placings and the competition's average.
Worked out here from the model's ratings alone: the Upcoming opponent strength block, the mean of the next 5 opponents' fitted xG margins against the league's average club, whoever plays them, and its rank among the competition's clubs.
The model's output, for matches nobody has played yet: projected xG and xGA, the chances of a win, a draw and a loss, and xPts.
Projected xG is what the model expects a side to create in a match still to come. It is not the xG on the Results page, which measures the chances a side actually had.
xPts is what those three chances are worth in points: 3 times the chance of a win plus the chance of a draw, so 3 is the most a single fixture can be worth.
The difficulty band runs from 1, the most favourable fixture, to 5, the least favourable — so the lower a run's difficulty, the kinder the run.