xgEdge

Expected goals

VPS expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Veikkausliiga · after 22 matches · updated 1 Oct

VPS's attacking and defensive expected goals in Veikkausliiga 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

VPS xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.56 xG per match
#8/12
Attack (xG per match) across Veikkausliiga, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 KuPS 1.96
#2 FC Lahti 1.80
#3 Inter Turku 1.78
#4 HJK 1.77
#5 Ilves 1.72
#6 SJK 1.71
#7 IF Gnistan 1.61
#8 VPS 1.56
#9 TPS 1.50
#10 FF Jaro 1.21
#11 AC Oulu 1.20
#12 IFK Mariehamn 1.10
League avg
1.57
Total
34.24 22 matches
Defence
1.44 xGA per match
#6/12
Defence (xGA per match) across Veikkausliiga, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Inter Turku 0.93
#2 KuPS 1.26
#3 HJK 1.32
#4 FC Lahti 1.42
#5 IF Gnistan 1.43
#6 VPS 1.44
#7 AC Oulu 1.58
#8 TPS 1.58
#9 SJK 1.67
#10 FF Jaro 1.71
#11 Ilves 1.94
#12 IFK Mariehamn 2.50
League avg
1.57
Total
31.63 22 matches
xG difference
+0.12 xGD per match
#6/12
xG difference (xGD per match) across Veikkausliiga, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Inter Turku +0.86
#2 KuPS +0.70
#3 HJK +0.45
#4 FC Lahti +0.38
#5 IF Gnistan +0.18
#6 VPS +0.12
#7 SJK +0.04
#8 TPS -0.08
#9 Ilves -0.21
#10 AC Oulu -0.37
#11 FF Jaro -0.50
#12 IFK Mariehamn -1.41
League avg
0.00
Total
+2.61 22 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.36 xPts per match
#7/12
Expected points (xPts per match) across Veikkausliiga, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Inter Turku 1.96
#2 KuPS 1.78
#3 HJK 1.74
#4 FC Lahti 1.51
#5 IF Gnistan 1.43
#6 SJK 1.42
#7 VPS 1.36
#8 Ilves 1.35
#9 TPS 1.32
#10 AC Oulu 1.13
#11 FF Jaro 1.05
#12 IFK Mariehamn 0.69
League avg
1.39
Total
29.93 vs 34 actual pts

Expected goals here are summed over 22 of 25 matches — the rest were played with no xG figure published for them, so the margins compare two different lengths of season.

What the xG says

VPS's underlying numbers sit close to the Veikkausliiga average. They rank #6 for xG difference at +0.12 per match, from about average shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 28 goals are 6.24 below 34.24 xG, while 33 points are 3.07 above 29.93 xPts — both over the 22 matches with xG.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 2.92 xG from penalties
28 34.24 -6.24 scored 6.24 fewer than xG outside normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
22 31.63 -9.63 conceded 9.63 fewer than xGA outside normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
33 29.93 +3.07 3.07 points above xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

VPS are 6.24 goals below their xG after 22 matches. The gap was widest at -6.72, against KuPS on Sat 13/06.

Goals
28
xG
34.24
Gap
-6.24
Sat 04/04 Fri 10/04 Sat 18/04 Fri 24/04 Sat 02/05 Sat 09/05 Mon 18/05 Sat 13/06 Wed 17/06 Tue 23/06 Sat 27/06 Sat 04/07 Fri 10/07 Sat 18/07 Sat 25/07 Sun 02/08 Sat 08/08 Fri 14/08 Sat 22/08 Tue 08/09 Mon 14/09 Sat 19/09 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -0.01 -0.87 -1.81 -2.84 -5.38 -5.44 -5.75 -6.72 -6.08 -4.09 -4.37 -4.11 -4.71 -4.35 -4.43 -5.42 -4.40 -4.37 -4.55 -4.61 -5.19 -6.24 -0.01 -0.86 -0.94 -1.03 -2.54 -0.06 -0.31 -0.97 +0.64 +1.99 -0.28 +0.26 -0.60 +0.36 -0.08 -0.99 +1.02 +0.03 -0.18 -0.06 -0.58 -1.05 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
VPS: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sat 04/04 Inter Turku 0 0.01 -0.01 -0.01
Fri 10/04 FF Jaro 0 0.86 -0.86 -0.87
Sat 18/04 AC Oulu 0 0.94 -0.94 -1.81
Fri 24/04 Ilves 3 4.03 -1.03 -2.84
Sat 02/05 IFK Mariehamn 1 3.54 -2.54 -5.38
Sat 09/05 IF Gnistan 1 1.06 -0.06 -5.44
Mon 18/05 FC Lahti 1 1.31 -0.31 -5.75
Sat 13/06 KuPS 1 1.97 -0.97 -6.72
Wed 17/06 SJK 2 1.36 +0.64 -6.08
Tue 23/06 AC Oulu 5 3.01 +1.99 -4.09
Sat 27/06 IF Gnistan 1 1.28 -0.28 -4.37
Sat 04/07 IFK Mariehamn 4 3.74 +0.26 -4.11
Fri 10/07 SJK 1 1.60 -0.60 -4.71
Sat 18/07 HJK 1 0.64 +0.36 -4.35
Sat 25/07 KuPS 1 1.08 -0.08 -4.43
Sun 02/08 Inter Turku 0 0.99 -0.99 -5.42
Sat 08/08 FF Jaro 3 1.98 +1.02 -4.40
Fri 14/08 TPS 1 0.97 +0.03 -4.37
Sat 22/08 Ilves 1 1.18 -0.18 -4.55
Tue 08/09 AC Oulu 1 1.06 -0.06 -4.61
Mon 14/09 Inter Turku 0 0.58 -0.58 -5.19
Sat 19/09 KuPS 0 1.05 -1.05 -6.24

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

VPS xG trend

Current form -0.31 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 8 of 22 matches. The worst was against FF Jaro on Sat 08/08 (-1.46).

npxG · last 6
1.05
npxGA · last 6
1.36
-2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 -1.12 Sat 04/04 -0.91 Fri 10/04 +0.11 Sat 18/04 +3.45 Fri 24/04 +3.02 Sat 02/05 -0.33 Sat 09/05 -0.70 Mon 18/05 -0.32 Sat 13/06 -0.89 Wed 17/06 +2.34 Tue 23/06 -1.16 Sat 27/06 +3.37 Sat 04/07 -0.17 Fri 10/07 -0.81 Sat 18/07 -1.34 Sat 25/07 +0.12 Sun 02/08 -1.46 Sat 08/08 -0.54 Fri 14/08 +0.58 Sat 22/08 -0.59 Tue 08/09 -0.23 Mon 14/09 +0.40 Sat 19/09 +0.13 season avg
VPS: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sat 04/04 Inter Turku 0.01 1.13 -1.12 -1.12
Fri 10/04 FF Jaro 0.92 1.83 -0.91 -1.02
Sat 18/04 AC Oulu 0.94 0.83 +0.11 -0.64
Fri 24/04 Ilves 4.03 0.58 +3.45 +0.38
Sat 02/05 IFK Mariehamn 3.37 0.35 +3.02 +0.91
Sat 09/05 IF Gnistan 0.30 0.63 -0.33 +0.70
Mon 18/05 FC Lahti 0.55 1.25 -0.70 +0.50
Sat 13/06 KuPS 1.97 2.29 -0.32 +0.40
Wed 17/06 SJK 1.36 2.25 -0.89 +0.26
Tue 23/06 AC Oulu 2.98 0.64 +2.34 +0.46
Sat 27/06 IF Gnistan 1.28 2.44 -1.16 +0.32
Sat 04/07 IFK Mariehamn 3.74 0.37 +3.37 +0.57
Fri 10/07 SJK 0.84 1.01 -0.17 +0.51
Sat 18/07 HJK 0.64 1.45 -0.81 +0.42
Sat 25/07 KuPS 1.08 2.42 -1.34 +0.30
Sun 02/08 Inter Turku 0.99 0.87 +0.12 +0.29
Sat 08/08 FF Jaro 1.51 2.97 -1.46 +0.19
Fri 14/08 TPS 0.97 1.51 -0.54 +0.15
Sat 22/08 Ilves 1.15 0.57 +0.58 +0.17
Tue 08/09 AC Oulu 1.06 1.65 -0.59 +0.13
Mon 14/09 Inter Turku 0.58 0.81 -0.23 +0.12
Sat 19/09 KuPS 1.05 0.65 +0.40 +0.13

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.42 npxG and 1.30 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 4 hardest of 12 in Veikkausliiga
+0.02 xG vs league average
Over 25 league matches
Last 5
number 2 hardest of 12 in Veikkausliiga
+0.15 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.02 xG vs league average · over 25 matches · tied number 4 hardest of 12

  1. KuPS Home +0.50
  2. Inter Turku Away +0.53
  3. AC Oulu Home −0.28
  4. FC Lahti Home +0.22
  5. Ilves Away −0.22
  6. TPS Home −0.08
  7. FF Jaro Away −0.38
  8. Inter Turku Home +0.53
  9. KuPS Away +0.50
  10. HJK Away +0.27
  11. SJK Home +0.02
  12. IFK Mariehamn Home −0.75
  13. IF Gnistan Away +0.06
  14. AC Oulu Home −0.28
  15. SJK Away +0.02
  16. KuPS Home +0.50
  17. TPS Away −0.08
  18. HJK Home +0.27
  19. FC Lahti Away +0.22
  20. IF Gnistan Home +0.06
  21. IFK Mariehamn Away −0.75
  22. Ilves Home −0.22
  23. AC Oulu Away −0.28
  24. FF Jaro Home −0.38
  25. Inter Turku Away +0.53

Last 5

+0.15 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 2 hardest of 12

  1. KuPS Home +0.50
  2. Inter Turku Away +0.53
  3. AC Oulu Home −0.28
  4. FC Lahti Home +0.22
  5. Ilves Away −0.22

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

VPS shots and chance quality

Average volume, average quality. VPS take 11.0 shots a match (league 12.0) at 0.13 npxG a shot (league 0.12), #10 in Veikkausliiga for volume and #4 for quality. 66% of their shots come from inside the box (league 61%).

Attack

Shot volume
11.0 shots per match
#10/12
Shot volume (shots per match) across Veikkausliiga, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 KuPS 15.2
#2 FC Lahti 13.3
#3 Inter Turku 13.1
#4 TPS 13.0
#5 HJK 12.6
#6 SJK 12.4
#7 IF Gnistan 11.8
#8 FF Jaro 11.6
#9 Ilves 11.5
#10 VPS 11.0
#11 AC Oulu 10.2
#12 IFK Mariehamn 8.9
League avg
12.0
Total
243 shots from 22 matches
Chance quality
0.13 npxG per shot
#4/12
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Veikkausliiga, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 SJK 0.14
#2 HJK 0.14
#3 KuPS 0.13
#4 VPS 0.13
#5 Ilves 0.13
#6 Inter Turku 0.13
#7 IF Gnistan 0.13
#8 FC Lahti 0.13
#9 IFK Mariehamn 0.11
#10 TPS 0.11
#11 AC Oulu 0.10
#12 FF Jaro 0.09
League avg
0.12
Total
31.32 npxG from 243 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
11.4 shots per match
#4/12
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Veikkausliiga, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Inter Turku 8.5
#2 KuPS 9.7
#3 FC Lahti 9.8
#4 VPS 11.4
#5 AC Oulu 11.4
#6 SJK 11.7
#7 HJK 12.0
#8 TPS 12.6
#9 IF Gnistan 12.9
#10 FF Jaro 13.6
#11 Ilves 13.9
#12 IFK Mariehamn 16.3
League avg
12.0
Total
250 shots allowed from 22 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.11 npxGA per shot
#5/12
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Veikkausliiga, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Inter Turku 0.10
#2 IF Gnistan 0.10
#3 HJK 0.11
#4 TPS 0.11
#5 VPS 0.11
#6 KuPS 0.12
#7 FF Jaro 0.12
#8 AC Oulu 0.13
#9 Ilves 0.13
#10 FC Lahti 0.13
#11 SJK 0.14
#12 IFK Mariehamn 0.15
League avg
0.12
Total
28.50 npxGA from 250 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

66% inside the box

League avg 61%

From 161 of 243 shots over 22 matches

Shots allowed, location

57% allowed inside the box

League avg 61%

From 143 of 250 shots allowed over 22 matches

How the shot figures are made →

VPS home and away xG

VPS per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 13 11 with xG 12 11 with xG
xG / match 1.85 1.26
xGA / match 1.30 1.58
xGD / match +0.55 -0.31
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.64 1.08

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every VPS match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
25 22 with xG
xG / match
1.56
xGA / match
1.44
xGD / match
+0.12
Points
34 of 75
  1. Sat 19/09 KuPS H xG 1.05 xGA 0.65 xGD +0.40
  2. Mon 14/09 Inter Turku A xG 0.58 xGA 0.81 xGD -0.23
  3. Tue 08/09 AC Oulu H Against the chances xG 1.06 xGA 2.41 P xGD -1.35
  4. Mon 31/08 FC Lahti H
  5. Sat 22/08 Ilves A xG 1.18 xGA 0.66 xGD +0.52
  6. Fri 14/08 TPS H xG 0.97 xGA 2.26 P xGD -1.29
  7. Sat 08/08 FF Jaro A xG 1.98 xGA 2.97 xGD -0.99
  8. Sun 02/08 Inter Turku H xG 0.99 xGA 0.87 xGD +0.12
  9. Sat 25/07 KuPS A xG 1.08 xGA 2.42 xGD -1.34
  10. Sat 18/07 HJK A Weakest underlying xG 0.64 xGA 2.21 P xGD -1.57
  11. Fri 10/07 SJK H xG 1.60 P xGA 1.01 xGD +0.59
  12. Sat 04/07 IFK Mariehamn H Best underlying xG 3.74 xGA 0.37 xGD +3.37
  13. Sat 27/06 IF Gnistan A xG 1.28 xGA 2.44 xGD -1.16
  14. Tue 23/06 AC Oulu H xG 3.01 xGA 0.64 xGD +2.37
  15. Wed 17/06 SJK A xG 1.36 xGA 2.25 xGD -0.89
  16. Sat 13/06 KuPS H xG 1.97 xGA 2.29 xGD -0.32
  17. Sat 30/05 TPS A
  18. Fri 22/05 HJK H
  19. Mon 18/05 FC Lahti A xG 1.31 P xGA 1.25 xGD +0.06
  20. Sat 09/05 IF Gnistan H xG 1.06 P xGA 0.63 xGD +0.43
  21. Sat 02/05 IFK Mariehamn A xG 3.54 xGA 0.36 xGD +3.18
  22. Fri 24/04 Ilves H xG 4.03 xGA 1.34 P xGD +2.69
  23. Sat 18/04 AC Oulu A xG 0.94 xGA 0.83 xGD +0.11
  24. Fri 10/04 FF Jaro H xG 0.86 xGA 1.83 xGD -0.97
  25. Sat 04/04 Inter Turku A xG 0.01 xGA 1.13 xGD -1.12

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 4.03. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

VPS in Veikkausliiga

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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