xgEdge

Club

Ilves 2026/2027

Veikkausliiga 2026/2027 →

Position 6th of 12 34 points · 10–4–11
Form · last 5
W W W L L
+0.10 xGD / match
Expected goals 39.66 xG 44.58 xGA 42 scored · 38 conceded
Team strength How Team Strength works 39 / 99 #9 in Veikkausliiga League avg: 50

Expected goals here are summed over 23 of 25 matches — the rest were played with no xG figure published for them, so the margins compare two different lengths of season.

Ilves right now

Ilves sit 6th in Veikkausliiga. They have won their last 3. Their defence rates 10th of 12 in Veikkausliiga for the chances it allows an average opponent.

How Ilves compares

Attack #5 of 12 Defence #11 of 12 xG difference #9 of 12
Chance quality #5 of 12
Open the match page for IFK Mariehamn

Next match Veikkausliiga · Sat 10/10

Away IFK Mariehamn

1.47 Projected expected goals 1.93
Model probability
IFK Mariehamn
27%
Draw
26%
Ilves
47%

Data coverage: Full

Open the match page for TPS

Last result Veikkausliiga · Sat 19/09

Away TPS

3:0 Win

Expected goals
2.78 – 1.75
xG difference
+1.03

A win the chances back up

Every result →
Performance

Goals vs xG — match by match

Bars are goals scored. Lines are the xG created and conceded in each match.

xG created xGA conceded Goals
6.5 0.0 Sat 04/04 Sat 19/09 Sat 04/04 KuPS · Expected goals 1.37 Sat 11/04 Inter Turku · Expected goals 1.54 Sat 18/04 IFK Mariehamn · Expected goals 1.06 Fri 24/04 VPS · Expected goals 1.34 Sat 02/05 SJK · Expected goals 0.93 Sat 16/05 HJK · Expected goals 1.07 Wed 20/05 Inter Turku · Expected goals 0.31 Sat 23/05 IF Gnistan · Expected goals 1.48 Sat 30/05 FC Lahti · Expected goals 0.93 Sat 13/06 TPS · Expected goals 1.56 Wed 17/06 FF Jaro · Expected goals 2.66 Tue 23/06 KuPS · Expected goals 2.40 Sat 27/06 SJK · Expected goals 2.63 Sat 04/07 FF Jaro · Expected goals 4.03 Mon 20/07 TPS · Expected goals 3.33 Sun 26/07 FC Lahti · Expected goals 1.61 Sun 02/08 AC Oulu · Expected goals 1.27 Sun 09/08 IFK Mariehamn · Expected goals 2.04 Sat 22/08 VPS · Expected goals 0.66 Mon 31/08 HJK · Expected goals 0.72 Tue 08/09 FF Jaro · Expected goals 1.85 Sat 12/09 FC Lahti · Expected goals 2.09 Sat 19/09 TPS · Expected goals 2.78 Sat 04/04 KuPS · Expected goals conceded 1.35 Sat 11/04 Inter Turku · Expected goals conceded 0.87 Sat 18/04 IFK Mariehamn · Expected goals conceded 2.30 Fri 24/04 VPS · Expected goals conceded 4.03 Sat 02/05 SJK · Expected goals conceded 2.45 Sat 16/05 HJK · Expected goals conceded 2.12 Wed 20/05 Inter Turku · Expected goals conceded 1.58 Sat 23/05 IF Gnistan · Expected goals conceded 0.77 Sat 30/05 FC Lahti · Expected goals conceded 6.27 Sat 13/06 TPS · Expected goals conceded 0.95 Wed 17/06 FF Jaro · Expected goals conceded 0.83 Tue 23/06 KuPS · Expected goals conceded 4.03 Sat 27/06 SJK · Expected goals conceded 3.02 Sat 04/07 FF Jaro · Expected goals conceded 1.12 Mon 20/07 TPS · Expected goals conceded 0.98 Sun 26/07 FC Lahti · Expected goals conceded 1.38 Sun 02/08 AC Oulu · Expected goals conceded 1.41 Sun 09/08 IFK Mariehamn · Expected goals conceded 1.53 Sat 22/08 VPS · Expected goals conceded 1.18 Mon 31/08 HJK · Expected goals conceded 2.61 Tue 08/09 FF Jaro · Expected goals conceded 0.58 Sat 12/09 FC Lahti · Expected goals conceded 1.47 Sat 19/09 TPS · Expected goals conceded 1.75
The season so far 23 matches, as they add up -4.92 xG difference -0.21 xGD / match
Every match behind the chart above: Ilves's expected goals for and against, and the goals it scored.
Date Opponent Venue Score Expected goals Expected goals conceded xG difference Goals scored
Sat 04/04 KuPS Home 1:3 1.37 1.35 +0.02 1
Sat 11/04 Inter Turku Away 1:2 1.54 0.87 +0.67 1
Sat 18/04 IFK Mariehamn Away 2:2 1.06 2.30 -1.24 2
Fri 24/04 VPS Away 2:3 1.34 4.03 -2.69 2
Sat 02/05 SJK Away 1:1 0.93 2.45 -1.52 1
Sat 16/05 HJK Away 2:2 1.07 2.12 -1.05 2
Wed 20/05 Inter Turku Home 1:3 0.31 1.58 -1.27 1
Sat 23/05 IF Gnistan Home 2:0 1.48 0.77 +0.71 2
Sat 30/05 FC Lahti Away 0:5 0.93 6.27 -5.34 0
Sat 13/06 TPS Home 1:0 1.56 0.95 +0.61 1
Wed 17/06 FF Jaro Home 5:0 2.66 0.83 +1.83 5
Tue 23/06 KuPS Away 3:4 2.40 4.03 -1.63 3
Sat 27/06 SJK Home 2:2 2.63 3.02 -0.39 2
Sat 04/07 FF Jaro Away 1:2 4.03 1.12 +2.91 1
Mon 20/07 TPS Away 3:1 3.33 0.98 +2.35 3
Sun 26/07 FC Lahti Home 1:0 1.61 1.38 +0.23 1
Sun 02/08 AC Oulu Away 0:1 1.27 1.41 -0.14 0
Sun 09/08 IFK Mariehamn Home 2:0 2.04 1.53 +0.51 2
Sat 22/08 VPS Home 0:1 0.66 1.18 -0.52 0
Mon 31/08 HJK Home 1:2 0.72 2.61 -1.89 1
Tue 08/09 FF Jaro Home 2:0 1.85 0.58 +1.27 2
Sat 12/09 FC Lahti Home 3:1 2.09 1.47 +0.62 3
Sat 19/09 TPS Away 3:0 2.78 1.75 +1.03 3
The season so far 39.66 44.58 39

Finishing

-0.66

Goals vs xG

Defending

-9.58

Goals conceded vs xGA

Results

+0.06

Points vs xPts

Expected goals here are summed over 23 of 25 matches — the rest were played with no xG figure published for them, so the margins compare two different lengths of season.

The whole expected-goals page →

The run ahead

Sat 10/10 Away IFK Mariehamn
Favourable 2/5
Opponent strength
Attack
25/99
Defence
16/99
 Sat 17/10 Home SJK
Balanced 3/5
Opponent strength
Attack
56/99
Defence
47/99
How fixture difficulty works → Every fixture →
Every figure off the same cached projection · Veikkausliiga 2026/2027 How the model works →

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