xgEdge

SC Austria Lustenau's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 5 of 7 matching results

7 played this season

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Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses

7 pts 6–8 goals −2 GD

Chances

Provider xG / xGA
7.31 – 8.64
1.46 – 1.73 per match
xGD
-1.33
-0.27 per match
xG record
1 with the chances, 1 with even chances, 3 against them

Comparable xG: 5 of 5 completed results.

Points vs xPts Model

7 pts 5.8 xPts

+1.2 vs xPts

Matched xPts: 5 of 5 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Last 5 · All competitions · All venues

SC Austria Lustenau's mixed record runs ahead of the chances they created and conceded. They out-created the opponent in 1 of 5 matches, for −1.33 xG difference overall on 7.31–8.64. Their points total of 7 sits 1.2 above the model's 5.8 xPts, so the results have slightly outrun the chances.

Points minus xPts, match by match

Over these 5 results SC Austria Lustenau are 1.20 points above their xPts.

Points
7
xPts
5.80
Gap
+1.20
Sat 15/08 Sat 22/08 Fri 28/08 Sun 13/09 Sat 19/09 -1 0 +1 +2 +0.55 +0.99 +0.61 -0.72 +1.20 +0.55 +0.44 -0.38 -1.33 +1.92 Running gap points − xPts Each match points − xPts
SC Austria Lustenau: Points vs xPts, the gap after every selected result
Date Opponent Points xPts Match gap Running gap
Sat 15/08 Wolfsberger AC 3 2.45 +0.55 +0.55
Sat 22/08 SK Sturm Graz 1 0.56 +0.44 +0.99
Fri 28/08 WSG Tirol 0 0.38 -0.38 +0.61
Sun 13/09 Austria Wien 0 1.33 -1.33 -0.72
Sat 19/09 SC Rheindorf Altach 3 1.08 +1.92 +1.20

Scores and xG

SC Austria Lustenau first

  • Home Austrian Bundesliga Win against the chances

    xG 0.81

    xGA 1.07

    xGD -0.26

    2:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · SC Rheindorf Altach, Sat 19/09

    The team won despite recording less xG than its opponent. That contrast does not make the win impossible or establish why it happened.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    1.08
    Points minus xPts
    +1.92

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Austrian Bundesliga Loss with even chances

    xG 1.48

    xGA 1.52

    xGD -0.04

    1:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Austria Wien, Sun 13/09

    The team lost, while the chance difference was approximately even. The outcome was weaker than that difference alone suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    1.33
    Points minus xPts
    -1.33

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Austrian Bundesliga Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.93

    xGA 2.60

    xGD -1.67

    0:4 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · WSG Tirol, Fri 28/08

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.38
    Points minus xPts
    -0.38

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Austrian Bundesliga Draw against the chances

    xG 0.96

    xGA 2.12

    xGD -1.16

    1:1 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · SK Sturm Graz, Sat 22/08

    The match was drawn although the team recorded less xG. The outcome was stronger than that chance difference suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    0.56
    Points minus xPts
    +0.44

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Austrian Bundesliga Win backed by the chances

    xG 3.13

    xGA 1.33

    xGD +1.80

    2:1 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Wolfsberger AC, Sat 15/08

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    2.45
    Points minus xPts
    +0.55

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Biggest overperformance

SC Rheindorf Altach 2:0

· Home xG / xGA 0.81 – 1.07

Goal difference
+2
xGD
-0.26
GD minus xGD
+2.26

Among 5 comparable results.

Open match →

Biggest underperformance

WSG Tirol 0:4

· Home xG / xGA 0.93 – 2.60

Goal difference
-4
xGD
-1.67
GD minus xGD
-2.33

Among 5 comparable results.

Open match →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

How the model works →