WSG Tirol 1:1 SK Sturm Graz: xG & match report · Austrian Bundesliga

Saturday, 01/08/2026 at 17:00

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Match report · Austrian Bundesliga

WSG Tirol Home 0.87 xG · 8 shots

SK Sturm Graz Away 2.32 xG · 15 shots

11 SK Sturm Graz had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

29' Szymon Włodarczyk SK Sturm Graz · 0.91 xG chance 0–1
42' Michael Olakigbe WSG Tirol · 0.04 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

WSG Tirol SK Sturm Graz

Shots: 8; 15
On target: 1; 6
Inside the box: 6; 10
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.14
Open play xG: 0.52; 2.09
Set-piece xG: 0.06; 0.06
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.60 for WSG Tirol and 2.13 for SK Sturm Graz.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

23 shots · 2.73 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

WSG Tirol
SK Sturm Graz
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

WSG Tirol

0.71 xG created 0.93 xGA

D 1.53 created, 0.94 conceded against SC Rheindorf Altach
D 0.50 created, 0.64 conceded against SC Rheindorf Altach
W 0.70 created, 0.65 conceded against SV Ried
L 0.45 created, 1.73 conceded against Grazer AK 1902
D 0.76 created, 0.38 conceded against FC Blau Weiss Linz
L 0.30 created, 1.26 conceded against Wolfsberger AC

SK Sturm Graz

1.71 xG created 1.37 xGA

D 1.12 created, 3.40 conceded against LASK
D 1.81 created, 0.84 conceded against LASK
D 1.27 created, 1.02 conceded against Austria Wien
D 1.49 created, 1.47 conceded against Red Bull Salzburg
W 1.79 created, 1.30 conceded against TSV Hartberg
W 2.75 created, 0.20 conceded against SK Rapid Wien

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

WSG Tirol: 2 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.