xgEdge

Saturday, 25/04/2026 at 15:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

1. FC Köln 1:2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen

1. FC Köln Home 3.04 xG · 25 shots
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Away 1.33 xG · 8 shots
12 The result went against the chances

Goals

  1. 43' Patrik Schick (pen.) Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 0.82 xG chance 0–1
  2. 52' Patrik Schick Bayer 04 Leverkusen · 0.16 xG chance 0–2
  3. 77' Luca Waldschmidt 1. FC Köln · 0.40 xG chance 1–2

The shots behind it

1. FC Köln Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Shots
25
8
On target
10
3
Inside the box
19
5
xG per shot
0.11
0.17
Open play xG
2.48
0.53
Set-piece xG
0.16
0.01
Penalties
0
1
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.65 for 1. FC Köln and 0.54 for Bayer 04 Leverkusen.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Patrik Schick · 43' · Goal · 12 m · 0.82 xG 1. FC Köln · Luca Waldschmidt · 77' · Goal · 8 m · 0.40 xG 1. FC Köln · Said El Mala · 36' · No goal · 3 m · 0.38 xG 1. FC Köln · Jakub Kamiński · 4' · No goal · 3 m · 0.27 xG 1. FC Köln · Said El Mala · 18' · No goal · 8 m · 0.23 xG 1. FC Köln · Said El Mala · 66' · No goal · 15 m · 0.19 xG 1. FC Köln · Eric Martel · 29' · No goal · 14 m · 0.18 xG Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Jarell Quansah · 16' · No goal · 7 m · 0.16 xG Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Patrik Schick · 52' · Goal · 9 m · 0.16 xG 1. FC Köln · Jakub Kamiński · 51' · No goal · 10 m · 0.11 xG Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Alejandro Grimaldo · 38' · No goal · 12 m · 0.10 xG 1. FC Köln · Said El Mala · 66' · No goal · 20 m · 0.09 xG 1. FC Köln · Said El Mala · 81' · No goal · 9 m · 0.09 xG 1. FC Köln · Said El Mala · 3' · No goal · 10 m · 0.08 xG Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Patrik Schick · 13' · No goal · 24 m · 0.08 xG 1. FC Köln · Felipe Chávez · 87' · No goal · 15 m · 0.07 xG 1. FC Köln · Said El Mala · 9' · No goal · 20 m · 0.06 xG 1. FC Köln · Said El Mala · 48' · No goal · 8 m · 0.06 xG 1. FC Köln · Jakub Kamiński · 55' · No goal · 9 m · 0.06 xG 1. FC Köln · Felipe Chávez · 90' · No goal · 17 m · 0.06 xG 1. FC Köln · Alessio Castro-Montes · 63' · No goal · 9 m · 0.05 xG 1. FC Köln · Luca Waldschmidt · 76' · No goal · 9 m · 0.05 xG 1. FC Köln · Felipe Chávez · 90' · No goal · 18 m · 0.05 xG 1. FC Köln · Jakub Kamiński · 90' · No goal · 10 m · 0.04 xG 1. FC Köln · Eric Martel · 7' · No goal · 13 m · 0.03 xG 1. FC Köln · Sebastian Sebulonsen · 11' · No goal · 29 m · 0.03 xG Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Nathan Tella · 38' · No goal · 9 m · 0.02 xG 1. FC Köln · Said El Mala · 56' · No goal · 9 m · 0.02 xG 1. FC Köln · Said El Mala · 71' · No goal · 8 m · 0.02 xG Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Alejandro Grimaldo · 40' · No goal · 29 m · 0.01 xG Bayer 04 Leverkusen · Robert Andrich · 68' · No goal · 58 m · 0.01 xG 1. FC Köln · Jan Uwe Thielmann · 71' · No goal · 23 m · 0.01 xG 1. FC Köln · Luca Waldschmidt · 87' · No goal · 26 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

33 shots · 4.00 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • 1. FC Köln
  • Bayer 04 Leverkusen
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
1. FC Köln

1.95 xG created 1.49 xGA

  • L 1.14 created, 1.95 conceded against Borussia Dortmund
  • D 1.22 created, 0.32 conceded against Hamburger SV
  • D 1.55 created, 1.30 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
  • D 3.11 created, 2.34 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
  • W 3.33 created, 0.99 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
  • D 1.33 created, 2.01 conceded against FC St. Pauli
Bayer 04 Leverkusen

2.49 xG created 1.67 xGA

  • D 2.04 created, 2.50 conceded against SC Freiburg
  • D 2.59 created, 1.29 conceded against FC Bayern München
  • D 1.62 created, 1.57 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
  • W 4.25 created, 2.02 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
  • W 0.63 created, 1.30 conceded against Borussia Dortmund
  • L 3.80 created, 1.33 conceded against FC Augsburg

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

1. FC Köln: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.