xgEdge

Saturday, 14/03/2026 at 18:30

Full time
Match report · Bundesliga

Hamburger SV 1:1 1. FC Köln

Hamburger SV Home 0.32 xG · 5 shots
1. FC Köln Away 1.22 xG · 11 shots
11 1. FC Köln had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

  1. 39' Fábio Vieira Hamburger SV · 0.03 xG chance 1–0
  2. 45' Said El Mala 1. FC Köln · 0.55 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Hamburger SV 1. FC Köln
Shots
5
11
On target
1
2
Inside the box
5
8
xG per shot
0.06
0.11
Open play xG
0.16
0.13
Set-piece xG
0.16
1.11
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.22 for 1. FC Köln.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

1. FC Köln · Said El Mala · 45' · Goal · 2 m · 0.55 xG 1. FC Köln · Eric Martel · 29' · No goal · 5 m · 0.21 xG Hamburger SV · Daniel Elfadli · 90' · No goal · 5 m · 0.14 xG 1. FC Köln · Rav van den Berg · 45' · No goal · 6 m · 0.12 xG Hamburger SV · Otto Stange · 90' · No goal · 3 m · 0.10 xG 1. FC Köln · Ragnar Ache · 27' · No goal · 9 m · 0.08 xG 1. FC Köln · Said El Mala · 26' · No goal · 19 m · 0.06 xG 1. FC Köln · Linton Maina · 54' · No goal · 16 m · 0.06 xG 1. FC Köln · Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson · 45' · No goal · 13 m · 0.04 xG 1. FC Köln · Eric Martel · 90' · No goal · 2 m · 0.04 xG 1. FC Köln · Jakub Kamiński · 28' · No goal · 18 m · 0.03 xG Hamburger SV · Fábio Vieira · 39' · Goal · 10 m · 0.03 xG 1. FC Köln · Ragnar Ache · 65' · No goal · 10 m · 0.03 xG Hamburger SV · William Mikelbrencis · 72' · No goal · 7 m · 0.03 xG Hamburger SV · Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer · 12' · No goal · 14 m · 0.02 xG 1. FC Köln · Youssoupha Niang · 27' · No goal · 24 m · 0.02 xG

All shots

16 shots · 1.56 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Hamburger SV
  • 1. FC Köln
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Hamburger SV

1.27 xG created 1.94 xGA

  • W 1.48 created, 1.53 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
  • W 1.82 created, 2.11 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
  • D 0.70 created, 1.53 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
  • L 0.55 created, 2.70 conceded against RB Leipzig
  • L 1.27 created, 1.93 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen
  • W 1.82 created, 1.84 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
1. FC Köln

1.10 xG created 1.75 xGA

  • W 1.24 created, 1.27 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
  • L 1.05 created, 1.92 conceded against RB Leipzig
  • L 1.59 created, 2.24 conceded against VfB Stuttgart
  • D 1.07 created, 1.47 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim
  • L 0.48 created, 1.65 conceded against FC Augsburg
  • L 1.14 created, 1.95 conceded against Borussia Dortmund

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Hamburger SV: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.