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Saturday, 14/02/2026 at 15:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

Hamburger SV 3:2 1. FC Union Berlin

Hamburger SV Home 1.82 xG · 13 shots
1. FC Union Berlin Away 2.11 xG · 12 shots
32 The result went against the chances

Goals

  1. 28' Leopold Querfeld (pen.) 1. FC Union Berlin · 0.82 xG chance 0–1
  2. 35' Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer Hamburger SV · 0.42 xG chance 1–1
  3. 45' Nicolás Capaldo Hamburger SV · 0.26 xG chance 2–1
  4. 82' Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer Hamburger SV · 0.16 xG chance 3–1
  5. 89' Andrej Ilić 1. FC Union Berlin · 0.24 xG chance 3–2

The shots behind it

Hamburger SV 1. FC Union Berlin
Shots
13
12
On target
4
5
Inside the box
11
10
xG per shot
0.14
0.18
Open play xG
1.43
1.24
Set-piece xG
0.40
0.10
Penalties
0
1
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.82 for Hamburger SV and 1.33 for 1. FC Union Berlin.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

1. FC Union Berlin · Leopold Querfeld · 28' · Goal · 12 m · 0.82 xG 1. FC Union Berlin · Andrej Ilić · 45' · No goal · 13 m · 0.57 xG Hamburger SV · Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer · 35' · Goal · 8 m · 0.42 xG Hamburger SV · Nicolás Capaldo · 45' · Goal · 10 m · 0.26 xG 1. FC Union Berlin · Andrej Ilić · 89' · Goal · 5 m · 0.24 xG Hamburger SV · Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer · 58' · No goal · 11 m · 0.19 xG Hamburger SV · Luka Vušković · 4' · No goal · 7 m · 0.18 xG Hamburger SV · Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer · 82' · Goal · 7 m · 0.16 xG Hamburger SV · Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer · 16' · No goal · 7 m · 0.15 xG Hamburger SV · Miro Muheim · 85' · No goal · 7 m · 0.13 xG Hamburger SV · Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer · 11' · No goal · 7 m · 0.09 xG 1. FC Union Berlin · Andrej Ilić · 63' · No goal · 9 m · 0.09 xG 1. FC Union Berlin · Danilho Doekhi · 88' · No goal · 10 m · 0.09 xG Hamburger SV · Bakery Jatta · 3' · No goal · 12 m · 0.08 xG Hamburger SV · Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer · 3' · No goal · 4 m · 0.07 xG 1. FC Union Berlin · Danilho Doekhi · 45' · No goal · 10 m · 0.06 xG 1. FC Union Berlin · Andrej Ilić · 68' · No goal · 10 m · 0.06 xG Hamburger SV · Jean-Luc Dompé · 80' · No goal · 16 m · 0.06 xG 1. FC Union Berlin · Rani Khedira · 39' · No goal · 18 m · 0.05 xG 1. FC Union Berlin · Tim Skarke · 64' · No goal · 5 m · 0.05 xG 1. FC Union Berlin · Derrick Köhn · 71' · No goal · 26 m · 0.05 xG 1. FC Union Berlin · Andrej Ilić · 84' · No goal · 12 m · 0.05 xG 1. FC Union Berlin · Andrej Ilić · 15' · No goal · 11 m · 0.03 xG Hamburger SV · Fábio Vieira · 13' · No goal · 20 m · 0.02 xG Hamburger SV · Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer · 56' · No goal · 21 m · 0.02 xG

All shots

25 shots · 3.99 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Hamburger SV
  • 1. FC Union Berlin
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Hamburger SV

1.12 xG created 1.51 xGA

  • D 0.75 created, 1.59 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
  • L 0.66 created, 2.85 conceded against SC Freiburg
  • D 1.19 created, 0.47 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
  • D 0.35 created, 0.26 conceded against FC St. Pauli
  • D 2.26 created, 2.35 conceded against FC Bayern München
  • W 1.48 created, 1.53 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
1. FC Union Berlin

1.75 xG created 1.17 xGA

  • D 3.35 created, 1.01 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
  • D 1.31 created, 0.55 conceded against FC Augsburg
  • D 1.71 created, 2.05 conceded against VfB Stuttgart
  • L 1.24 created, 1.89 conceded against Borussia Dortmund
  • L 1.61 created, 1.37 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim
  • D 1.25 created, 0.14 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Hamburger SV: 0 won · 1 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.