1. FC Köln 2:2 TSG Hoffenheim: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Saturday, 21/02/2026 at 15:30

Full time

Match report · Bundesliga

1. FC Köln Home 1.07 xG · 9 shots

TSG Hoffenheim Away 1.47 xG · 18 shots

22 TSG Hoffenheim had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

15' Ragnar Ache 1. FC Köln · 0.11 xG chance 1–0
45' Ozan Kabak TSG Hoffenheim · 0.21 xG chance 1–1
60' Andrej Kramarić TSG Hoffenheim · 0.21 xG chance 1–2
63' Said El Mala 1. FC Köln · 0.42 xG chance 2–2

The shots behind it

1. FC Köln TSG Hoffenheim

Shots: 9; 18
On target: 4; 6
Inside the box: 8; 15
xG per shot: 0.12; 0.08
Open play xG: 0.60; 0.72
Set-piece xG: 0.45; 0.71
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.07 for 1. FC Köln and 1.47 for TSG Hoffenheim.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

27 shots · 2.48 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

1. FC Köln
TSG Hoffenheim
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

1. FC Köln

1.33 xG created 1.78 xGA

L 0.72 created, 1.50 conceded against FC Bayern München
W 2.08 created, 1.52 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
L 1.29 created, 2.23 conceded against SC Freiburg
W 1.24 created, 1.27 conceded against VfL Wolfsburg
L 1.05 created, 1.92 conceded against RB Leipzig
L 1.59 created, 2.24 conceded against VfB Stuttgart

TSG Hoffenheim

1.45 xG created 1.90 xGA

W 1.55 created, 0.96 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W 1.35 created, 0.65 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
W 0.61 created, 1.83 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
W 1.37 created, 1.61 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
L 2.03 created, 5.60 conceded against FC Bayern München
W 1.80 created, 0.77 conceded against SC Freiburg

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

1. FC Köln: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

TSG Hoffenheim 0:1 1. FC Köln 03/10/2025 xG 1.12 – 0.94

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.