Borussia Dortmund 1:0 VfL Wolfsburg: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Sunday, 21/09/2025 at 19:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund Home 1.10 xG · 12 shots

VfL Wolfsburg Away 0.80 xG · 9 shots

10 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

20' Karim Adeyemi Borussia Dortmund · 0.01 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

Borussia Dortmund VfL Wolfsburg

Shots: 12; 9
On target: 4; 0
Inside the box: 7; 4
xG per shot: 0.09; 0.09
Open play xG: 0.89; 0.18
Set-piece xG: 0.18; 0.60
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.10 for Borussia Dortmund and 0.80 for VfL Wolfsburg.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

21 shots · 1.85 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Borussia Dortmund
VfL Wolfsburg
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Borussia Dortmund

2.28 xG created 0.94 xGA

D 1.56 created, 1.29 conceded against FC St. Pauli
W 2.51 created, 1.14 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
W 2.76 created, 0.40 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim

VfL Wolfsburg

1.52 xG created 1.44 xGA

W 2.45 created, 0.72 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
D 0.62 created, 1.95 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05
D 1.50 created, 1.65 conceded against 1. FC Köln

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.