Borussia M'gladbach 1:1 1. FSV Mainz 05: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Sunday, 19/04/2026 at 19:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

Borussia M'gladbach Home 0.62 xG · 9 shots

1. FSV Mainz 05 Away 2.32 xG · 17 shots

11 1. FSV Mainz 05 had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

7' Joe Scally Borussia M'gladbach · 0.06 xG chance 1–0
90' Nadiem Amiri (pen.) 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 0.82 xG chance 1–1

The shots behind it

Borussia M'gladbach 1. FSV Mainz 05

Shots: 9; 17
On target: 4; 7
Inside the box: 7; 10
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.13
Open play xG: 0.35; 1.16
Set-piece xG: 0.27; 0.20
Penalties: 0; 1

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.38 for 1. FSV Mainz 05.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

26 shots · 2.80 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Borussia M'gladbach
1. FSV Mainz 05
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Borussia M'gladbach

1.37 xG created 1.47 xGA

W 2.68 created, 0.13 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
L 1.04 created, 3.05 conceded against FC Bayern München
W 0.71 created, 0.51 conceded against FC St. Pauli
D 1.30 created, 1.55 conceded against 1. FC Köln
D 0.73 created, 1.14 conceded against 1. FC Heidenheim
L 1.78 created, 2.43 conceded against RB Leipzig

1. FSV Mainz 05

1.49 xG created 1.02 xGA

D 0.73 created, 1.23 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen
D 2.84 created, 0.98 conceded against VfB Stuttgart
W 1.08 created, 0.88 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
W 1.55 created, 1.23 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
W 2.16 created, 1.23 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim
L 0.55 created, 0.56 conceded against SC Freiburg

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Borussia M'gladbach: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

1. FSV Mainz 05 0:1 Borussia M'gladbach 05/12/2025 xG 0.97 – 1.85

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.