Borussia M'gladbach 2:0 FC St. Pauli: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Friday, 13/03/2026 at 20:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

Borussia M'gladbach Home 0.71 xG · 10 shots

FC St. Pauli Away 0.51 xG · 8 shots

20 The chances were evenly matched

Goals

37' Kevin Stöger Borussia M'gladbach · 0.04 xG chance 1–0
62' Franck Honorat Borussia M'gladbach · 0.06 xG chance 2–0

The shots behind it

Borussia M'gladbach FC St. Pauli

Shots: 10; 8
On target: 4; 1
Inside the box: 7; 4
xG per shot: 0.07; 0.06
Open play xG: 0.45; 0.48
Set-piece xG: 0.29; 0.03
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 0.71 for Borussia M'gladbach.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

18 shots · 1.25 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

Borussia M'gladbach
FC St. Pauli
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Borussia M'gladbach

1.18 xG created 1.45 xGA

D 0.90 created, 1.16 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
D 0.60 created, 0.80 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen
L 1.18 created, 1.82 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
L 0.67 created, 1.74 conceded against SC Freiburg
W 2.68 created, 0.13 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
L 1.04 created, 3.05 conceded against FC Bayern München

FC St. Pauli

1.03 xG created 1.40 xGA

L 2.43 created, 1.35 conceded against FC Augsburg
W 1.77 created, 0.88 conceded against VfB Stuttgart
L 0.49 created, 1.40 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W 0.21 created, 1.63 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
W 0.78 created, 2.71 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim
D 0.48 created, 0.41 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Borussia M'gladbach: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

FC St. Pauli 0:4 Borussia M'gladbach 01/11/2025 xG 0.88 – 2.32

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.