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Saturday, 28/02/2026 at 15:30

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Match report · Bundesliga

TSG Hoffenheim 0:1 FC St. Pauli

TSG Hoffenheim Home 2.71 xG · 21 shots
FC St. Pauli Away 0.78 xG · 11 shots
01 The result went against the chances

Goals

  1. 45' Mathias Pereira Lage FC St. Pauli · 0.36 xG chance 0–1

The shots behind it

TSG Hoffenheim FC St. Pauli
Shots
21
11
On target
11
3
Inside the box
16
8
xG per shot
0.13
0.07
Open play xG
1.05
0.61
Set-piece xG
1.68
0.19
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.76 for TSG Hoffenheim and 0.78 for FC St. Pauli.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

TSG Hoffenheim · Robin Hranáč · 27' · No goal · 2 m · 0.74 xG TSG Hoffenheim · Grischa Prömel · 29' · No goal · 9 m · 0.38 xG FC St. Pauli · Mathias Pereira Lage · 45' · Goal · 8 m · 0.36 xG TSG Hoffenheim · Ozan Kabak · 46' · No goal · 3 m · 0.27 xG TSG Hoffenheim · Bazoumana Touré · 65' · No goal · 7 m · 0.18 xG TSG Hoffenheim · Grischa Prömel · 9' · No goal · 8 m · 0.16 xG TSG Hoffenheim · Grischa Prömel · 8' · No goal · 16 m · 0.14 xG TSG Hoffenheim · Andrej Kramarić · 8' · No goal · 19 m · 0.14 xG FC St. Pauli · Manolis Saliakas · 10' · No goal · 14 m · 0.09 xG FC St. Pauli · James Sands · 22' · No goal · 9 m · 0.09 xG TSG Hoffenheim · Fisnik Asllani · 4' · No goal · 14 m · 0.08 xG TSG Hoffenheim · Grischa Prömel · 59' · No goal · 4 m · 0.08 xG TSG Hoffenheim · Ozan Kabak · 80' · No goal · 6 m · 0.08 xG TSG Hoffenheim · Fisnik Asllani · 90' · No goal · 6 m · 0.08 xG TSG Hoffenheim · Vladimír Coufal · 9' · No goal · 9 m · 0.07 xG FC St. Pauli · Joel Chima Fujita · 40' · No goal · 4 m · 0.07 xG TSG Hoffenheim · Andrej Kramarić · 9' · No goal · 5 m · 0.06 xG FC St. Pauli · Mathias Pereira Lage · 41' · No goal · 13 m · 0.06 xG TSG Hoffenheim · Bazoumana Touré · 19' · No goal · 12 m · 0.05 xG FC St. Pauli · Jackson Irvine · 42' · No goal · 10 m · 0.04 xG TSG Hoffenheim · Albian Hajdari · 45' · No goal · 4 m · 0.04 xG TSG Hoffenheim · Grischa Prömel · 51' · No goal · 24 m · 0.04 xG TSG Hoffenheim · Tim Lemperle · 81' · No goal · 19 m · 0.04 xG TSG Hoffenheim · Ozan Kabak · 1' · No goal · 10 m · 0.03 xG TSG Hoffenheim · Ozan Kabak · 26' · No goal · 3 m · 0.03 xG FC St. Pauli · Danel Sinani · 48' · No goal · 3 m · 0.03 xG FC St. Pauli · Arkadiusz Pyrka · 76' · No goal · 14 m · 0.03 xG TSG Hoffenheim · Fisnik Asllani · 84' · No goal · 24 m · 0.02 xG TSG Hoffenheim · Leon Avdullahu · 85' · No goal · 26 m · 0.02 xG FC St. Pauli · Danel Sinani · 4' · No goal · 24 m · 0.01 xG FC St. Pauli · Manolis Saliakas · 11' · No goal · 20 m · 0.01 xG FC St. Pauli · Mathias Pereira Lage · 35' · No goal · 25 m · 0.01 xG

All shots

32 shots · 3.53 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • TSG Hoffenheim
  • FC St. Pauli
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
TSG Hoffenheim

1.44 xG created 1.92 xGA

  • W 1.35 created, 0.65 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
  • W 0.61 created, 1.83 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
  • W 1.37 created, 1.61 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
  • L 2.03 created, 5.60 conceded against FC Bayern München
  • W 1.80 created, 0.77 conceded against SC Freiburg
  • D 1.47 created, 1.07 conceded against 1. FC Köln
FC St. Pauli

1.10 xG created 1.12 xGA

  • D 0.26 created, 0.35 conceded against Hamburger SV
  • D 1.45 created, 1.09 conceded against RB Leipzig
  • L 2.43 created, 1.35 conceded against FC Augsburg
  • W 1.77 created, 0.88 conceded against VfB Stuttgart
  • L 0.49 created, 1.40 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen
  • W 0.21 created, 1.63 conceded against SV Werder Bremen

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

TSG Hoffenheim: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.