FC Bayern München 3:3 1. FC Heidenheim: xG & match report · Bundesliga

Saturday, 02/05/2026 at 15:30

Full time

Match report · Bundesliga

FC Bayern München Home 2.31 xG · 23 shots

1. FC Heidenheim Away 2.59 xG · 12 shots

33 1. FC Heidenheim had the better chances, but it finished level

Goals

22' Budu Zivzivadze 1. FC Heidenheim · 0.49 xG chance 0–1
31' Eren Dinkçi 1. FC Heidenheim · 1.00 xG chance 0–2
44' Leon Goretzka FC Bayern München · 0.05 xG chance 1–2
57' Leon Goretzka FC Bayern München · 0.71 xG chance 2–2
76' Budu Zivzivadze 1. FC Heidenheim · 0.03 xG chance 2–3
90' Michael Olise FC Bayern München · 0.02 xG chance 3–3

The shots behind it

FC Bayern München 1. FC Heidenheim

Shots: 23; 12
On target: 7; 5
Inside the box: 6; 8
xG per shot: 0.10; 0.18
Open play xG: 1.01; 1.60
Set-piece xG: 1.23; 0.54
Penalties: —; —

Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.21 for FC Bayern München and 2.13 for 1. FC Heidenheim.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

All shots

35 shots · 4.38 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

FC Bayern München
1. FC Heidenheim
Filled = goal
Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

FC Bayern München

3.38 xG created 1.53 xGA

D 1.29 created, 2.59 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W 5.53 created, 0.21 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
W 2.80 created, 1.82 conceded against SC Freiburg
W 3.84 created, 0.49 conceded against FC St. Pauli
W 4.61 created, 1.35 conceded against VfB Stuttgart
W 2.21 created, 2.69 conceded against 1. FSV Mainz 05

1. FC Heidenheim

1.32 xG created 1.16 xGA

L 0.15 created, 0.92 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
D 1.57 created, 1.62 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen
D 1.14 created, 0.73 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
W 1.85 created, 0.99 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
L 1.58 created, 1.62 conceded against SC Freiburg
W 1.61 created, 1.06 conceded against FC St. Pauli

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

FC Bayern München: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

1. FC Heidenheim 0:4 FC Bayern München 21/12/2025 xG 1.04 – 4.44

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.