Saturday, 25/04/2026 at 15:30
Full time1. FSV Mainz 05 3:4 FC Bayern München
Goals
- 15' Dominik Kohr 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 0.16 xG chance 1–0
- 29' Paul Nebel 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 0.51 xG chance 2–0
- 45' Sheraldo Becker 1. FSV Mainz 05 · 0.60 xG chance 3–0
- 53' Nicolas Jackson FC Bayern München · 0.09 xG chance 3–1
- 73' Michael Olise FC Bayern München · 0.01 xG chance 3–2
- 81' Jamal Musiala FC Bayern München · 0.95 xG chance 3–3
- 83' Harry Kane FC Bayern München · 0.20 xG chance 3–4
The shots behind it
- Shots
- 21
- 11
- On target
- 8
- 6
- Inside the box
- 15
- 10
- xG per shot
- 0.12
- 0.18
- Open play xG
- 2.04
- 2.01
- Set-piece xG
- 0.40
- 0.00
- Penalties
- —
- —
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total
The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 2.49 for 1. FSV Mainz 05 and 1.97 for FC Bayern München.
Shot map
Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.
All shots
32 shots · 4.45 xG
Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05
- FC Bayern München
- Filled = goal
- Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)
Recent form
1.75 xG created 0.92 xGA
- D 2.84 created, 0.98 conceded against VfB Stuttgart
- W 1.08 created, 0.88 conceded against SV Werder Bremen
- W 1.55 created, 1.23 conceded against Eintracht Frankfurt
- W 2.16 created, 1.23 conceded against TSG Hoffenheim
- L 0.55 created, 0.56 conceded against SC Freiburg
- D 2.32 created, 0.62 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
3.52 xG created 1.25 xGA
- W 3.05 created, 1.04 conceded against Borussia M'gladbach
- D 1.29 created, 2.59 conceded against Bayer 04 Leverkusen
- W 5.53 created, 0.21 conceded against 1. FC Union Berlin
- W 2.80 created, 1.82 conceded against SC Freiburg
- W 3.84 created, 0.49 conceded against FC St. Pauli
- W 4.61 created, 1.35 conceded against VfB Stuttgart
xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result
Head to head
Model details
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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.