Saturday, 28/11/2026 at 13:30
29d 6h to kick-offBlackburn Rovers – Charlton Athletic
- Blackburn Rovers
- 42%
- Fair 2.36 Fair odds 2.36
- Draw
- 31%
- Fair 3.21 Fair odds 3.21
- Charlton Athletic
- 26%
- Fair 3.78 Fair odds 3.78
No prices yet
No bookmaker has priced this match yet, so there is nothing to hold the model's numbers against. How this is decided →
- Blackburn Rovers 20/20
- Charlton Athletic 20/20
- Model updated 30 October, 06:30
- Odds not yet available
Where the model disagrees with the market
Market odds are not available for this match yet.
Recent form
- W 1.23 created, 1.67 conceded against Millwall
- D 0.59 created, 1.60 conceded against Portsmouth
- W 2.42 created, 1.05 conceded against Cardiff City
- W 0.15 created, 1.89 conceded against Bristol City
- L 0.82 created, 3.68 conceded against West Bromwich Albion
- W 1.53 created, 1.69 conceded against Wrexham
xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result
Goals & scorelines
- Total goals
- 2.51
- Over 2.5 goals
- 47%
- Both teams to score
- 57%
- Blackburn Rovers 2+ goals
- 42%
- Blackburn Rovers clean sheet
- 30%
Most likely scorelines
No exact score is especially likely. The 3 most probable scorelines account for 36% of the model's distribution.
- 1:1
- 16.1%
- 2:1
- 10.6%
- 1:0
- 9.1%
Why the model favours Blackburn Rovers
Blackburn Rovers is the better side at both ends of the pitch; recent form does not back it.
- Attack
- Favours Blackburn Rovers
- 21st vs 22nd
- Blackburn Rovers attack v Charlton Athletic defence
- Defence
- Favours Blackburn Rovers
- 21st vs 23rd
- Blackburn Rovers defence v Charlton Athletic attack
- Recent xG form
- Favours Charlton Athletic
- -0.81 vs -0.33
- xGD per match, last 6
Team comparison
Season to date, per match, with each club's placing in the competition. The last row is the last 6 matches.
| Reading | Blackburn Rovers | Charlton Athletic |
|---|---|---|
| xG / match | (better) 1.03 · 21st | 0.99 · 22nd |
| xGA / match | 1.72 · 22nd | (better) 1.58 · 18th |
| xGD / match | -0.69 · 21st | (better) -0.60 · 20th |
| xPts / match | 0.92 · 23rd | (better) 0.97 · 21st |
| Last 6 xGD / match | -0.81 | (better) -0.33 |
Head to head
Blackburn Rovers 0 Draws 1 Charlton Athletic 1
Got a different price?
Type your bookmaker's odds for any market and see their edge against the model.
How the edge is calculated
Edge is probability × odds − 1 — it pays on average and over the long run, not necessarily in this match. The model knows nothing of absences, motivation or the schedule.
Nothing you type is remembered.
What the model doesn't know
It reads expected goals and nothing else — not the lineups, injuries or suspensions, what either side is playing for, the weather or a congested schedule.
Model details- Fit window
- the last 20 matches, recency weighted (a match 107 days old counts half)
- Blackburn Rovers sample
- 20 matches
- Charlton Athletic sample
- 20 matches
- Home xG sample · Blackburn Rovers
- 6 matches
- Away xG sample · Charlton Athletic
- 6 matches
- Computed
- Friday, 30/10/2026 at 06:30
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.