xgEdge

Sunday, 05/10/2025 at 18:00

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Match report · Cypriot First Division

AEK Larnaca 2:4 Pafos FC

AEK Larnaca Home 0.87 xG
Pafos FC Away 1.25 xG
24 The scoreline reflected the chances

The shots behind it

AEK Larnaca Pafos FC
Shots
12
11
On target
4
7
Inside the box
8
7
xG per shot
0.07
0.11

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
AEK Larnaca

2.09 xG created 0.92 xGA

  • W 2.82 created, 0.44 conceded against AEL Limassol
  • D 2.97 created, 0.83 conceded against Anorthosis Famagusta
  • L 0.28 created, 1.15 conceded against Omonia Nicosia
  • W 1.84 created, 1.70 conceded against Aris Limassol
  • W 2.55 created, 0.50 conceded against Enosis Neon Ypsona FC
Pafos FC

1.44 xG created 1.26 xGA

  • W 0.28 created, 0.85 conceded against APOEL Nicosia
  • L 0.23 created, 1.98 conceded against Apollon Limassol
  • W 2.93 created, 0.44 conceded against Omonia Aradippou
  • W 1.80 created, 0.29 conceded against Enosis Neon Paralimniou
  • W 1.95 created, 2.72 conceded against Olympiakos Nicosia

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.