xgEdge

Pafos FC right now

Pafos FC have made a strong start and sit 4th in Cypriot First Division. A +1.66 xG difference sits behind 7 points from 4 matches, which suggests the performances have been better than the results. They have scored 3.87 fewer than their 7.87 xG, while conceding 4.21 fewer than the 6.21 xG against them. It is still early: all of this rests on 4 matches.

How Pafos FC compares

Open the match page for Anorthosis Famagusta

Next match Cypriot First Division · Sun 11/10

Away Anorthosis Famagusta

1.08 Projected expected goals 1.56
Model probability
Anorthosis Famagusta
23%
Draw
30%
Pafos FC
47%

Data coverage: Full

Open the match page for AEL Limassol

Last result Cypriot First Division · Fri 18/09

Home AEL Limassol

0:2 Loss

Expected goals
1.36 – 1.45
xG difference
-0.09

Closer than the score suggests

Every result →
Performance

Goals vs xG — match by match

Bars are goals scored. Lines are the xG created and conceded in each match.

xG created xGA conceded Goals
3.0 0.0 Sun 30/08 Fri 18/09 Sun 30/08 Karmiotissa Polemidion · Expected goals 2.78 Mon 07/09 Olympiakos Nicosia · Expected goals 1.36 Sun 13/09 AEK Larnaca · Expected goals 2.37 Fri 18/09 AEL Limassol · Expected goals 1.36 Sun 30/08 Karmiotissa Polemidion · Expected goals conceded 2.20 Mon 07/09 Olympiakos Nicosia · Expected goals conceded 1.21 Sun 13/09 AEK Larnaca · Expected goals conceded 1.35 Fri 18/09 AEL Limassol · Expected goals conceded 1.45
The season so far 4 matches, as they add up +1.66 xG difference +0.42 xGD / match
Every match behind the chart above: Pafos FC's expected goals for and against, and the goals it scored.
Date Opponent Venue Score Expected goals Expected goals conceded xG difference Goals scored
Sun 30/08 Karmiotissa Polemidion Away 3:0 2.78 2.20 +0.58 3
Mon 07/09 Olympiakos Nicosia Home 0:0 1.36 1.21 +0.15 0
Sun 13/09 AEK Larnaca Away 1:0 2.37 1.35 +1.02 1
Fri 18/09 AEL Limassol Home 0:2 1.36 1.45 -0.09 0
The season so far 7.87 6.21 4

Finishing

-3.87

Goals vs xG

Defending

-4.21

Goals conceded vs xGA

Results

+0.39

Points vs xPts

The whole expected-goals page →
Every figure off the same cached projection · Cypriot First Division 2026/2027 How the model works →