xgEdge

FK Pardubice's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 4 of 4 matching results

9 played this season

4 available results · Last 10 requested

Reset filters

Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
1 win, 1 draw, 2 losses

4 pts 4–6 goals −2 GD

Chances

Provider xG / xGA
6.87 – 3.21
1.72 – 0.80 per match
xGD
+3.66
+0.92 per match
xG record
3 with the chances, 1 with even chances, 0 against them

Small sample: 4 matches.

Comparable xG: 4 of 4 completed results.

Points vs xPts Model

4 pts 8.0 xPts

−4.0 vs xPts

Small sample: 4 matches.

Matched xPts: 4 of 4 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Last 10 · All competitions · Home

FK Pardubice's mixed record sits behind chances that argue for more. They out-created the opponent in 3 of 4 matches, for +3.66 xG difference overall on 6.87–3.21. Their points total of 4 sits 4.0 below the model's 8.0 xPts, so the chances have clearly outrun the results. The loss against FK Jablonec came with +2.14 xGD.

Points minus xPts, match by match

Over these 4 results FK Pardubice are 3.98 points below their xPts. The gap was widest at -5.76, against SK Líšeň on Sat 29/08.

Points
4
xPts
7.98
Gap
-3.98
Sun 02/08 Sat 15/08 Sat 29/08 Sat 19/09 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -2.70 -3.60 -5.76 -3.98 -2.70 -0.90 -2.16 +1.78 Running gap points − xPts Each match points − xPts
FK Pardubice: Points vs xPts, the gap after every selected result
Date Opponent Points xPts Match gap Running gap
Sun 02/08 FK Jablonec 0 2.70 -2.70 -2.70
Sat 15/08 Mladá Boleslav 1 1.90 -0.90 -3.60
Sat 29/08 SK Líšeň 0 2.16 -2.16 -5.76
Sat 19/09 Bohemians Praha 1905 3 1.22 +1.78 -3.98

Scores and xG

FK Pardubice first

  • Home Czech First League Win with even chances

    xG 0.94

    xGA 1.05

    xGD -0.11

    2:1 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Bohemians Praha 1905, Sat 19/09

    The team won, while the chance difference was approximately even. The outcome was stronger than that difference alone suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    1.22
    Points minus xPts
    +1.78

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Czech First League Loss against the chances

    xG 1.81

    xGA 0.80

    xGD +1.01

    1:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · SK Líšeň, Sat 29/08

    The team lost despite recording a positive xG difference. The outcome was weaker than that chance advantage suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    2.16
    Points minus xPts
    -2.16

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Czech First League Draw against the chances

    xG 1.37

    xGA 0.75

    xGD +0.62

    1:1 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Mladá Boleslav, Sat 15/08

    The match was drawn although the team recorded a positive xG difference. The outcome was weaker than that chance advantage suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    1.90
    Points minus xPts
    -0.90

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Czech First League Loss against the chances

    xG 2.75

    xGA 0.61

    xGD +2.14

    0:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FK Jablonec, Sun 02/08

    The team lost despite recording a positive xG difference. The outcome was weaker than that chance advantage suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    2.70
    Points minus xPts
    -2.70

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

How the model works →