xgEdge

Expected goals

FK Pardubice expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Czech First League · after 9 matches · updated 1 Oct

FK Pardubice's attacking and defensive expected goals in Czech First League 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

FK Pardubice xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.34 xG per match
#8/16
Attack (xG per match) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 SK Slavia Praha 2.38
#2 AC Sparta Praha 1.66
#3 FC Slovan Liberec 1.66
#4 Mladá Boleslav 1.45
#5 Viktoria Plzeň 1.43
#6 Bohemians Praha 1905 1.39
#7 Baník Ostrava 1.34
#8 FK Pardubice 1.34
#9 FK Jablonec 1.32
#10 FC Zbrojovka Brno 1.24
#11 SK Sigma Olomouc 1.23
#12 FK Teplice 1.20
#13 SK Líšeň 1.05
#14 FC Hradec Králové 1.03
#15 1. FC Slovácko 0.92
#16 FC Zlín 0.87
League avg
1.34
Total
12.02 9 matches
Defence
1.20 xGA per match
#6/16
Defence (xGA per match) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 FC Slovan Liberec 0.86
#2 FK Jablonec 1.01
#3 SK Slavia Praha 1.02
#4 FC Hradec Králové 1.05
#5 Viktoria Plzeň 1.10
#6 FK Pardubice 1.20
#7 SK Sigma Olomouc 1.21
#8 AC Sparta Praha 1.25
#9 FK Teplice 1.28
#10 Bohemians Praha 1905 1.37
#11 SK Líšeň 1.42
#12 FC Zlín 1.44
#13 FC Zbrojovka Brno 1.52
#14 1. FC Slovácko 1.88
#15 Baník Ostrava 1.89
#16 Mladá Boleslav 2.06
League avg
1.34
Total
10.76 9 matches
xG difference
+0.14 xGD per match
#6/16
xG difference (xGD per match) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 SK Slavia Praha +1.36
#2 FC Slovan Liberec +0.80
#3 AC Sparta Praha +0.41
#4 Viktoria Plzeň +0.32
#5 FK Jablonec +0.31
#6 FK Pardubice +0.14
#7 SK Sigma Olomouc +0.02
#8 Bohemians Praha 1905 +0.02
#9 FC Hradec Králové -0.02
#10 FK Teplice -0.08
#11 FC Zbrojovka Brno -0.28
#12 SK Líšeň -0.37
#13 Baník Ostrava -0.55
#14 FC Zlín -0.57
#15 Mladá Boleslav -0.62
#16 1. FC Slovácko -0.96
League avg
0.00
Total
+1.26 9 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.46 xPts per match
#6/16
Expected points (xPts per match) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 SK Slavia Praha 2.11
#2 FC Slovan Liberec 1.90
#3 AC Sparta Praha 1.68
#4 Viktoria Plzeň 1.61
#5 FK Jablonec 1.59
#6 FK Pardubice 1.46
#7 FC Hradec Králové 1.39
#8 SK Sigma Olomouc 1.39
#9 FC Zbrojovka Brno 1.33
#10 Bohemians Praha 1905 1.31
#11 FK Teplice 1.30
#12 SK Líšeň 1.11
#13 Mladá Boleslav 1.03
#14 Baník Ostrava 1.02
#15 FC Zlín 0.90
#16 1. FC Slovácko 0.88
League avg
1.38
Total
13.11 vs 8 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 9 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

FK Pardubice's underlying numbers are among the best in Czech First League. They rank #6 for xG difference at +0.14 per match, from about average shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 9 goals are 3.02 below 12.02 xG, while 8 points are 5.11 below 13.11 xPts. After only 9 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
9 12.02 -3.02 scored 3.02 fewer than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
14 10.76 +3.24 conceded 3.24 more than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
8 13.11 -5.11 5.11 points below xPts outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

FK Pardubice are 3.02 goals below their xG after 9 matches. The gap was widest at -4.08, against Baník Ostrava on Sun 13/09.

Goals
9
xG
12.02
Gap
-3.02
Sun 26/07 Sun 02/08 Sun 09/08 Sat 15/08 Sun 23/08 Sat 29/08 Sat 05/09 Sun 13/09 Sat 19/09 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 +0.69 -2.06 -1.72 -2.09 -2.24 -3.05 -3.75 -4.08 -3.02 +0.69 -2.75 +0.34 -0.37 -0.15 -0.81 -0.70 -0.33 +1.06 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
FK Pardubice: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 26/07 FC Hradec Králové 1 0.31 +0.69 +0.69
Sun 02/08 FK Jablonec 0 2.75 -2.75 -2.06
Sun 09/08 SK Slavia Praha 1 0.66 +0.34 -1.72
Sat 15/08 Mladá Boleslav 1 1.37 -0.37 -2.09
Sun 23/08 SK Sigma Olomouc 1 1.15 -0.15 -2.24
Sat 29/08 SK Líšeň 1 1.81 -0.81 -3.05
Sat 05/09 1. FC Slovácko 0 0.70 -0.70 -3.75
Sun 13/09 Baník Ostrava 2 2.33 -0.33 -4.08
Sat 19/09 Bohemians Praha 1905 2 0.94 +1.06 -3.02

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking → Compare with every club in Europe →

FK Pardubice xG trend

Current form +0.50 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 5 of 9 matches. The worst was against SK Slavia Praha on Sun 09/08 (-2.31).

npxG · last 6
1.42
npxGA · last 6
0.92
-3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 -0.80 Sun 26/07 +1.99 Sun 02/08 -2.31 Sun 09/08 +0.62 Sat 15/08 +0.11 Sun 23/08 +1.08 Sat 29/08 -0.19 Sat 05/09 +1.40 Sun 13/09 -0.03 Sat 19/09 +0.21 season avg
FK Pardubice: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 26/07 FC Hradec Králové 0.31 1.11 -0.80 -0.80
Sun 02/08 FK Jablonec 2.70 0.71 +1.99 +0.60
Sun 09/08 SK Slavia Praha 0.56 2.87 -2.31 -0.37
Sat 15/08 Mladá Boleslav 1.37 0.75 +0.62 -0.13
Sun 23/08 SK Sigma Olomouc 1.34 1.23 +0.11 -0.08
Sat 29/08 SK Líšeň 1.89 0.81 +1.08 +0.11
Sat 05/09 1. FC Slovácko 0.70 0.89 -0.19 +0.07
Sun 13/09 Baník Ostrava 2.33 0.93 +1.40 +0.24
Sat 19/09 Bohemians Praha 1905 0.90 0.93 -0.03 +0.21

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.34 npxG and 1.14 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 10 hardest of 16 in Czech First League
−0.03 xG vs league average
Over 9 league matches
Last 5
number 15 hardest of 16 in Czech First League
−0.17 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.03 xG vs league average · over 9 matches · tied number 10 hardest of 16

  1. Bohemians Praha 1905 Home 0.00
  2. Baník Ostrava Away −0.24
  3. 1. FC Slovácko Away −0.30
  4. SK Líšeň Home −0.32
  5. SK Sigma Olomouc Away +0.01
  6. Mladá Boleslav Home −0.38
  7. SK Slavia Praha Away +0.82
  8. FK Jablonec Home +0.21
  9. FC Hradec Králové Away −0.08

Last 5

−0.17 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 15 hardest of 16

  1. Bohemians Praha 1905 Home 0.00
  2. Baník Ostrava Away −0.24
  3. 1. FC Slovácko Away −0.30
  4. SK Líšeň Home −0.32
  5. SK Sigma Olomouc Away +0.01

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

FK Pardubice shots and chance quality

Average volume, average quality. FK Pardubice take 13.0 shots a match (league 13.2) at 0.10 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #7 in Czech First League for volume and #6 for quality. 63% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%), and set pieces produce 20% of their npxG (league 26%).

Attack

Shot volume
13.0 shots per match
#7/16
Shot volume (shots per match) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 SK Slavia Praha 17.3
#2 AC Sparta Praha 16.6
#3 FC Slovan Liberec 16.2
#4 FK Jablonec 15.7
#5 FK Teplice 14.5
#6 Viktoria Plzeň 14.0
#7 FK Pardubice 13.0
#8 Bohemians Praha 1905 12.6
#9 Baník Ostrava 12.4
=10 FC Hradec Králové 12.0
=10 Mladá Boleslav 12.0
#12 FC Zlín 11.9
#13 FC Zbrojovka Brno 11.8
#14 1. FC Slovácko 11.0
#15 SK Sigma Olomouc 10.8
#16 SK Líšeň 9.8
League avg
13.2
Total
117 shots from 9 matches
Chance quality
0.10 npxG per shot
#6/16
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 SK Slavia Praha 0.13
#2 Mladá Boleslav 0.11
#3 SK Sigma Olomouc 0.11
#4 SK Líšeň 0.11
#5 FC Slovan Liberec 0.11
#6 FK Pardubice 0.10
#7 FC Zbrojovka Brno 0.10
#8 Baník Ostrava 0.10
#9 AC Sparta Praha 0.10
#10 Bohemians Praha 1905 0.09
#11 FK Jablonec 0.09
#12 FC Hradec Králové 0.09
#13 Viktoria Plzeň 0.08
#14 1. FC Slovácko 0.08
#15 FK Teplice 0.08
#16 FC Zlín 0.07
League avg
0.10
Total
12.10 npxG from 117 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
13.3 shots per match
#9/16
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 SK Slavia Praha 10.7
#2 FC Slovan Liberec 10.8
#3 AC Sparta Praha 11.6
#4 FK Jablonec 11.7
#5 1. FC Slovácko 12.2
=6 SK Sigma Olomouc 12.4
=6 Viktoria Plzeň 12.4
#8 FC Zbrojovka Brno 13.0
#9 FK Pardubice 13.3
#10 Bohemians Praha 1905 13.6
#11 FC Hradec Králové 13.9
#12 FK Teplice 14.6
#13 Baník Ostrava 14.7
#14 FC Zlín 14.9
#15 SK Líšeň 15.0
#16 Mladá Boleslav 17.8
League avg
13.2
Total
120 shots allowed from 9 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.09 npxGA per shot
#5/16
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Czech First League, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 FC Slovan Liberec 0.07
#2 FC Hradec Králové 0.08
#3 FK Jablonec 0.08
#4 Viktoria Plzeň 0.08
#5 FK Pardubice 0.09
#6 FC Zlín 0.09
#7 FK Teplice 0.09
#8 SK Líšeň 0.09
#9 SK Sigma Olomouc 0.09
#10 SK Slavia Praha 0.10
#11 AC Sparta Praha 0.10
#12 Bohemians Praha 1905 0.10
#13 Mladá Boleslav 0.11
#14 FC Zbrojovka Brno 0.12
#15 Baník Ostrava 0.13
#16 1. FC Slovácko 0.14
League avg
0.10
Total
10.23 npxGA from 120 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

63% inside the box

League avg 64%

From 74 of 117 shots over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

60% allowed inside the box

League avg 64%

From 72 of 120 shots allowed over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

80% open play · 20% set pieces

League avg 26% set pieces

From 2.4 of 12.0 npxG over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

72% open play · 28% set pieces

League avg 26% set pieces

From 2.9 of 10.1 npxG allowed over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

FK Pardubice home and away xG

FK Pardubice per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 4 5
xG / match 1.72 1.03
xGA / match 0.80 1.51
xGD / match +0.92 -0.48
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 2.00 1.03

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every FK Pardubice match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
9
xG / match
1.34
xGA / match
1.20
xGD / match
+0.14
Points
8 of 27
  1. Sat 19/09 Bohemians Praha 1905 H xG 0.94 xGA 1.05 xGD -0.11
  2. Sun 13/09 Baník Ostrava A xG 2.33 xGA 1.21 xGD +1.12
  3. Sat 05/09 1. FC Slovácko A xG 0.70 xGA 0.89 xGD -0.19
  4. Sat 29/08 SK Líšeň H Against the chances xG 1.81 xGA 0.80 xGD +1.01
  5. Sun 23/08 SK Sigma Olomouc A xG 1.15 xGA 1.48 xGD -0.33
  6. Sat 15/08 Mladá Boleslav H xG 1.37 xGA 0.75 xGD +0.62
  7. Sun 09/08 SK Slavia Praha A Weakest underlying xG 0.66 xGA 2.86 xGD -2.20
  8. Sun 02/08 FK Jablonec H Against the chances xG 2.75 xGA 0.61 xGD +2.14
  9. Sun 26/07 FC Hradec Králové A xG 0.31 xGA 1.11 xGD -0.80

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

FK Pardubice in Czech First League

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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