xgEdge

Viktoria Plzeň's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 5 of 9 matching results

9 played this season

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Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
1 win, 2 draws, 2 losses

5 pts 7–6 goals +1 GD

Chances

Provider xG / xGA
6.26 – 4.25
1.25 – 0.85 per match
xGD
+2.01
+0.40 per match
xG record
3 with the chances, 0 with even chances, 2 against them

Comparable xG: 5 of 5 completed results.

Points vs xPts Model

5 pts 8.2 xPts

−3.2 vs xPts

Matched xPts: 5 of 5 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Last 5 · All competitions · All venues

Viktoria Plzeň's mixed record sits behind chances that argue for more. They out-created the opponent in 3 of 5 matches, for +2.01 xG difference overall on 6.26–4.25. Their points total of 5 sits 3.2 below the model's 8.2 xPts, so the chances have clearly outrun the results. The loss against SK Sigma Olomouc came with +1.65 xGD.

Points minus xPts, match by match

Over these 5 results Viktoria Plzeň are 3.25 points below their xPts.

Points
5
xPts
8.25
Gap
-3.25
Sun 30/08 Sat 05/09 Wed 09/09 Sun 13/09 Sun 20/09 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -1.15 -0.57 -0.13 -2.67 -3.25 -1.15 +0.58 +0.44 -2.54 -0.58 Running gap points − xPts Each match points − xPts
Viktoria Plzeň: Points vs xPts, the gap after every selected result
Date Opponent Points xPts Match gap Running gap
Sun 30/08 1. FC Slovácko 1 2.15 -1.15 -1.15
Sat 05/09 SK Líšeň 3 2.42 +0.58 -0.57
Wed 09/09 FC Hradec Králové 1 0.56 +0.44 -0.13
Sun 13/09 SK Sigma Olomouc 0 2.54 -2.54 -2.67
Sun 20/09 SK Slavia Praha 0 0.58 -0.58 -3.25

Scores and xG

Viktoria Plzeň first

  • Away Czech First League Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.82

    xGA 1.88

    xGD -1.06

    1:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · SK Slavia Praha, Sun 20/09

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.58
    Points minus xPts
    -0.58

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Czech First League Loss against the chances

    xG 2.25

    xGA 0.60

    xGD +1.65

    2:3 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · SK Sigma Olomouc, Sun 13/09

    The team lost despite recording a positive xG difference. The outcome was weaker than that chance advantage suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    2.53
    Points minus xPts
    -2.53

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Czech First League Draw against the chances

    xG 0.21

    xGA 0.92

    xGD -0.71

    0:0 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FC Hradec Králové, Wed 09/09

    The match was drawn although the team recorded less xG. The outcome was stronger than that chance difference suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    0.57
    Points minus xPts
    +0.43

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Czech First League Win backed by the chances

    xG 1.70

    xGA 0.44

    xGD +1.26

    3:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · SK Líšeň, Sat 05/09

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    2.41
    Points minus xPts
    +0.59

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Czech First League Draw against the chances

    xG 1.28

    xGA 0.41

    xGD +0.87

    1:1 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · 1. FC Slovácko, Sun 30/08

    The match was drawn although the team recorded a positive xG difference. The outcome was weaker than that chance advantage suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    2.15
    Points minus xPts
    -1.15

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Biggest overperformance

SK Líšeň 3:0

· Away xG / xGA 1.70 – 0.44

Goal difference
+3
xGD
+1.26
GD minus xGD
+1.74

Among 5 comparable results.

Open match →

Biggest underperformance

SK Sigma Olomouc 2:3

· Home xG / xGA 2.25 – 0.60

Goal difference
-1
xGD
+1.65
GD minus xGD
-2.65

Among 5 comparable results.

Open match →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

1 non-result notice · View in Season →

How the model works →